Lake Wobegon be gone! The "below-average effect" and the egocentric nature of comparative ability judgments.

Like the inhabitants of Garrison Keillor's (1985) fictional community of Lake Wobegon, most people appear to believe that their skills and abilities are above average. A series of studies illustrates one of the reasons why: when people compare themselves with their peers, they focus egocentrically on their own skills and insufficiently take into account the skills of the comparison group. This tendency engenders the oft-documented above-average effect in domains in which absolute skills tend to be high but produces a reliable below-average effect in domains in which absolute skills tend to be low (Studies 1 and 2). In Study 3, cognitive load exacerbated these biases, suggesting that people "anchor" on their assessment of their own abilities and insufficiently "adjust" to take into account the skills of the comparison group. These results suggest that the tendency to see oneself as above average may not be as ubiquitous as once thought.

[1]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Comparison of Bayesian and Regression Approaches to the Study of Information Processing in Judgment. , 1971 .

[2]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Attention and Effort , 1973 .

[3]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[4]  Yaacov Trope,et al.  Difficulty and diagnosticity as determinants of choice among tasks. , 1975 .

[5]  Daniel G Bobrow,et al.  On data-limited and resource-limited processes , 1975, Cognitive Psychology.

[6]  A. Tversky Features of Similarity , 1977 .

[7]  Laurie Larwood,et al.  Swine Flu: A Field Study of Self-Serving Biases , 1978 .

[8]  P. Clance,et al.  The imposter phenomenon in high achieving women: Dynamics and therapeutic intervention. , 1978 .

[9]  T. K. Srull,et al.  The Role of Category Accessibility in the Interpretation of Information About Persons: Some Determinants and Implications , 1979 .

[10]  M. Ross,et al.  Egocentric Biases in Availability and Attribution , 1979 .

[11]  N. Weinstein Unrealistic optimism about future life events , 1980 .

[12]  R. Felson Ambiguity and bias in the self-concept. , 1981 .

[13]  Neil D. Weinstein,et al.  Egocentrism as a Source of Unrealistic Optimism , 1982 .

[14]  George A. Quattrone Overattribution and unit formation: When behavior engulfs the person. , 1982 .

[15]  T. K. Srull,et al.  General Principles and Individual Differences in the Self as a Habitual Reference Point: An Examination of Self-Other Judgments of Similarity , 1983 .

[16]  K. Holyoak,et al.  Social reference points , 1983 .

[17]  Jim Blascovich,et al.  On the Remote Associates Test (RAT) as an Alternative to Illusory Performance Feedback: A Methodological Note , 1984 .

[18]  E. Kimmel,et al.  THE IMPOSTER PHENOMENON: FEELING PHONY , 1985 .

[19]  David M. Messick,et al.  Why We Are Fairer Than Others , 1985 .

[20]  Garrison Keillor,et al.  Lake Wobegon Days , 1985 .

[21]  M. Alicke Global self-evaluation as determined by the desirability and controllability of trait adjectives. , 1985 .

[22]  Jonathon D. Brown,et al.  Evaluations of Self and Others: Self-Enhancement Biases in Social Judgments , 1986 .

[23]  J. D. Campbell Similarity and uniqueness: the effects of attribute type, relevance, and individual differences in self-esteem and depression. , 1986, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[24]  L. Perloff,et al.  Self–other judgments and perceived vulnerability to victimization. , 1986 .

[25]  P. Clance,et al.  The Imposter Phenomenon: An Internal Barrier to Empowerment and Achievement , 1987 .

[26]  J. Bargh,et al.  Social cognition and social perception. , 1987, Annual review of psychology.

[27]  Shelley E. Taylor,et al.  Illusion and well-being: a social psychological perspective on mental health. , 1988, Psychological bulletin.

[28]  Daniel T. Gilbert,et al.  Journal of Personality and Social Psychology of Thoughts Unspoken Social Inference and the Self-regulation of Behavior , 2022 .

[29]  D. Gilbert,et al.  On cognitive busyness: When person perceivers meet persons perceived. , 1988 .

[30]  Z. Kunda,et al.  Motivated changes in the self-concept. , 1989 .

[31]  Daniel T. Gilbert,et al.  Thinking lightly about others: Automatic components of the social inference process. , 1989 .

[32]  D. Dunning,et al.  Ambiguity and self-evaluation: the role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability , 1989 .

[33]  Z. Kunda,et al.  The case for motivated reasoning. , 1990, Psychological bulletin.

[34]  Jonathon D. Brown,et al.  Evaluating one's abilities: Shortcuts and stumbling blocks on the road to self-knowledge , 1990 .

[35]  R. Klatzky,et al.  Traits and social stereotypes : efficiency differences in social information processing , 1990 .

[36]  Deborah A. Prentice,et al.  Familiarity and differences in self- and other-representations. , 1990, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[37]  T. Gilovich,et al.  How We Know What Isn't So: The Fallibility of Human Reason in Everyday Life , 1991 .

[38]  D. Gilbert,et al.  The trouble of thinking: Activation and application of stereotypic beliefs. , 1991 .

[39]  D. Gilbert How mental systems believe. , 1991 .

[40]  A. Tversky,et al.  The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence , 1992, Cognitive Psychology.

[41]  N. Vanyperen Self-Enhancement Among Major League Soccer Players: The Role of Importance and Ambiguity on Social Comparison Behavior1 , 1992 .

[42]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model , 1992, Cognitive Psychology.

[43]  B Fischhoff,et al.  Adolescent (in)vulnerability. , 1993, The American psychologist.

[44]  O. John,et al.  Accuracy and bias in self-perception: individual differences in self-enhancement and the role of narcissism. , 1994, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[45]  J. van der Pligt,et al.  Perceiving AIDS-related risks: accuracy as a function of differences in actual risk , 1994 .

[46]  P. Harris,et al.  The illusion of control and optimism about health: on being less at risk but no more in control than others. , 1994, The British journal of social psychology.

[47]  Vera Hoorens,et al.  Self‐Favoring Biases, Self‐Presentation, and the Self‐Other Asymmetry in Social Comparison , 1995 .

[48]  D. R. Lehman,et al.  Cultural variation in unrealistic optimism: Does the West feel more vulnerable than the East? , 1995 .

[49]  D. Gilbert,et al.  The correspondence bias. , 1995, Psychological bulletin.

[50]  Mark Snyder,et al.  Unrealistic Optimism: Self-Enhancement or Person Positivity? , 1995 .

[51]  K. A. Morris,et al.  When comparisons arise. , 1995 .

[52]  M. L. Klotz,et al.  Personal contact, individuation, and the better-than-average effect. , 1995 .

[53]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Measures of Anchoring in Estimation Tasks , 1995 .

[54]  Rüdiger F. Pohl,et al.  No Reduction in Hindsight Bias after Complete Information and Repeated Testing , 1996 .

[55]  Alexander J. Rothman,et al.  Absolute and Relative Biases in Estimations of Personal Risk , 1996 .

[56]  D. Sarel,et al.  Nonunique invulnerability : Singular versus distributional probabilities and unrealistic optimism in comparative risk judgments , 1996 .

[57]  Evidence for egocentric comparison in social judgment , 1996 .

[58]  D. R. Lehman,et al.  The cultural construction of self-enhancement: an examination of group-serving biases. , 1997, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[59]  Y. Klar,et al.  No one in my group can be below the group's average: a robust positivity bias in favor of anonymous peers. , 1997, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[60]  T. Gilovich,et al.  The illusion of transparency: biased assessments of others' ability to read one's emotional states. , 1998, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[61]  Christina T. Fong,et al.  Automatic Activation of Stereotypes: The Role of Self-Image Threat , 1998 .

[62]  J. Kruger,et al.  Unskilled and unaware of it: how difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. , 1999, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[63]  T. Gilovich,et al.  The spotlight effect in social judgment: an egocentric bias in estimates of the salience of one's own actions and appearance. , 2000, Journal of personality and social psychology.