Fixing the Fix? Assessing the Effectiveness of the 4pm Fix Benchmark

We examine the design and effectiveness of the 4pm Fix, the most important benchmark in FX markets, using a unique dataset of trader identified order book data from an inter- dealer venue. We propose and examine new measures of benchmark quality and examine changes to market liquidity and trader behaviour. Benchmark quality, measured as price efficiency and robustness, improves after the lengthening of the fix window to 5 minutes, but comes at the cost of a significant increase in tracking error for users of the benchmark. We also find that quoted spreads and price impact increase following the window lengthening, with HFTs trading more aggressively during the fix.

[1]  J. Saakvitne 'Banging the Close': Price Manipulation or Optimal Execution? , 2016 .

[2]  Martin D. D. Evans Forex Trading and the WMR Fix , 2017 .

[3]  Takatoshi Ito,et al.  Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment , 1997 .

[4]  Takatoshi Ito,et al.  Did the Reform Fix the London Fix Problem? , 2017 .

[5]  Michael Melvin,et al.  Equity hedging and exchange rates at the London 4p.m. fix , 2015 .

[6]  Bettina Peiers,et al.  Informed Traders, Intervention and Price Leadership: A Deeper View of the Microstructure of the Foreign Exchange Market , 1997 .

[7]  D. Rime,et al.  Dealer Behavior and Trading Systems in Foreign Exchange Markets , 2000 .

[8]  Lukas Menkhoff,et al.  The noise trading approach — questionnaire evidence from foreign exchange , 1998 .

[9]  D. Duffie,et al.  Benchmarks in Search Markets , 2014 .

[10]  Alexander Mende 09/11 on the USD/EUR foreign exchange market , 2005 .

[11]  Gbenga Ibikunle,et al.  Benchmark Regulation and Market Quality , 2017 .

[12]  Francis Breedon,et al.  An empirical study of portfolio-balance and information effects of order flow on exchange rates , 2010 .

[13]  Clara Vega,et al.  Rise of the Machines: Algorithmic Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market , 2009 .

[14]  C. Osler Dealer Trading at the Fix , 2016 .

[15]  Darrell Duffie,et al.  Reforming LIBOR and Other Financial-Market Benchmarks , 2014 .

[16]  A. Menkveld High frequency trading and the new market makers , 2013 .