Game Theory for Data Science: Eliciting Truthful Information

Intelligent systems often depend on data provided by information agents, for example, sensor data or crowdsourced human computation. Providing accurate and relevant data requires costly effort that agents may not always be willing to provide. Thus, it becomes important not only to verify the correctness of data, but also to provide incentives so that agents that provide high-quality data are rewarded while those that do not are discouraged by low rewards. We cover different settings and the assumptions they admit, including sensing, human computation, peer grading, reviews, and predictions. We survey different incentive mechanisms, including proper scoring rules, prediction markets and peer prediction, Bayesian Truth Serum, Peer Truth Serum, Correlated Agreement, and the settings where each of them would be suitable. As an alternative, we also consider reputation mechanisms. We complement the game-theoretic analysis with practical examples of applications in prediction platforms, community sensing, and peer grading.

[1]  Paul Resnick,et al.  Eliciting Informative Feedback: The Peer-Prediction Method , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[2]  D. Helbing,et al.  How social influence can undermine the wisdom of crowd effect , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[3]  Arpit Agarwal,et al.  Informed Truthfulness in Multi-Task Peer Prediction , 2016, EC.

[4]  A. P. Dawid,et al.  Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Observer Error‐Rates Using the EM Algorithm , 1979 .

[5]  Ariel D. Procaccia,et al.  Algorithms for strategyproof classification , 2012, Artif. Intell..

[6]  Paul Resnick,et al.  The influence limiter: provably manipulation-resistant recommender systems , 2007, RecSys '07.

[7]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Reliable QoS monitoring based on client feedback , 2007, WWW '07.

[8]  E. H. Simpson Measurement of Diversity , 1949, Nature.

[9]  Laura A. Dabbish,et al.  Designing games with a purpose , 2008, CACM.

[10]  Goran Radanovic,et al.  Elicitation and Aggregation of Crowd Information , 2016 .

[11]  Ariel D. Procaccia,et al.  Incentive compatible regression learning , 2008, SODA '08.

[12]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Incentive Mechanisms for Community Sensing , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Computers.

[13]  G. Fechner,et al.  Elements of psychophysics, 1860. , 1948 .

[14]  Paul A. Pavlou,et al.  Can online reviews reveal a product's true quality?: empirical findings and analytical modeling of Online word-of-mouth communication , 2006, EC '06.

[15]  Anirban Dasgupta,et al.  Crowdsourced judgement elicitation with endogenous proficiency , 2013, WWW.

[16]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Mechanisms for Making Crowds Truthful , 2014, J. Artif. Intell. Res..

[17]  Aaron Roth,et al.  Buying private data without verification , 2014, EC.

[18]  David C. Parkes,et al.  Peer prediction without a common prior , 2012, EC '12.

[19]  Yang Liu,et al.  Machine-Learning Aided Peer Prediction , 2017, EC.

[20]  Ryan P. Adams,et al.  Trick or treat: putting peer prediction to the test , 2014 .

[21]  H. Sebastian Seung,et al.  A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem , 2017, Nature.

[22]  Gerardo Hermosillo,et al.  Learning From Crowds , 2010, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[23]  Jacob D. Abernethy,et al.  Information aggregation in exponential family markets , 2014, EC.

[24]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Incentives for Effort in Crowdsourcing Using the Peer Truth Serum , 2016, ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol..

[25]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Enforcing Truthful Strategies in Incentive Compatible Reputation Mechanisms , 2005, WINE.

[26]  Arpit Agarwal,et al.  Peer Prediction with Heterogeneous Users , 2017, EC.

[27]  Yoav Shoham,et al.  Eliciting properties of probability distributions , 2008, EC '08.

[28]  Boi Faltings,et al.  Incentives for expressing opinions in online polls , 2008, EC '08.

[29]  Carlos Guestrin,et al.  The Wisdom of Multiple Guesses , 2015, EC.

[30]  D. Prelec A Bayesian Truth Serum for Subjective Data , 2004, Science.

[31]  Drazen Prelec,et al.  Creating Truth-Telling Incentives with the Bayesian Truth Serum , 2013 .

[32]  Wai-Tat Fu,et al.  Enhancing reliability using peer consistency evaluation in human computation , 2013, CSCW '13.

[33]  Grant Schoenebeck,et al.  Putting Peer Prediction Under the Micro(economic)scope and Making Truth-Telling Focal , 2016, WINE.

[34]  Ohad Shamir,et al.  Good learners for evil teachers , 2009, ICML '09.

[35]  Yoav Shoham,et al.  Eliciting truthful answers to multiple-choice questions , 2009, EC '09.

[36]  Gregory Valiant,et al.  Learning from untrusted data , 2016, STOC.