The Utilization of the Behavioral Sciences in Long Range Forecasting and Policy Planning Volume I. Appendices

Abstract : The Technical Reports which comprise this volume provide detailed documentation of the technical work accomplished under this contract (ARPA contract No. 3527-A1, DAHC 15 73 C 0197). These reports were written throughout the period of the contract and were originally submitted as appendices to the various Semi-Annual Technical Reports. Substantively these reports treat the range of topics dealt with under this contract including the role of forecasting in foreign policy planning, an evaluation of various analytic methods used in forecasting and policy planning, an evaluation of the utility of some of the major empirical studies of international behavior for forecasting and policy planning, and extensive treatments of the various components of the Saudi Arabian planning simulation.