Impact of the Sudd wetland on the Nile hydroclimatology

[1] Large evaporation occurs over the Sudd wetland, a huge swamp located on the upper Nile. Historically, water resources planners have had the intention to reduce the Sudd evaporation by shortcut channels (e.g., Jonglei canal). The question is: What is the effect of draining the Sudd wetland on the regional water cycle and on the Nile water flow? A regional climate model has been applied to the Nile Basin, with a special modification to include routing of the Nile flood over the Sudd. The impact of the wetland on the Nile hydroclimatology has been studied by comparing two model scenarios: the present climatology and a drained Sudd scenario. The results indicate that draining the entire Sudd has negligible impact on the regional water cycle owing to the relatively small area covered by the wetland. The runoff gain would then be up to ∼36 Gm3 yr−1. However, the impact on the microclimate is large. The relative humidity will drop by 30–40% during the dry season, and temperature will rise by 4°–6°C. The impact during the wet season is small.

[1]  A. Betts,et al.  Basin‐scale surface water and energy budgets for the Mississippi from the ECMWF reanalysis , 1999 .

[2]  R. Lacaze,et al.  A Global Database of Land Surface Parameters at 1-km Resolution in Meteorological and Climate Models , 2003 .

[3]  Eric F. Lambin,et al.  The Influence of Land Use Change on Climate in the Sahel , 2002 .

[4]  J. Garratt Sensitivity of Climate Simulations to Land-Surface and Atmospheric Boundary-Layer Treatments-A Review , 1993 .

[5]  G. Farmer Seasonal forecasting of the Kenya coast short rains, 1901–84 , 1988 .

[6]  Hubert H. G. Savenije,et al.  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Hydroclimatology of the Nile: Results from a Regional Climate Model , 2022 .

[7]  A. Holtslag,et al.  Influence of Soil Moisture on Boundary Layer Cloud Development , 2004 .

[8]  M. Ek,et al.  Daytime Evolution of Relative Humidity at the Boundary Layer Top , 1994 .

[9]  R. Arritt,et al.  Simulation of potential impacts of man-made land use changes on U.S. summer climate under various synoptic regimes , 1999 .

[10]  The impact of surface evaporative fraction on boundary layer equivalent potential temperature , 1999 .

[11]  Elfatih A. B. Eltahir,et al.  A Soil Moisture–Rainfall Feedback Mechanism: 1. Theory and observations , 1998 .

[12]  Elfatih A. B. Eltahir,et al.  A Soil Moisture–Rainfall Feedback Mechanism: 2. Numerical experiments , 1998 .

[13]  Sonia I. Seneviratne,et al.  Inferring changes in terrestrial water storage using ERA-40 reanalysis data: The Mississippi River Basin , 2004 .

[14]  J. V. Sutcliffe,et al.  The Hydrology of the Nile , 1999 .

[15]  Dara Entekhabi,et al.  Estimation of Continental Precipitation Recycling. , 1993 .

[16]  G. Righini,et al.  Monitoring wetlands for fisheries by NOAA AVHRR LAC thermal data , 1995 .

[17]  Pedro Viterbo,et al.  The land surface‐atmosphere interaction: A review based on observational and global modeling perspectives , 1996 .

[18]  P. Rowntree,et al.  Understanding the Sensitivity of a GCM Simulation of Amazonian Deforestation to the Specification of Vegetation and Soil Characteristics , 1997 .

[19]  Hubert H. G. Savenije,et al.  Spatial variability of evaporation and moisture storage in the swamps of the upper Nile studied by remote sensing techniques , 2004 .

[20]  Hubert H. G. Savenije,et al.  New definitions for moisture recycling and the relationship with land-use changes in the Sahel , 1995 .

[21]  D. Lüthi,et al.  The Soil-Precipitation Feedback: A Process Study with a Regional Climate Model , 1999 .

[22]  G. S. Benton,et al.  The role of the atmosphere in the hydrologic Cycle , 1949 .

[23]  Peter S. Eagleson The Emergence of Global‐Scale Hydrology , 1986 .

[24]  Kevin E. Trenberth,et al.  Atmospheric moisture recycling : Role of advection and local evaporation , 1999 .

[25]  G. Kite LAND SURFACE PARAMETERIZATIONS OF GCMs AND MACROSCALE HYDROLOGICAL MODELS 1 , 1998 .

[26]  Elfatih A. B. Eltahir,et al.  Atmospheric Controls on Soil Moisture-Boundary Layer Interactions. Part II: Feedbacks within the Continental United States , 2003 .

[27]  E. Eltahir A feedback mechanism in annual rainfall, Central Sudan , 1989 .

[28]  Linda O. Mearns,et al.  A Regional Model Study of the Importance of Local versus Remote Controls of the 1988 Drought and the 1993 Flood over the Central United States , 1996 .

[29]  Jonglei Investigation Team The Equatorial Nile Project and Its Effects on the Anglo-Egyptian Sudan , 1955 .

[30]  R. Pielke,et al.  The Influence of Anthropogenic Landscape Changes on Weather in South Florida , 1999 .