Refining genetic associations in multiple sclerosis

Genome-wide association studies involve several hundred thousand markers and, even when quality control is scrupulous, are invariably confounded by residual uncorrected errors that can falsely inflate the apparent difference between cases and controls (so-called genomic inflation). As a consequence such studies inevitably generate false positives alongside genuine associations. By use of Bayesian logic and empirical data, the Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium suggested that association studies in complex disease should involve at least 2000 cases and 2000 controls, at which level they predicted that p values of less than 5×10 −7 would more commonly signify true positives than false positives.