Mapping spatio-temporal variables: The impact of the time-averaging window width on the spatial accuracy

Spatial mapping of variables that vary in space and time is a common procedure in many research fields. Very often it is of interest to map the time-average or time-integration of the variable over the whole period of interest. Normally, such a map is produced by spatially interpolating the whole period averages of the observed data. An alternative option is to first spatially interpolate narrow time slice averages of the variable and then sum the resultant maps. This paper discusses the latter option, and the accuracy of the spatio-temporal variable interpolation as a function of the width of the time-averaging window. Theoretically, using a linear and data-value independent operator to interpolate a complete data set (i.e. without missing data), the accuracy is independent of the width of the time-averaging window. However, using a nonlinear or a data-value dependent interpolation operator, and/or in the presence of missing data, the accuracy of the interpolation can vary with the averaging window width. The concept is demonstrated using a set of half-hourly SO2 concentrations measured at 20 monitoring stations in Haifa Bay area, Israel, during the years 1996–2002. Crossvalidated interpolation accuracy measures calculated for this data set vary significantly with the time-averaging window width, showing a clear minimum at daily averaging. The results and their general implications for the interpolation of spatio-temporal variables are discussed. r 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

[1]  Lester L. Yuan,et al.  Comparison of spatial interpolation methods for the estimation of air quality data , 2004, Journal of Exposure Analysis and Environmental Epidemiology.

[2]  Noel A Cressie,et al.  Statistics for Spatial Data, Revised Edition. , 1994 .

[3]  Amy J. Ruggles,et al.  An Experimental Comparison of Ordinary and Universal Kriging and Inverse Distance Weighting , 1999 .

[4]  David E. Booth,et al.  Analysis of Incomplete Multivariate Data , 2000, Technometrics.

[5]  Robert Haining,et al.  Statistics for spatial data: by Noel Cressie, 1991, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 900 p., ISBN 0-471-84336-9, US $89.95 , 1993 .

[6]  S. Marsh,et al.  Climate spatial variability and data resolution in a semi-arid watershed, south-eastern Arizona , 2003 .

[7]  M. Pensa,et al.  Air Pollution Zones and Harmful Pollution Levels of Alkaline Dust for Plants , 2003 .

[8]  William W. Hsieh,et al.  The impact of time‐averaging on the detectability of nonlinear empirical relations , 2002 .

[9]  M. Stone Cross‐Validatory Choice and Assessment of Statistical Predictions , 1976 .

[10]  Timothy C. Coburn,et al.  Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation , 2000, Technometrics.

[11]  Mike Rees,et al.  5. Statistics for Spatial Data , 1993 .

[12]  Steven C. Sherwood Climate signals from station arrays with missing data, and an application to winds , 2000 .

[13]  John O. Carter,et al.  Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data , 2001, Environ. Model. Softw..

[14]  Michael Edward Hohn,et al.  An Introduction to Applied Geostatistics: by Edward H. Isaaks and R. Mohan Srivastava, 1989, Oxford University Press, New York, 561 p., ISBN 0-19-505012-6, ISBN 0-19-505013-4 (paperback), $55.00 cloth, $35.00 paper (US) , 1991 .

[15]  Kazuhiko Ito,et al.  Estimation of historical annual PM2.5 exposures for health effects assessment , 2004 .

[16]  W. González-Manteiga,et al.  Comparison of Kriging and Neural Networks With Application to the Exploitation of a Slate Mine , 2004 .

[17]  M. Stone,et al.  Cross‐Validatory Choice and Assessment of Statistical Predictions , 1976 .

[18]  J. Fasullo Biennial Characteristics of Indian Monsoon Rainfall , 2004 .

[19]  B. Minasny,et al.  Kriging method evaluation for assessing the spatial distribution of urban soil lead contamination. , 2002, Journal of environmental quality.

[20]  Effects of time averaging on climate regimes , 2004 .

[21]  Rupert G. Miller The jackknife-a review , 1974 .

[22]  Phaedon C. Kyriakidis,et al.  Stochastic modeling of atmospheric pollution: a spatial time-series framework. Part I: methodology , 2001 .

[23]  D. Myers,et al.  Estimating and modeling space–time correlation structures , 2001 .

[24]  Estimating quantiles of a selected exponential population , 2001 .

[25]  Phaedon C. Kyriakidis,et al.  Stochastic modeling of atmospheric pollution: a spatial time-series framework. Part II: application to monitoring monthly sulfate deposition over Europe , 2001 .

[26]  Steven C. Sherwood Climate signal mapping and an application to atmospheric tides , 2000 .

[27]  C. Willmott Some Comments on the Evaluation of Model Performance , 1982 .

[28]  F. Dominici,et al.  Fine particulate air pollution and mortality in 20 U.S. cities, 1987-1994. , 2000, The New England journal of medicine.

[29]  Nicole A. Lazar,et al.  Statistical Analysis With Missing Data , 2003, Technometrics.

[30]  George Christakos,et al.  A composite space/time approach to studying ozone distribution over eastern united states , 1998 .

[31]  Rong Chen,et al.  Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas , 1997 .

[32]  J. Diem,et al.  A critical examination of ozone mapping from a spatial-scale perspective. , 2003, Environmental pollution.

[33]  Arnon Karnieli,et al.  Application of kriging technique to areal precipitation mapping in Arizona , 1990 .

[34]  Evolution of spatial patterns of subdecadal signals in annual rainfall in Southern South America and Southern and Central North America , 2004 .