RISK ASSESSMENT OF DESIGN-BID-BUILD AND DESIGN-BUILD BUILDING PROJECTS

Projects managers normally seek to lower the extent of risk by signing contracts, such as Design- Bid-Build (DBB) or Design-Build (DB) project delivery systems to transfer or share risk over to other project entities. The main purpose of this study is doing risk assessment from the perspective of clients, comparing project delivery systems mentioned above to see, firstly, what risk factors are, and, secondly, to analyze the ranking of risk factors and amount of risk with temporal sequencing change over dierent project stages (e.g. proposal surveying, scheme designing, procurement contracting, and construction receiving). Thus, identify risk factors using literature reviews and conduct survey with clients; utilize the fuzzy numbers with integral value to simulate the changes of ranking of risk factors and the amount of risk with temporal sequencing, given dierent the attitude of decision makers in risk management (pessimistic, neutral, or op- timistic) of the decision-makers towards risk, meanwhile, consider information accuracy in decision-making environment. The result shows that Design-Bid-Build mainly concern about quotation, cost, drawing spec- ification, etc. Furthermore, many risks arise in earlier stage, such as proposal surveying stage and scheme designing stage, that the practice of Design-Build should exert precaution to prevent likelihood of contrac- tors using inferior materials to cheat profit out of armed bidding assignment, drawings, etc., and that risks are higher in proposal surveying stage and procurement contracting stage.

[1]  Mao-Jiun J. Wang,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making method for facility site selection , 1991 .

[2]  Takashi Kaneta,et al.  RISK ANALYSIS IN CONSTRUCTION PHASE OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS , 2001 .

[3]  He Zhi Risk management for overseas construction projects , 2003 .

[4]  Jamal F. Al‐Bahar,et al.  Systematic Risk Management Approach for Construction Projects , 1990 .

[5]  Joseph H. M. Tah,et al.  Risk interdependencies and natural language computations , 1996 .

[6]  J. Perry,et al.  RISK AND ITS MANAGEMENT IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS. , 1985 .

[7]  A. Thorpe,et al.  Contractor project risks contingency allocation using linguistic approximation , 1993 .

[8]  Li Bing,et al.  Risk management model for international construction joint ventures , 1999 .

[9]  Mark Konchar,et al.  Comparison of U.S. Project Delivery Systems , 1998 .

[10]  Christopher M. Gordon,et al.  Choosing Appropriate Construction Contracting Method , 1994 .

[11]  Roozbeh Kangari Risk Management Perceptions and Trends of U.S. Construction , 1995 .

[12]  Mohammed I Al Khalil,et al.  Selecting the appropriate project delivery method using AHP , 2002 .

[13]  高橋 進 サイアート, マーチの「A Behavioral Theory of the Firm」 , 1995 .

[14]  Terry M Willams,et al.  Using a risk register to integrate risk management in project definition , 1994 .

[15]  Mao-Jiun J. Wang,et al.  Ranking fuzzy numbers with integral value , 1992 .

[16]  E. Johnsen Richard M. Cyert & James G. March, A Behavioral Theory of The Firm, Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1963, 332 s. , 1964 .

[17]  Charles M. Spink Choosing the Right Delivery System , 1997 .

[18]  V. M. Rao Tummala,et al.  Practices, barriers and benefits of risk management process in building services cost estimation , 1997 .

[19]  Roy J. Lewicki,et al.  Temporal orientation and perceived control as determinants of risk-taking. , 1966 .

[20]  S. Thomas Ng,et al.  A case-based procurement advisory system for construction , 2003 .

[21]  I. Vertinsky,et al.  Adjusting risky situations: A theoretical framework and empirical test , 1989 .

[22]  Ibrahim M. Mahdi,et al.  Decision support system for selecting the proper project delivery method using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) , 2005 .

[23]  C. Hwang,et al.  Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making Methods , 1992 .

[24]  J. March,et al.  Managerial perspectives on risk and risk taking , 1987 .

[25]  Florence Yean Yng Ling,et al.  Predicting Performance of Design-Build and Design-Bid-Build Projects , 2004 .

[26]  B. Akinci,et al.  FACTORS AFFECTING CONTRACTORS' RISK OF COST OVERBURDEN , 1998 .

[27]  M. Shubik,et al.  A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. , 1964 .

[28]  Ahmet Öztaş,et al.  Risk analysis in fixed-price design–build construction projects , 2004 .

[29]  Colin M. Sorrill Risk Analysis for Large Projects: Models, Methods and Cases , 1987 .

[30]  Ching-Lai Hwang,et al.  Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making - Methods and Applications , 1992, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems.

[31]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Sets , 1996, Inf. Control..

[32]  F. Swierczek Culture and conflict in joint ventures in Asia , 1994 .

[33]  S. Grey Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management , 1995 .

[34]  V. M. Rao Tummala,et al.  Applying a Risk Management Process (RMP) to manage cost risk for an EHV transmission line project , 1999 .

[35]  G. Bortolan,et al.  A review of some methods for ranking fuzzy subsets , 1985 .

[36]  A Norman,et al.  DISCUSSION. RISK AND ITS MANAGEMENT IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS. , 1986 .

[37]  Sm Rowlinson,et al.  Proceedings of CIB W92 - Procurement Systems : North Meets South : Developing Ideas, the Department of Property Development and Construction Economics, University of Natal, Durban, South Africa, 14-17 January 1996. , 1996 .