A maximum likelihood method for studying gene-environment interactions under conditional independence of genotype and exposure.

Given the biomedical interest in gene-environment interactions along with the difficulties inherent in gathering genetic data from controls, epidemiologists need methodologies that can increase precision of estimating interactions while minimizing the genotyping of controls. To achieve this purpose, many epidemiologists suggested that one can use case-only design. In this paper, we present a maximum likelihood method for making inference about gene-environment interactions using case-only data. The probability of disease development is described by a logistic risk model. Thus the interactions are model parameters measuring the departure of joint effects of exposure and genotype from multiplicative odds ratios. We extend the typical inference method derived under the assumption of independence between genotype and exposure to that under a more general assumption of conditional independence. Our maximum likelihood method can be applied to analyse both categorical and continuous environmental factors, and generalized to make inference about gene-gene-environment interactions. Moreover, the application of this method can be reduced to simply fitting a multinomial logistic model when we have case-only data. As a consequence, the maximum likelihood estimates of interactions and likelihood ratio tests for hypotheses concerning interactions can be easily computed. The methodology is illustrated through an example based on a study about the joint effects of XRCC1 polymorphisms and smoking on bladder cancer. We also give two simulation studies to show that the proposed method is reliable in finite sample situation.

[1]  Andrew G Rundle,et al.  Further development of the case-only design for assessing gene-environment interaction: evaluation of and adjustment for bias. , 2004, International journal of epidemiology.

[2]  J. Lawless,et al.  Empirical Likelihood and General Estimating Equations , 1994 .

[3]  W D Flanders,et al.  Nontraditional epidemiologic approaches in the analysis of gene-environment interaction: case-control studies with no controls! , 1996, American journal of epidemiology.

[4]  P S Albert,et al.  Limitations of the case-only design for identifying gene-environment interactions. , 2001, American journal of epidemiology.

[5]  C R Weinberg,et al.  Designing and analysing case-control studies to exploit independence of genotype and exposure. , 1997, Statistics in medicine.

[6]  Jack A. Taylor,et al.  Non-hierarchical logistic models and case-only designs for assessing susceptibility in population-based case-control studies. , 1994, Statistics in medicine.

[7]  C B Begg,et al.  Statistical analysis of molecular epidemiology studies employing case-series. , 1994, Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology.

[8]  B. Armstrong,et al.  Fixed Factors that Modify the Effects of Time-Varying Factors: Applying the Case-Only Approach , 2003, Epidemiology.

[9]  J. Qin,et al.  A goodness-of-fit test for logistic regression models based on case-control data , 1997 .

[10]  Nilanjan Chatterjee,et al.  Semiparametric maximum likelihood estimation exploiting gene-environment independence in case-control studies , 2005 .

[11]  Jack A. Taylor,et al.  DNA repair gene XRCC1 polymorphisms, smoking, and bladder cancer risk. , 2001, Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology.

[12]  N E Day,et al.  The design of case-control studies: the influence of confounding and interaction effects. , 1984, International journal of epidemiology.

[13]  P Vineis,et al.  Cigarette smoking, N-acetyltransferase 2 acetylation status, and bladder cancer risk: a case-series meta-analysis of a gene-environment interaction. , 2000, Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology.