Rules for Optimal Operation of Reservoir-River-Groundwater Systems Considering Water Quality Targets: Application of M5P Model

The aim of this paper is to develop rules for optimal reservoir operation and water withdrawal from river and aquifer considering water supply and pollution control targets. The general approach is making use of an integrated water quantity-quality management (IWQM) modeling in conjunction with accurate data mining techniques. The IWQM model generates data, including; optimal releases and water withdrawal from river and aquifer for different conditions, and M5P and Support Vector Regression (SVR) data mining models utilize the results of the IWQM model for the derivation of rules. The IWQM model minimizes the deviation from water supply and water quality targets during the planning horizon. This method for derivation of operating rules is applied to a real world case study, Zayandehrood system, in Iran, with serious water supply and water pollution problems. The IWQM model is analyzed for different hydrologic and water demands scenarios with total dissolved solids (TDS) as the water quality indicator. Results show that an integrated approach to reservoir-river-aquifer operation in the study area can reduce the TDS by 43 % in the downstream river.

[1]  Jiejin Cai,et al.  Applying support vector machine to predict hourly cooling load in the building , 2009 .

[2]  Bing Chen,et al.  An Interval-Parameter Waste-Load-Allocation Model for River Water Quality Management Under Uncertainty , 2009, Environmental management.

[3]  João Vieira,et al.  Optimization of the Operation of Large-Scale Multisource Water-Supply Systems , 2011 .

[4]  A. Solera,et al.  Water Quantity and Quality Models Applied to the Jucar River Basin, Spain , 2010 .

[5]  Gordon H. Huang,et al.  IPWM: AN INTERVAL PARAMETER WATER QUALITY MANAGEMENT MODEL , 1996 .

[6]  Amir Etemad-Shahidi,et al.  Model tree approach for prediction of pile groups scour due to waves , 2011 .

[7]  Roland K. Price,et al.  Application of model trees and other machine learning techniques for algal growth prediction in Yongdam reservoir, Republic of Korea , 2010 .

[8]  Reza Kerachian,et al.  Characterizing an unknown pollution source in groundwater resources systems using PSVM and PNN , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[9]  Mohammad Reza Nikoo,et al.  Equitable Waste Load Allocation in Rivers Using Fuzzy Bi-matrix Games , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[10]  Yan Wang,et al.  A Coupled Water Quantity–Quality Model for Water Allocation Analysis , 2010 .

[11]  Mohammad Reza Nikoo,et al.  A Nonlinear Interval Model for Water and Waste Load Allocation in River Basins , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[12]  Reza Kerachian,et al.  Locating monitoring wells in groundwater systems using embedded optimization and simulation models. , 2010, The Science of the total environment.

[13]  R. Kerachian,et al.  An Interval Parameter Model for Cooperative Inter-Basin Water Resources Allocation Considering the Water Quality Issues , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[14]  Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis,et al.  Integrated modeling as a decision‐aiding tool for groundwater management in a Mediterranean agricultural watershed , 2013 .

[15]  Mohammad Reza Nikoo,et al.  Water and Pollution Discharge Permit Allocation to Agricultural Zones: Application of Game Theory and Min-Max Regret Analysis , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[16]  D. Burn,et al.  Comparison of Optimization Formulations for Waste‐Load Allocations , 1992 .

[17]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Development of a Master Plan for Water Pollution Control Using MCDM Techniques: A Case Study , 2003 .

[18]  J. R. Quinlan Learning With Continuous Classes , 1992 .

[19]  Amir Etemad-Shahidi,et al.  Design of rubble-mound breakwaters using M5 ′ machine learning method , 2009 .

[20]  Abbas Afshar,et al.  Fuzzy rule-based model for hydropower reservoirs operation , 2011 .

[21]  Fakhri Karray,et al.  Inferring operating rules for reservoir operations using fuzzy regression and ANFIS , 2007, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[22]  H. Burcharth Design of Rubble Mound Breakwaters: Structural Integrity , 1992 .

[23]  Lizhong Wang,et al.  Basin-wide cooperative water resources allocation , 2008, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[24]  Toshiya Aramaki,et al.  Evaluation model of policy scenarios for basin-wide water resources and quality management in the tone river, Japan , 1998 .