Formalizing agro-ecological engineering for future-oriented land use studies

Agriculture faces an array of interrelated problems that call for development of new and revision of existing cropping systems towards the multiple needs of the 21st century. Agro-ecological engineering approaches aimed at design and exploration of alternative land use systems at various scales may support the identification of appropriate land use options. Engineering approaches are based on mathematical representations of well-founded agro-ecological principles while taking into account available resources and prevailing land-related objectives. The goal of this paper is to contribute to the development of a formalized approach to engineer cropping systems at the land unit level that can be used as building blocks for systematic explorations of land use options at farm or regional scale. The approach for engineering cropping systems at the land unit level consists of three steps: (i) goal-driven design of cropping systems, (ii) quantification of biophysical production targets and (iii) definition of the optimal mix of inputs required to realize production targets. This paper describes the approach and illustrates it with examples from the Sudano-Sahelian zone of Mali. Explicit attention is paid to the required numerical tools and their application to analyze consequences of uncertainty in the performance of engineered cropping systems. Using numerical tools, uncertainty is made explicit with the aim to better manage or reduce it. Identification of uncertainty at the designer's desk allows taking uncertainty into account before applying engineered land use systems in regional model studies or testing such systems in practice. Problems related to the application of numerical tools are discussed, including the future role of agro-ecological engineering as independent discipline within agricultural science.

[1]  M. K. van Ittersum,et al.  A goal-oriented approach to identify and engineer land use systems , 2002 .

[2]  C. A. van Diepen,et al.  User's guide for the WOFOST 7.1 crop growth simulation model and WOFOST Control Center 1.5. , 1998 .

[3]  J. Bessembinder,et al.  Uncertainty and temporal aspects in long-term explorations of sustainable land use : with reference to the Northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica , 1997 .

[4]  J.F.F.P. Bos,et al.  Mixing specialized farming systems in Flevoland (The Netherlands): agronomic, environmental and socio-economic effects , 1999 .

[5]  Claudio O. Stöckle,et al.  CropSyst, a cropping systems simulation model: Water/nitrogen budgets and crop yield☆ , 1994 .

[6]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Modelling of agricultural production: Weather, soils, and crops , 1986 .

[7]  N. Seligman,et al.  The crop model record: promise or poor show? , 1990 .

[8]  H.D.J. van Heemst,et al.  Plant data values required for simple crop growth simulation models : review and bibliography , 1988 .

[9]  M. Savadogo,et al.  Crop residue management in relation to sustainable land use: a case study in Burkina Faso. , 2000 .

[10]  R. Rabbinge,et al.  Concepts in production ecology for analysis and quantification of agricultural input-output combinations , 1997 .

[11]  H.F.M. ten Berge,et al.  Farming options for The Netherlands explored by multi-objective modelling , 2000 .

[12]  J. Groot,et al.  Modelling organic matter dynamics in different soils. , 1990 .

[13]  Graeme L. Hammer,et al.  APSIM: a novel software system for model development, model testing and simulation in agricultural systems research , 1996 .

[14]  Huib Hengsdijk,et al.  Quantification of land use systems using technical coefficient generators: a case study for the Northern Atlantic zone of Costa Rica , 1999 .

[15]  C. H. Lu,et al.  Breaking the spiral of unsustainability: an exploratory land use study for Ansai, the Loess Plateau of China. , 2000 .

[16]  H. Kirchmann,et al.  Challenging targets for future agriculture , 2000 .

[17]  D.W.G. van Kraalingen,et al.  User manual of CABO/TPE Weather System. , 1990 .

[18]  H. van Keulen,et al.  The effect of temporal variation on inputs and outputs of future-oriented land use systems in West Africa , 2002 .

[19]  G. Hoogenboom,et al.  Understanding Options for Agricultural Production , 1998, Systems Approaches for Sustainable Agricultural Development.

[20]  H. van Keulen,et al.  The 'School of de Wit' crop growth simulation models: a pedigree and historical overview. , 1996 .

[21]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Determination of input and output coefficients of cropping systems in the European Community. , 1995 .

[22]  B. Habekotte,et al.  TCG-CROP : een model voor berekening van produktie- en milieuvariabelen van verschillende gewassen ontwikkeld ten behoeve van het project 'Introductie geintegreerde akkerbouw' , 1994 .

[23]  Walter A.H. Rossing,et al.  Operationalizing sustainability: exploring options for environmentally friendly flower bulb production systems , 1997, European Journal of Plant Pathology.

[24]  Huib Hengsdijk,et al.  A technical coefficient generator for land use activities in the Koutiala region of South Mali , 1996 .

[25]  F. van der Pol,et al.  Soil Mining: An Unseen Contributor to Farm Income in Southern Mali , 1994 .

[26]  E.M.A. Smaling,et al.  An agro-ecological framework for integrated nutrient management, with special reference to Kenya , 1993 .

[27]  C. Leeuwis,et al.  Integral design : innovation in agriculture and resource management , 1999 .

[28]  H. V. Latesteijn,et al.  Land use in Europe. A methodology for policy-oriented future studies , 1999 .

[29]  Changsheng Li,et al.  A model of nitrous oxide evolution from soil driven by rainfall events: 1. Model structure and sensitivity , 1992 .

[30]  Huib Hengsdijk,et al.  Quantifying economic and biophysical sustainability trade-offs in land use exploration at the regional level: a case study for the Northern Atlantic Zone of Costa Rica , 1998 .

[31]  M.S.M. Touré,et al.  Description agronomique quantitative des systOmes de production végétale en zone Soudano-Sahélienne , 1996 .

[32]  Jeffrey W. White,et al.  Agronomic data: advances in documentation and protocols for exchange and use , 2001 .

[33]  E. J. Bakker,et al.  Sustainable land use in the Sudano-Sahelian zone of Mali: exploring economically viable options using multiple goal linear programming , 1998 .

[34]  Brian Keating,et al.  Approaches to modular model development , 2001 .

[35]  W. H. Wischmeier,et al.  A universal soil-loss equation to guide conservation farm planning. , 1960 .

[36]  R. Rabbinge,et al.  Theoretical Production Ecology: Reflections and Prospects , 1990 .

[37]  J. B. Dent,et al.  Simulation of ecological, social and economic factors in agricultural systems. , 1995 .

[38]  R. Rabbinge,et al.  Exploratory land use studies and their role in strategic policy making. , 1998 .

[39]  Howard M. Taylor,et al.  Water Use in Agriculture. (Book Reviews: Limitations to Efficient Water Use in Crop Production) , 1984 .

[40]  A. R. Kremer,et al.  Where food is capital: Labour allocation in cereals production, N.W. Mali , 1993 .

[41]  C. T. de Wit,et al.  Resource use efficiency in agriculture , 1992 .

[42]  B. Bouman A framework to deal with uncertainty in soil and management parameters in crop yield simulation: A case study for rice , 1994 .

[43]  L. R. Oldeman,et al.  World map of the status of human-induced soil degradation: an explanatory note. , 1990 .

[44]  Jacco Wallinga,et al.  The Role of Space in Plant Population Dynamics: Annual Weeds as an Example , 1995 .

[45]  R. Pandya-Lorch,et al.  Alleviating poverty, intensifying agriculture, and effectively managing natural resources.: , 1994 .

[46]  A. Nieuwenhuyse,et al.  Quantifying economic and biophysical sustainability trade-offs in tropical pastures , 1999 .

[47]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Plant, livestock and fish production , 1991 .

[48]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Systems research for optimizing future land use in South and Southeast Asia. Proceedings of the international symposium SysNet'99: Systems Research for Optimizing Future Land Use, held at the International Rice Research Institute, Los Baños, Philippines, 11-13 Oc. , 2000 .

[49]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Synthesis of methodology development and case studies , 2000 .

[50]  H. van Keulen,et al.  Four explorative land use studies in South and Southeast Asia at the ecoregional scale: How future-oriented are they? , 2000 .