Renewable Energy Scenarios for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

A widespread enthusiasm has been growing with regard to the transition towards more sustainable systems of production and consumption in order to meet today’s needs without compromising those of future generations. Renewable energy technologies, in particular, are becoming internationally recognised as a vital contribution towards a sustainable energy future. This paper presents a set of renewable energy scenarios for the currently oil-rich Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. These scenarios have been developed using the Delphi technqiue, and represent a joint creation of thirty-five highly informed individuals from diverse backgrounds.

[1]  R. Beretta,et al.  A critical review of the Delphi technique. , 1996, Nurse researcher.

[2]  P. Aarts.  The Internal and the External: The House of Saud's Resilience Explained , 2004 .

[3]  Yasser Al-Saleh,et al.  • A Glimpse into the Status and Prospect of Renewables in Oil-Producing Countries; With a Special Reference to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia , 2007 .

[4]  Karl E. Weick,et al.  Group Techniques for Idea Building. , 1988 .

[5]  P. Mullen.  Delphi: myths and reality. , 2003, Journal of health organization and management.

[6]  Guido Reger,et al.  Advantages and Disadvantages of Scenario Approaches for Strategic Foresight , 2005 .

[7]  Violetta Cavalli-Sforza,et al.  Delphi Forecasts of Land Use: Transportation Interactions , 1984 .

[8]  E. Martinot,et al.  Renewable Energy Futures: Targets, Scenarios, and Pathways , 2007 .

[9]  D. Spiegelhalter,et al.  Consensus development methods, and their use in clinical guideline development. , 1998, Health technology assessment.

[10]  H. Kahn,et al.  The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, , 1967 .

[11]  M. Simmons.  Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy , 2005 .

[12]  Agence pour l'Energie Nucléaire.  Projected Costs of Generating Electricity 2005 , 2005 .

[13]  Murray Turoff,et al.  The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications , 1976 .

[14]  C Duffield,et al.  The Delphi technique. , 1988, The Australian journal of advanced nursing : a quarterly publication of the Royal Australian Nursing Federation.

[15]  N. Dalkey,et al.  An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts , 1963 .

[16]  B. D. Vries,et al.  Perspectives on global change : the TARGETS approach , 1997 .

[17]  Jim Igoe,et al.  The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World , 2005 .

[18]  G. Destouni,et al.  Renewable Energy , 2010, AMBIO.

[19]  Ben Spencer‐Cooke.  Conditions of Participation in Rural, Non‐Formal Education Programmes: A Delphi Study , 1989 .

[20]  Martin Pehnt,et al.  Dynamic life cycle assessment (LCA) of renewable energy technologies , 2006 .

[21]  Frederick J. Parenté,et al.  An examination of factors contributing to delphi accuracy , 1984 .

[22]  Simon Shackley,et al.  Decarbonising the UK: Energy for a Climate Conscious Future , 2005 .

[23]  J. Hertin,et al.  Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment: using scenarios as ‘learning machines’ , 2002 .

[24]  H. McKenna.  The Delphi technique: a worthwhile research approach for nursing? , 1994, Journal of advanced nursing.

[25]  James L. Barnes.  An international study of curricular organizers for the study of technology , 1987 .

[26]  Joseph F. Coates.  Energy Needs, Choices, and Possibilities, Scenarios to 2050 , 2002 .

[27]  J. Goldemberg.  World energy assessment : energy and the challenge of sustainability , 2000 .

[28]  C. Powell.  The Delphi technique: myths and realities. , 2003, Journal of advanced nursing.

[29]  Harold Sackman,et al.  Delphi critique : expert opinion, forecasting, and group process , 1975 .

[30]  G. Ducot,et al.  A typology for scenarios , 1980 .

[31]  M. Godet,et al.  Creating the future: The use and misuse of scenarios , 1996 .

[32]  P. Gummett.  The Social Construction of Technological Systems: New Directions in the Sociology and History of Technology , 1988 .

[33]  George Wright,et al.  The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning , 2005 .

[34]  Tudor Rickards.  The age of heretics , 1998 .

[35]  Göran Finnveden,et al.  Towards a user's guide to scenarios : A report on scenario types and scenario techniques , 2005 .