WFIRST-AFTA coronagraph science yield modeling with EXOSIMS

Abstract. We present and discuss the design details of an extensible, modular, open-source software framework called EXOSIMS (Exoplanet Open-Source Imaging Mission Simulator), which creates end-to-end simulations of space-based exoplanet imaging missions. We motivate the development and baseline implementation of the component parts of this software with models of the wide-field infrared survey telescope-astrophysics focused telescope assets (WFIRST-AFTA) coronagraph and present initial results of mission simulations for various iterations of the WFIRST-AFTA coronagraph design. We present and discuss two sets of simulations. The first compares the science yield of completely different instruments in the form of early competing coronagraph designs for WFIRST-AFTA. The second set of simulations evaluates the effects of different operating assumptions, specifically the assumed postprocessing capabilities and telescope vibration levels. We discuss how these results can guide further instrument development and the expected evolution of science yields.

[1]  Kerri L. Cahoy,et al.  Wavefront control in space with MEMS deformable mirrors for exoplanet direct imaging , 2013 .

[2]  Bruce Macintosh,et al.  Experimental Design for the Gemini Planet Imager , 2011, 1103.6085.

[3]  P. Dubois,et al.  SIMBAD: An Astronomical Database , 1989 .

[4]  Alexis Carlotti,et al.  A Shaped Pupil Lyot Coronagraph for WFIRST-AFTA , 2015 .

[5]  Aki Roberge,et al.  MAXIMIZING THE ExoEarth CANDIDATE YIELD FROM A FUTURE DIRECT IMAGING MISSION , 2014, 1409.5128.

[6]  K. Cahoy,et al.  EXOPLANET ALBEDO SPECTRA AND COLORS AS A FUNCTION OF PLANET PHASE, SEPARATION, AND METALLICITY , 2010, 1009.3071.

[7]  N. Jeremy Kasdin,et al.  Error budgeting and tolerancing of starshades for exoplanet detection , 2010, Astronomical Telescopes + Instrumentation.

[8]  Ulrich Bastian,et al.  The Hipparcos catalogue , 2009 .

[9]  Adam Burrows,et al.  Beyond the T Dwarfs: Theoretical Spectra, Colors, and Detectability of the Coolest Brown Dwarfs , 2003, astro-ph/0304226.

[10]  T. Henry The Mass-Luminosity Relation from End to End , 2004 .

[11]  R. Soummer,et al.  DETECTION AND CHARACTERIZATION OF EXOPLANETS AND DISKS USING PROJECTIONS ON KARHUNEN–LOÈVE EIGENIMAGES , 2012, 1207.4197.

[12]  Aki Roberge,et al.  The Search for Habitable Worlds. 1. The Viability of a Starshade Mission , 2012 .

[13]  Stuart B. Shaklan,et al.  Occulting ozone observatory science overview , 2010, Astronomical Telescopes + Instrumentation.

[14]  Howard Isaacson,et al.  The Occurrence and Mass Distribution of Close-in Super-Earths, Neptunes, and Jupiters , 2010, Science.

[15]  Brian E. Granger,et al.  IPython: A System for Interactive Scientific Computing , 2007, Computing in Science & Engineering.

[16]  Mark S. Marley,et al.  Synthetic Spectra and Colors of Young Giant Planet Atmospheres: Effects of Initial Conditions and Atmospheric Metallicity , 2008, 0805.1066.

[17]  A. M. Fowler,et al.  Demonstration of an algorithm for read-noise reduction in infrared arrays , 1990 .

[18]  Donal J. Denvir,et al.  Electron-multiplying CCD: the new ICCD , 2003, SPIE Optics + Photonics.

[19]  Etienne Artigau,et al.  A New Algorithm for Point-Spread Function Subtraction in High-Contrast Imaging: A Demonstration with Angular Differential Imaging , 2007, astro-ph/0702697.

[20]  Mark S. Marley,et al.  Planetary Radii across Five Orders of Magnitude in Mass and Stellar Insolation: Application to Transits , 2006 .

[21]  Ruslan Belikov,et al.  Simulated contrast performance of Phase Induced Amplitude Apodization (PIAA) coronagraph testbed , 2014, Astronomical Telescopes and Instrumentation.

[22]  F. Fressin,et al.  THE FALSE POSITIVE RATE OF KEPLER AND THE OCCURRENCE OF PLANETS , 2013, 1301.0842.

[23]  Edward J. Wollack,et al.  Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope-Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets WFIRST-AFTA Final Report , 2013, 1305.5422.

[24]  Dmitry Savransky,et al.  PARAMETER DISTRIBUTIONS OF KEPLERIAN ORBITS , 2010, 1012.1526.

[25]  Andrew Cumming,et al.  The Keck Planet Search: Detectability and the Minimum Mass and Orbital Period Distribution of Extrasolar Planets , 2008, 0803.3357.

[26]  J. Pollack,et al.  Estimates of the bolometric albedos and radiation balance of Uranus and Neptune , 1986 .

[27]  Robert A. Brown Single-Visit Photometric and Obscurational Completeness , 2005, astro-ph/0503077.

[28]  D. Charbonneau,et al.  THE OCCURRENCE RATE OF SMALL PLANETS AROUND SMALL STARS , 2013, 1302.1647.

[29]  Bruce Macintosh,et al.  Science yield estimation for AFTA coronagraphs , 2014, Astronomical Telescopes and Instrumentation.

[30]  Olivier Guyon,et al.  Technology development towards WFIRST-AFTA coronagraph , 2014, Astronomical Telescopes and Instrumentation.

[31]  T. Guillot,et al.  A Nongray Theory of Extrasolar Giant Planets and Brown Dwarfs , 1997, astro-ph/9705201.

[32]  Edward J. Wollack,et al.  Wide-Field InfrarRed Survey Telescope-Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets WFIRST-AFTA 2015 Report , 2015, 1503.03757.

[33]  Dmitry Savransky,et al.  Space mission design for exoplanet imaging , 2013, Optics & Photonics - Optical Engineering + Applications.

[34]  N. J. Kasdin,et al.  Analyzing the Designs of Planet-Finding Missions , 2009, 0903.4915.

[35]  F. Bonnarel,et al.  The SIMBAD astronomical database. The CDS reference database for astronomical objects , 2000, astro-ph/0002110.

[36]  Las Cumbres Observatory Global Telescope Network,et al.  PLANETARY CANDIDATES OBSERVED BY KEPLER. III. ANALYSIS OF THE FIRST 16 MONTHS OF DATA , 2012, 1202.5852.

[37]  N. Jeremy Kasdin,et al.  Linear and bayesian planet detection algorithms for the Terrestrial planet finder , 2006 .

[38]  Adam Burrows,et al.  SPECTRAL AND PHOTOMETRIC DIAGNOSTICS OF GIANT PLANET FORMATION SCENARIOS , 2011, 1108.5172.

[39]  Andrew W. Serio,et al.  First light of the Gemini Planet Imager , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[40]  G. Marcy,et al.  A PLATEAU IN THE PLANET POPULATION BELOW TWICE THE SIZE OF EARTH , 2013, 1304.0460.

[41]  J. Lunine,et al.  Reflected Spectra and Albedos of Extrasolar Giant Planets. I. Clear and Cloudy Atmospheres , 1998, astro-ph/9810073.

[42]  C. Marois,et al.  A NEW ALGORITHM FOR POINT SPREAD FUNCTION SUBTRACTION IN HIGH-CONTRAST IMAGING: A DEMONSTRATION WITH ANGULAR DIFFERENTIAL IMAGING , 2007 .

[43]  Remi Soummer,et al.  NEW COMPLETENESS METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EXOPLANET DISCOVERIES BY DIRECT DETECTION , 2010 .

[44]  John E. Krist,et al.  Complex apodization Lyot coronagraphy for the direct imaging of exoplanet systems: design, fabrication, and laboratory demonstration , 2012, Other Conferences.

[45]  Xu Wang,et al.  Low-order wavefront sensing and control for WFIRST-AFTA coronagraph , 2015 .

[46]  N. Jeremy Kasdin,et al.  Design reference mission construction for planet finders , 2008, Astronomical Telescopes + Instrumentation.