Market Share Pioneering Advantage: A Theoretical Approach

In this paper we present an industry in which a pioneer has entered, accumulated capital in the form of goodwill, and in his monopoly period has also reduced his cost of production as a result of some form of learning by doing. At some later date a newcomer enters. His production cost is higher than that of the monopolist at that date. However due to diffusion of information, the costs of the two firms equate at some future date. Once the new firm enters the market a duopolistic game begins in which the firms choose prices and investment rates. Analyzing this game we discover the conditions under which the final market shares no longer depend on the order of entry, the initial cost advantage, the length of the monopoly period, or the length of time it took the newcomer to overcome the pioneer's cost advantage. We analyze the speed and pattern of convergence to the final market shares and the capital path of the pioneer in his monopoly period, depending on his beliefs concerning the possibility of entry.

[1]  L. Fourt,et al.  Early Prediction of Market Success for New Grocery Products , 1960 .

[2]  K. Arrow,et al.  OPTIMAL ADVERTISING POLICY UNDER DYNAMIC CONDITIONS , 1962 .

[3]  Dan Horsky,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of the Optimal Advertising Policy , 1977 .

[4]  Robert C. Blattberg,et al.  Tracker: An Early Test Market Forecasting and Diagnostic Model for New Product Planning , 1978 .

[5]  Martin Shubik,et al.  MARKET STRUCTURE, OPPONENT BEHAVIOR, AND INFORMATION IN A MARKET GAME , 1978 .

[6]  Kenneth R. Deal Optimizing Advertising Expenditures in a Dynamic Duopoly , 1979, Oper. Res..

[7]  R. Heeler,et al.  Problems in Predicting New Product Growth for Consumer Durables , 1980 .

[8]  Edward I. Brody,et al.  News: A Decision-Oriented Model for New Product Analysis and Forecasting , 1982 .

[9]  R. Rao Equilibrium advertising in an oligopoly with Nerlove-Arrow advertising dynamics: Existence and stability , 1982 .

[10]  Gerald L. Thompson,et al.  Oligopoly Models for Optimal Advertising When Production Costs Obey a Learning Curve , 1983 .

[11]  D. Horsky,et al.  Advertising and the Diffusion of New Products , 1983 .

[12]  Gerald L. Thompson,et al.  Optimal Pricing and Advertising Policies for New Product Oligopoly Models , 1984 .

[13]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  Capital Accumulation Games of Infinite Duration , 1984 .

[14]  C. Fornell,et al.  Sources of Market Pioneer Advantages in Consumer Goods Industries , 1985 .

[15]  Rabikar Chatterjee,et al.  Analytical Models of Competition with Implications for Marketing: Issues, Findings, and Outlook , 1985 .

[16]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  Turnpike Properties of Capital Accumulation Games , 1986 .

[17]  J. Eliashberg,et al.  The Impact of Competitive Entry in a Developing Market Upon Dynamic Pricing Strategies , 1986 .

[18]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  Alternative Approaches to Dynamic Games , 1987 .

[19]  C. Fershtman,et al.  Identification of classes of differential games for which the open loop is a degenerate feedback Nash equilibrium , 1987 .

[20]  Tony McGuinness,et al.  The Economics of the Firm , 1987 .

[21]  W. T. Robinson Sources of Market Pioneer Advantages: The Case of Industrial Goods Industries , 1988 .

[22]  E. Dockner,et al.  TURNPIKE PROPERTIES AND COMPARATIVE DYNAMICS OF GENERAL CAPITAL ACCUMULATION GAMES , 1988 .

[23]  Harutaka Takahashi,et al.  Further turnpike properties for general capital accumulation games , 1988 .

[24]  E. Dockner,et al.  Optimal Pricing Strategies for New Products in Dynamic Oligopolies , 1988 .