The climate of a retrograde rotating Earth

Abstract. To enhance understanding of Earth's climate, numerical experiments are performed contrasting a retrograde and prograde rotating Earth using the Max Planck Institute Earth system model. The experiments show that the sense of rotation has relatively little impact on the globally and zonally averaged energy budgets but leads to large shifts in continental climates, patterns of precipitation, and regions of deep water formation. Changes in the zonal asymmetries of the continental climates are expected given ideas developed more than a hundred years ago. Unexpected was, however, the switch in the character of the European–African climate with that of the Americas, with a drying of the former and a greening of the latter. Also unexpected was a shift in the storm track activity from the oceans to the land in the Northern Hemisphere. The different patterns of storms and changes in the direction of the trades influence fresh water transport, which may underpin the change of the role of the North Atlantic and the Pacific in terms of deep water formation, overturning and northward oceanic heat transport. These changes greatly influence northern hemispheric climate and atmospheric heat transport by eddies in ways that appear energetically consistent with a southward shift of the zonally and annually averaged tropical rain bands. Differences between the zonally averaged energy budget and the rain band shifts leave the door open, however, for an important role for stationary eddies in determining the position of tropical rains. Changes in ocean biogeochemistry largely follow shifts in ocean circulation, but the emergence of a “super” oxygen minimum zone in the Indian Ocean is not expected. The upwelling of phosphate-enriched and nitrate-depleted water provokes a dominance of cyanobacteria over bulk phytoplankton over vast areas – a phenomenon not observed in the prograde model. What would the climate of Earth look like if it would rotate in the reversed (retrograde) direction? Which of the characteristic climate patterns in the ocean, atmosphere, or land that are observed in a present-day climate are the result of the direction of Earth's rotation? Is, for example, the structure of the oceanic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) a consequence of the interplay of basin location and rotation direction? In experiments with the Max Planck Institute Earth system model (MPI-ESM), we investigate the effects of a retrograde rotation in all aspects of the climate system. The expected consequences of a retrograde rotation are reversals of the zonal wind and ocean circulation patterns. These changes are associated with major shifts in the temperature and precipitation patterns. For example, the temperature gradient between Europe and eastern Siberia is reversed, and the Sahara greens, while large parts of the Americas become deserts. Interestingly, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) shifts southward and the modeled double ITCZ in the Pacific changes to a single ITCZ, a result of zonal asymmetries in the structure of the tropical circulation. One of the most prominent non-trivial effects of a retrograde rotation is a collapse of the Atlantic MOC, while a strong overturning cell emerges in the Pacific. This clearly shows that the position of the MOC is not controlled by the sizes of the basins or by mountain chains splitting the continents in unequal runoff basins but by the location of the basins relative to the dominant wind directions. As a consequence of the changes in the ocean circulation, a “super” oxygen minimum zone develops in the Indian Ocean leading to upwelling of phosphate-enriched and nitrate-depleted water. These conditions provoke a dominance of cyanobacteria over bulk phytoplankton over vast areas, a phenomenon not observed in the prograde model.

[1]  Alexander J. Winkler,et al.  Developments in the MPI‐M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) and Its Response to Increasing CO2 , 2019, Journal of advances in modeling earth systems.

[2]  What Fraction of the Pacific and Indian Oceans' Deep Water is formed in the North Atlantic? , 2018 .

[3]  Fei-xue Fu,et al.  Microorganisms and ocean global change , 2017, Nature Microbiology.

[4]  T. Ilyina,et al.  Incorporating a prognostic representation of marine nitrogen fixers into the global ocean biogeochemical model HAMOCC , 2017 .

[5]  S. Klein,et al.  Impact of decadal cloud variations on the Earth/'s energy budget , 2016 .

[6]  Veronika Eyring,et al.  Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization , 2015 .

[7]  M. Webb,et al.  The Dependence of Radiative Forcing and Feedback on Evolving Patterns of Surface Temperature Change in Climate Models , 2015 .

[8]  T. Mauritsen,et al.  Forcing and feedback in the MPI‐ESM‐LR coupled model under abruptly quadrupled CO2 , 2013 .

[9]  T. Schneider,et al.  Energetic Constraints on the Position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone , 2013 .

[10]  Sarah M. Kang,et al.  Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere , 2013 .

[11]  V. Brovkin,et al.  Representation of natural and anthropogenic land cover change in MPI‐ESM , 2013 .

[12]  B. Stevens,et al.  The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM6 - Model description , 2013 .

[13]  Jochem Marotzke,et al.  Arctic sea‐ice evolution as modeled by Max Planck Institute for Meteorology's Earth system model , 2013 .

[14]  Katja Lohmann,et al.  Characteristics of the ocean simulations in the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPIOM) the ocean component of the MPI‐Earth system model , 2013 .

[15]  Hongmei Li,et al.  Global ocean biogeochemistry model HAMOCC: Model architecture and performance as component of the MPI‐Earth system model in different CMIP5 experimental realizations , 2013 .

[16]  B. Stevens,et al.  Atmospheric component of the MPI‐M Earth System Model: ECHAM6 , 2013 .

[17]  Chao Li,et al.  Deep-ocean heat uptake and equilibrium climate response , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[18]  T. Andrews,et al.  An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations , 2012 .

[19]  Stephen E. Schwartz,et al.  Observing and Modeling Earth’s Energy Flows , 2012, Surveys in Geophysics.

[20]  Robin S. Smith,et al.  The FAMOUS climate model (versions XFXWB and XFHCC): description update to version XDBUA , 2011 .

[21]  D. Capone,et al.  Emerging patterns of marine nitrogen fixation , 2011, Nature Reviews Microbiology.

[22]  T. Schneider,et al.  Winter cold of eastern continental boundaries induced by warm ocean waters , 2011, Nature.

[23]  H. Dijkstra,et al.  The global ocean circulation on a retrograde rotating earth , 2010 .

[24]  V. Brovkin,et al.  The effect of a dynamic background albedo scheme on Sahel/Sahara precipitation during the mid-Holocene , 2010 .

[25]  Mark D. Zelinka,et al.  Why is longwave cloud feedback positive , 2010 .

[26]  V. Brovkin,et al.  Combined biogeophysical and biogeochemical effects of large-scale forest cover changes in the MPI earth system model , 2010 .

[27]  Sarah M. Kang,et al.  The Tropical Response to Extratropical Thermal Forcing in an Idealized GCM: The Importance of Radiative Feedbacks and Convective Parameterization , 2009 .

[28]  M. Claussen Late Quaternary vegetation-climate feedbacks , 2009 .

[29]  V. Brovkin,et al.  Atmospheric lifetime of fossil-fuel carbon dioxide , 2009 .

[30]  Sarah M. Kang,et al.  The Response of the ITCZ to Extratropical Thermal Forcing: Idealized Slab-Ocean Experiments with a GCM , 2008 .

[31]  J. K. Moore,et al.  Sedimentary and mineral dust sources of dissolved iron to the World Ocean , 2007 .

[32]  Andreas Oschlies,et al.  Nitrogen Fixation and Temperature Physiological Constraints on the Global Distribution of Trichodesmium – Effect of Temperature on Diazotrophy Nitrogen Fixation and Temperature , 2022 .

[33]  M. Biasutti,et al.  Sensitivity of the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone to Last Glacial Maximum boundary conditions , 2003 .

[34]  Naomi Naik,et al.  Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe's mild winters? , 2002 .

[35]  B. Hoskins,et al.  New perspectives on the Northern Hemisphere winter storm tracks , 2002 .

[36]  W. Broecker,et al.  Thermohaline circulation, the achilles heel of our climate system: will man-made CO2 upset the current balance? , 1997, Science.

[37]  Tim Li,et al.  Why the ITCZ is mostly north of the equator , 1996 .

[38]  Brian J. Hoskins,et al.  Monsoons and the dynamics of deserts , 1996 .

[39]  David William Keith Meridional energy transport: uncertainty in zonal means , 1995 .

[40]  Wallace Broeker,et al.  The Great Ocean Conveyor , 1991 .

[41]  John M. Wallace,et al.  The Influence of Sea-Surface Temperature on Surface Wind in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific: Seasonal and Interannual Variability , 1989 .

[42]  B. Warren Why is no deep water formed in the North Pacific , 1983 .

[43]  J. Lodge Annual review of earth and planetary sciences , 1979 .

[44]  Jan Munzar Alexander Von Humboldt and his Isotherms , 1967 .

[45]  H. Stommel,et al.  Thermohaline Convection with Two Stable Regimes of Flow , 1961 .

[46]  W. Köppen,et al.  Die Klimate der Erde : Grundriss der Klimakunde , 1923 .

[47]  G. Hadley VI. Concerning the cause of the general trade-winds , 2022, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.