Predictors of Adverse Outcomes in the Management of Mandibular Fractures

Background: Mandibular fractures are the most common isolated facial fractures in the United States. Various risk factors have been associated with increased rates of postoperative complications. However, national outcome reports are limited and data are conflicting. Using a national multi-institutional database, the authors sought to analyze 30-day outcomes after mandibular fracture repair and determine risk factors for complications, readmission, and reoperation. Methods: Retrospective review of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement database was performed to identify patients undergoing surgical treatment of mandibular fractures between 2010 and 2015 using current procedural terminology codes. Primary outcomes included: wound complications, overall complications, as well as readmission and reoperation rates. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to adjust for confounders. Results: A total of 953 patients were eligible for analysis. Mean patient age was 34.5 years, 84% were males, and 50% were active smokers. Wound complications, overall complications, 30-day reoperation, and readmission occurred in 4.0%, 7.9%, 2.2%, and 33% of patients, respectively. Age was a significant risk factor for 30-day readmission (odds ratio [OR] = 1.06, P = 0.01), reoperation (OR = 1.05, P = 0.01), and overall complications (OR = 1.03, P = 0.02) on multivariate analysis, and smoking was a significant risk factor for 30-day reoperation (OR = 4.86, P = 0.03). Conclusion: The analysis identified age as an independent risk factor for readmission, reoperation, and overall complications. Smokers were also nearly 5 times as likely to undergo additional surgery. This is particularly important given that over half of patients were active smokers, highlighting the importance of perioperative patient education and smoking cessation within this population.