Pre-evaluation of Contingency Plans for Meteorological Disasters Based on LINMAP Method

As the guidelines of dealing with meteorological disasters, whether contingency plans are perfect or not will affect the efficiency of the emergency response directly. In this paper, the process of pre-evaluation of contingency plans is expounded in detail: Firstly, this process is based on multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) method, which is to find a best solution from all feasible plans assessed on multiple attributes; secondly, the linear programming technique for multi-dimensional analysis of preference (LINMAP) method is used to develop decision analysis and generates the best alternative as the solution; thirdly, the typical evaluation indexes are selected and a numerical example is presented to demonstrate the validity and applicability of the proposed method. Finally, because the pre-evaluation results are difficult to verify, Copeland rule is used to colligate the ranking orders of different decision departments.

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