Application of Intent Inference for Air Defense and Conformance Monitoring

The human brain has remarkable capabilities in perception and reasoning. However, the amount of complex data/information that can be processed by the human brain is constrained by the limited memory capacity. Hence, computational tools are necessary to provide cognitive aid to the human brain in attaining better performance in intellectual tasks, such as decision making. Intent inference is about analyzing the actions and activities of an opponent or a target of interest to obtain a conclusion (prediction) on its purpose [3, 10, 18, 24]. Generally, data (collectively called observables) concerning the opponent are first collected from available sources. Next, the data are fused to obtain useful information. Finally, the fused information is utilized to derive the inferred intent of the opponent. It is desirable that intent inference be able to provide three kinds of hypotheses about an opponent’s objective [3, 18]:

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