An accounting framework for decomposing the energy-to-GDP ratio into its structural components of change

An accounting methodology is presented for decomposing the total change in the energy-to-GDP ratio over time into its component parts: sectoral mix effect, changes in the quality of energy inputs, factor substitution effect, and a residual variable which mainly represents technical change. This residual is the energy analogue of the multifactor technical change variable developed by Solow and Denison. It is the underlying change in technical efficiency of energy utilisation which is measured by imputation. The methodology is applied to analysing changes in the New Zealand energy-to-GDP ratio over the 1971–1984 period in order to understand the structural basis for the internationally atypical upward movement in New Zealand's ratio over this period. In applying the methodology special attention is given to the problem of measuring aggregate consumption with respect to dealing with energy inputs of different qualities.

[1]  Energy-income coefficients and ratios : Their use and abuse , 1980 .

[2]  David L. Greene,et al.  Recent Changes in U.S. Energy Consumption: What Happened and Why , 1983 .

[3]  J. Percebois,et al.  Is the concept of energy intensity meaningful , 1979 .

[4]  C. Hall,et al.  Energy and the U.S. Economy: A Biophysical Perspective , 1984, Science.

[5]  Bobby E. Apostolakis Energy—capital substitutability/ complementarity: The dichotomy , 1990 .

[6]  J. Moroney Output and Energy: An International Analysis , 1989 .

[7]  The horsepower crash to be expected in the USA , 1990 .

[8]  G. Hankinson,et al.  Electricity consumption, electricity intensity and industrial structure , 1983 .

[9]  Murray Patterson Estimation of the quality of energy sources and uses , 1983 .

[10]  I. Kravis World product and income : international comparisons of real gross product , 1983 .

[11]  Gerald Leach,et al.  Net energy analysis — is it any use? , 1975 .

[12]  D. Huettner Net energy analysis: an economic assessment. , 1976, Science.

[13]  I. Kravis A System of international comparisons of gross product and purchasing power , 1976 .

[14]  R. K. Cattell,et al.  Structural change and energy efficiency in industry , 1983 .

[15]  D. Reister The link between energy and GDP in developing countries , 1987 .

[16]  Howard T. Odum,et al.  Systems ecology : an introduction , 1984 .

[17]  Ralph Turvey,et al.  On Measuring Energy Consumption , 1965 .

[18]  R. Solow TECHNICAL CHANGE AND THE AGGREGATE PRODUCTION FUNCTION , 1957 .

[19]  E. F. Denison,et al.  Accounting for Slower Economic Growth , 1979 .

[20]  Fereidoon P. Sioshansi,et al.  Energy, Electricity, and the U.S. Economy: Emerging Trends , 1986 .

[21]  E. Berndt Aggregate Energy, Efficiency, and Productivity Measurement , 1978 .

[22]  H. Motamen,et al.  Structural changes in the UK energy market , 1985 .

[23]  Goran Ostblom Energy use and structural changes: Factors behind the fall in Sweden's energy output ratio , 1982 .

[24]  E. Panas,et al.  The capital--energy controversy: further results , 1989 .

[26]  R. Fluck Energy productivity: A measure of energy utilisation in agricultural systems , 1979 .

[27]  P. Ramain The energy demand elasticity in relation to gross domestic product: A relevant indicator? , 1986 .

[28]  Edward F. Renshaw,et al.  Energy efficiency and the slump in labour productivity in the USA , 1981 .

[29]  The-Hiep Nguyen On energy coefficients and ratios , 1984 .

[30]  John L. R. Proops,et al.  Modelling the energy-output ratio , 1984 .

[31]  Chris Cocklin,et al.  In the aftermath of the energy crisis New Zealand's energy policy in the 1970s and 1980s , 1990 .

[32]  Erich Unterwurzacher,et al.  Electricity end-use efficiency: An assessment of the scope for efficiency gains and policy options , 1991 .

[33]  Malcolm Slesser,et al.  Energy in the economy , 1978 .

[34]  R. K. Cattell,et al.  Energy and Structural Change in the United Kingdom and Western Europe , 1987 .