A PREDICTIVE MACROSCOPIC CITY TRAFFIC FLOWS SIMULATION MODEL

This paper describes a new predictive macroscopic city traffic flows simulation model that is intended to provide a basis for the real-time optimisation of urban traffic. The model has two components: the first one performs real-time estimation of turning movements coefficients based on the measurements of traffic flows and the second one uses these estimates, together with externally provided traffic light controls, to predict traffic flows. The model is evaluated on historical data containing both traffic flows and traffic controls information.