Optimization and estimation in system reliability allocation problem

Abstract Designing an optimal reliability system with a minimum cost is one of the challenging problems in engineering field over the years. Estimating the subsystem reliability and determining the optimal number of component allocation will give an insight into the adequate performance of the entire system under study. In some scenarios, if a subsystem fails, then the whole system will fail, thus posing a severe threat to the safety of engineers and personnel involved. Hence, the need to optimally determine and allocate the required number of components as well as estimating their reliability so that the system’s safety would be guaranteed. In this paper, two procedures for estimating system reliability function are proposed using the maximum likelihood estimators and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators. The reliability functions of some selected lifetime distributions are estimated using the proposed procedures via a simulation study. The study presents a hybrid concept of estimation and optimization theory in reliability allocation problem. The work illustrated through a case study, and an optimization technique used to determine the optimal number of components at a minimum cost. The study would be useful for decision-makers in heavy industries/complex systems to help estimate the reliability of system components, optimize the allocation and manufacturer selection problems.

[1]  Jean-Philippe P. Richard,et al.  A Lagrangian relaxation approach to simultaneous strategic and tactical planning in supply chain design , 2013, Ann. Oper. Res..

[3]  David W. Coit,et al.  Reliability optimization of series-parallel systems using a genetic algorithm , 1996, IEEE Trans. Reliab..

[4]  Kuancheng Huang,et al.  A Lagrangian relaxation based heuristic for the consolidation problem of airfreight forwarders , 2007 .

[5]  K. K. Aggarwal,et al.  Reliability evaluation A comparative study of different techniques , 1975 .

[6]  K. Grace,et al.  Probabilistic Reliability: An Engineering Approach , 1968 .

[7]  Laurence A. Baxter,et al.  On the optimal assembly of series-parallel systems , 1992, Oper. Res. Lett..

[8]  Chao Dang,et al.  Structural reliability assessment by salp swarm algorithm–based FORM , 2020, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[9]  Emad El-Neweihi,et al.  Optimal allocation of components in parallel−series and series−parallel systems , 1986 .

[10]  David W. Coit,et al.  Multiple Weighted Objectives Heuristic for the Redundancy Allocation Problem , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[11]  Maw-Sheng Chern,et al.  Parametric nonlinear integer programming: The right-hand side case , 1991 .

[12]  Tongdan Jin,et al.  System optimization with component reliability estimation uncertainty: a multi-criteria approach , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[13]  T. Sottinen,et al.  Maximum likelihood estimators from discrete data modeled by mixed fractional Brownian motion with application to the Nordic stock markets , 2020, Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput..

[14]  Pushpa L. Gupta,et al.  Modeling failure time data by lehman alternatives , 1998 .

[15]  Nabakumar Jana,et al.  Bayes estimation for exponential distributions with common location parameter and applications to multi-state reliability models , 2016 .

[16]  Maxim Finkelstein On the reversed hazard rate , 2002, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[17]  David W. Coit,et al.  Game theory based solution selection for multi-objective redundancy allocation in interval-valued problem parameters , 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[18]  Atin Roy,et al.  Support vector regression based metamodel by sequential adaptive sampling for reliability analysis of structures , 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[19]  Ajit Chaturvedi,et al.  On Estimation of Reliability Functions using Record values from Proportional Hazard Rate Model , 2019, Austrian Journal of Statistics.

[20]  Irfan Ali,et al.  Integer Fuzzy Programming Approach in Bi-objective Selective Maintenance Allocation Problem , 2014, J. Math. Model. Algorithms Oper. Res..

[21]  Florin Leon,et al.  Active Redundancy Allocation in Complex Systems by Using Different Optimization Methods , 2019, ICCCI.

[22]  Irfan Ali,et al.  FUZZY PROGRAMMING APPROACH FOR A COMPROMISE ALLOCATION OF REPAIRABLE COMPONENTS , 2012 .

[23]  Kuldeep Chauhan,et al.  ESTIMATION OF THE RELIABILITY FUNCTION FOR A FAMILY OF LIFETIME DISTRIBUTIONS UNDER TYPE I AND TYPE II CENSORINGS , 2010 .

[24]  Frederick S. Hillier,et al.  Introduction of Operations Research , 1967 .

[25]  Ajit Chaturvedi,et al.  Estimation and Testing procedures for the Reliability functions of Exponentiated distributions under censorings , 2017 .

[26]  Maw-Sheng Chern,et al.  Reliability Optimization Problems with Multiple Constraints , 1986, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[27]  Y. Tong,et al.  Optimal arrangement of components via pairwise rearrangements , 1989 .

[28]  Irfan Ali,et al.  Selective Maintenance in System Reliability with Random Costs of Repairing and Replacing the Components , 2013, Commun. Stat. Simul. Comput..

[29]  Jinting Wang,et al.  Reliability and availability analysis of a retrial system with mixed standbys and an unreliable repair facility , 2021, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[30]  Samuel Kotz,et al.  The Exponentiated Type Distributions , 2006 .

[31]  R. E. Taylor,et al.  Optimal Redundancy for Reliability in Series Systems , 1969, Oper. Res..

[32]  Armin Jabbarzadeh,et al.  Incorporating location and inventory decisions into a supply chain design problem with uncertain demands and lead times , 2017 .

[33]  Jean-Philippe P. Richard,et al.  An integrated supply chain problem: a nested lagrangian relaxation approach , 2015, Ann. Oper. Res..

[34]  Hamdy A. Taha,et al.  Operations research: an introduction / Hamdy A. Taha , 1982 .

[35]  Sanjeev K. Tomer,et al.  UMVU estimation of the reliability function of the generalized life distributions , 2003 .

[36]  Asef Nazari,et al.  Multi-objective Beam-ACO for Maximising Reliability and Minimising Communication Overhead in the Component Deployment Problem , 2020, Algorithms.

[37]  W. Kuo Reliability Enhancement Through Optimal Burn-In , 1984, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[38]  Ir. R. N. v. Hees,et al.  Optimal Reliability of Parallel Multicomponent Systems , 1961 .

[39]  Ali I. Genç Estimation of P(X>Y) with Topp–Leone distribution , 2011 .

[40]  Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez,et al.  A generic method for estimating system reliability using Bayesian networks , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[41]  Murshid Kamal,et al.  Neutrosophic fuzzy goal programming approach in selective maintenance allocation of system reliability , 2021, Complex & Intelligent Systems.

[42]  K. I. M. McKinnon,et al.  A convexification method for a class of global optimization problems with applications to reliability optimization , 2001, J. Glob. Optim..

[43]  Yongqin Wang,et al.  Time-variant reliability analysis using the parallel subset simulation , 2019, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[44]  Maw-Sheng Chern,et al.  Parametric Programming Applied to Reliability Optimization Problems , 1985, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[45]  A. Saidane,et al.  Optimal Reliability Design: Fundamentals and Applications , 2001 .

[46]  Irfan Ali,et al.  Allocating Repairable and Replaceable Components for a System Availability using Selective Maintenance: an Integer Solution , 2011 .

[47]  Shubin Si,et al.  Reliability optimization of k-out-of-n system with random selection of allocative components , 2019, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[48]  N. A. Mokhlis,et al.  Reliability of a Stress-Strength Model with Burr Type III Distributions , 2005 .

[49]  Hoang Pham On the estimation of reliability of k-out-of-n systems , 2010, Int. J. Syst. Assur. Eng. Manag..

[50]  K. Rajamani,et al.  Optimization of System Reliability Using a Parametric Approach , 1973 .

[51]  Yuji Nakagawa,et al.  Optimal Reliability Allocation by Branch-and-Bound Technique , 1978, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[52]  Sushil Kumar,et al.  A cost minimisation model for system reliability allocation , 2019 .

[53]  Mohammadhossein Heydari,et al.  Robust allocation of testing resources in reliability growth , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[54]  Hare Krishna,et al.  Estimation of reliability characteristics of general system configuration , 2008 .

[55]  Olga Battaïa,et al.  An improved Lagrangian relaxation-based heuristic for a joint location-inventory problem , 2015, Comput. Oper. Res..

[56]  Srikant Gupta,et al.  Multi-objective capacitated transportation: a problem of parameters estimation, goodness of fit and optimization , 2018, Granular Computing.

[57]  Ajit Chaturvedi,et al.  Estimation of the reliability function for two-parameter exponentiated Rayleigh or Burr type X distribution , 2014 .

[58]  Suk-Bok Kang,et al.  Estimation and testing procedures for the reliability functions of generalized half logistic distribution , 2016 .

[59]  Way Kuo,et al.  An annotated overview of system-reliability optimization , 2000, IEEE Trans. Reliab..

[60]  Chin-yuan Hu,et al.  More comparisons of MLE with UMVUE for exponential families , 1990 .

[61]  Antonio Di Crescenzo Some results on the proportional reversed hazards model , 2000 .

[62]  R. Gordon Optimum Component Redundancy for Maximum System Reliability , 1957 .

[63]  K. Misra Reliability Optimization of a Series-Parallel System , 1972 .

[64]  Eisa Mahmoudi,et al.  Sequential fixed-accuracy confidence intervals for the stress–strength reliability parameter for the exponential distribution: two-stage sampling procedure , 2020, Computational Statistics.

[65]  David W. Coit,et al.  Considering risk profiles in design optimization for series-parallel systems , 1997, Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium.

[66]  Ruiming Zhang,et al.  On estimation for the Pareto distribution , 2014 .

[67]  K. Rosaiah,et al.  Estimation of stress-strength reliability from exponentiated Fréchet distribution , 2016, The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology.

[68]  Maw-Sheng Chern,et al.  On the computational complexity of reliability redundancy allocation in a series system , 1992, Oper. Res. Lett..

[69]  Eduardo Lenz Cardoso,et al.  Comparison of robust, reliability-based and non-probabilistic topology optimization under uncertain loads and stress constraints , 2020 .

[70]  Reliability estimation in a multicomponent stress–strength based on unit-Gompertz distribution , 2019 .

[71]  Enrico Zio,et al.  The evolution of system reliability optimization , 2019, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[72]  Anupam Pathak,et al.  Estimation of the Reliability Function for Four-Parameter Exponentiated Generalized Lomax distribution , 2014 .