Testing the Fixed Anvil Temperature Hypothesis in a Cloud-Resolving Model

Using cloud-resolving simulations of tropical radiative–convective equilibrium, it is shown that the anvil temperature changes by less than 0.5 K with a 2-K change in SST, lending support to the fixed anvil temperature (FAT) hypothesis. The results suggest that for plausible ozone profiles, a decrease in the air’s emission capability instead of ozone heating shall remain the control on the detrainment level, and the FAT hypothesis should hold. The anvil temperature also remains unchanged with other changes in the system such as the doubled CO2 mixing ratio, doubled stratospheric water vapor concentration, and dynamical cooling due to the Brewer–Dobson circulations. The results are robust when a different microphysics scheme is used.

[1]  G. Craig,et al.  On the temperature structure of the tropical substratosphere , 2002 .

[2]  B. Wielicki,et al.  Statistical Analyses of Satellite Cloud Object Data from CERES. Part II: Tropical Convective Cloud Objects During 1998 El Niño and Validation of the Fixed Anvil Temperature Hypothesis , 2002 .

[3]  C. Bretherton,et al.  Cloud-Resolving Model Simulations of KWAJEX: Model Sensitivities and Comparisons with Satellite and Radar Observations , 2007 .

[4]  H. D. Orville,et al.  Bulk Parameterization of the Snow Field in a Cloud Model , 1983 .

[5]  Bruce A. Wielicki,et al.  Statistical Analyses of Satellite Cloud Object Data from CERES. Part II: Tropical Convective Cloud Objects during 1998 El Niño and Evidence for Supporting the Fixed Anvil Temperature Hypothesis , 2007 .

[6]  James J. Hack,et al.  Response of Climate Simulation to a New Convective Parameterization in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate Model (CCM3) , 1998 .

[7]  I. Folkins Origin of lapse rate changes in the upper tropical troposphere , 2002 .

[8]  B. Barkstrom,et al.  Cloud-Radiative Forcing and Climate: Results from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment , 1989, Science.

[9]  Q. Fu,et al.  The heat balance of the tropical tropopause, cirrus, and stratospheric dehydration , 2001 .

[10]  D. Hartmann,et al.  The Effect of Cloud Type on Earth's Energy Balance: Global Analysis , 1992 .

[11]  J. Kiehl On the Observed Near Cancellation between Longwave and Shortwave Cloud Forcing in Tropical Regions , 1994 .

[12]  Richard H. Johnson,et al.  Trimodal Characteristics of Tropical Convection , 1999 .

[13]  Dennis L. Hartmann,et al.  An important constraint on tropical cloud ‐ climate feedback , 2002 .

[14]  George C. Craig,et al.  Sensitivity of Tropical Convection to Sea Surface Temperature in the Absence of Large-Scale Flow , 1999 .

[15]  Q. Fu,et al.  Tropical Convection and the Energy Balance at the Top of the Atmosphere , 2001 .

[16]  P. Webster,et al.  TOGA COARE: The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment. , 1992 .

[17]  D. Randall,et al.  Cloud resolving modeling of the ARM summer 1997 IOP: Model formulation, results, uncertainties, and sensitivities , 2003 .

[18]  Q. Fu,et al.  Improvements of an ice-phase microphysics parameterization for use in numerical simulations of tropical convection , 1995 .

[19]  C. Bretherton,et al.  Convective Influence on the Heat Balance of the Tropical Tropopause Layer: A Cloud-Resolving Model Study , 2004 .