Do Banks Benefit from Internationalization? Revisiting the Market Power-Risk Nexus

Recent developments on international financial markets have called the benefits of bank globalization into question. Large, internationally active banks have acquired substantial market power, and international activities have not necessarily made banks less risky. Yet, surprisingly little is known about the actual link between bank internationalization, bank risk, and market power. Analyzing this link is the purpose of this paper. We jointly estimate the determinants of risk and market power of banks, and we analyze the effects of changes in terms of the number of foreign countries (the extensive margin) and the volume of foreign assets (the intensive margin). Our paper has four main findings. First, there is a strong negative feedback effect between risk and market power. Second, banks with higher shares of foreign assets, in particular those held through foreign branches, have higher market power at home. Third, holding assets in a large number of foreign countries tends to increase bank risk. Fourth, the impact of internationalization differs across banks from different banking groups and of different size.

[1]  Lammertjan Dam,et al.  Bank Bailouts and Moral Hazard : Evidence from Germany , 2012 .

[2]  Gregory F. Udell,et al.  Cross-border banking, credit access, and the financial crisis , 2012 .

[3]  M. Delis Bank competition, financial reform, and institutions: The importance of being developed , 2012 .

[4]  James W. Kolari,et al.  Enjoying the Quiet Life under Deregulation? Evidence from Adjusted Lerner Indices for U.S. Banks , 2012, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[5]  M. Koetter,et al.  Size, productivity, and international banking , 2011 .

[6]  James S. Linck,et al.  Vertical Integration to Avoid Contracting with Potential Competitors: Evidence from Bankers’ Banks , 2011 .

[7]  Nicolas Coeurdacier,et al.  International portfolio diversification is better than you think , 2011 .

[8]  Gregory F. Udell,et al.  Bank Risk-Taking Abroad: Does Home-Country Regulation and Supervision Matter? , 2011 .

[9]  Rainer Frey,et al.  Cross-Border Bank Lending, Risk Aversion and the Financial Crisis , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[10]  M. Koetter,et al.  Crises, Rescues, and Policy Transmission Through International Banks , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[11]  René M. Stulz,et al.  The Credit Crisis Around the Globe: Why Did Some Banks Perform Better? , 2011 .

[12]  D. Mihaljek,et al.  BIS Working Papers No 315 The determinants of cross-border bank flows to emerging markets : new empirical evidence on the spread of financial crises , 2010 .

[13]  Rima Turk Ariss On the implications of market power in banking: Evidence from developing countries , 2010 .

[14]  Jose A. Lopez,et al.  How Does Competition Impact Bank Risk-Taking? , 2010 .

[15]  R. Townsend,et al.  Welfare Gains from Financial Liberalization , 2007, International economic review.

[16]  M. Koetter,et al.  Margins of International Banking: Is There a Productivity Pecking Order in Banking, Too? , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  S. Claessens,et al.  Being a Foreigner among Domestic Banks: Asset or Liability? , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[18]  C. Borio,et al.  The Systemic Importance of Financial Institutions , 2009 .

[19]  Prasanna Gai,et al.  Why are there so Many Banking Crises? The Politics and Policy of Bank Regulation , 2009 .

[20]  M. Koetter,et al.  The identification of technology regimes in banking: Implications for the market power-fragility nexus , 2009 .

[21]  K. Schaeck,et al.  Are Competitive Banking Systems More Stable , 2009 .

[22]  S. Ongena,et al.  Microeconometrics of Banking , 2009 .

[23]  Mariassunta Giannetti,et al.  'Lending by Example': Direct and Indirect Effects of Foreign Banks in Emerging Markets , 2008 .

[24]  Thorsten Beck Bank Competition and Financial Stability: Friends or Foes? , 2008 .

[25]  Luc Laeven,et al.  Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking , 2008 .

[26]  J. Rochet Introduction to Why Are There So Many Banking Crises? The Politics and Policy of Bank Regulation , 2008 .

[27]  Rafael Repullo,et al.  Does Competition Reduce the Risk of Bank Failure? , 2008 .

[28]  Jose A. Lopez,et al.  How does competition impact bank risd-taking? , 2007 .

[29]  Daniel Trefler,et al.  Improved Access to Foreign Markets Raises Plant-Level Productivity ... For Some Plants , 2007 .

[30]  John O. S. Wilson,et al.  European banking: An overview , 2007 .

[31]  J. Maudos,et al.  The cost of market power in banking: Social welfare loss vs. cost inefficiency , 2007 .

[32]  J. Maudos,et al.  Explanatory Factors of Market Power in the Banking System , 2007 .

[33]  Michael Koetter,et al.  Slippery Slopes of Stress: Ordered Failure Events in German Banking , 2007, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[34]  C. Buch,et al.  FDI versus exports: Evidence from German banks. , 2007 .

[35]  Christoph Memmel,et al.  Diversification and the Banks' Risk-Return-Characteristics - Evidence from Loan Portfolios of German Banks , 2007 .

[36]  Asli Demirgüç-Kunt,et al.  Banking on the Principles: Compliance with Basel Core Principles and Bank Soundness , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[37]  Philip Molyneux,et al.  Cross-Country Comparisons of Competition and Pricing Power in , 2006 .

[38]  E. Detragiache,et al.  Foreign Banks in Poor Countries: Theory and Evidence , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[39]  J. Maudos,et al.  The cost of market power in banking: social welfare loss vs. inefficiency cost , 2006 .

[40]  Rainer Winkelmann,et al.  Analysis of Microdata , 2006 .

[41]  I. Lelyveld,et al.  Internal Capital Markets and Lending by Multinational Bank Subsidiaries , 2006 .

[42]  Mariassunta Giannetti Financial Liberalization and Banking Crises: The Role of Capital Inflows and Lack of Transparency , 2005 .

[43]  J. Boyd,et al.  The Theory of Bank Risk Taking and Competition Revisited , 2005 .

[44]  F. González Bank regulation and risk-taking incentives: An international comparison of bank risk , 2005 .

[45]  Pierre-Guillaume Méon,et al.  Can mergers in Europe help banks hedge against macroeconomic risk? , 2005 .

[46]  G. Calzolari,et al.  Regulation of Multinational Banks: A Theoretical Inquiry , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[47]  Tanju Yorulmazer,et al.  Too Many to Fail - An Analysis of Time-Inconsistency in Bank Closure Policies , 2004 .

[48]  G. Hale,et al.  The Decision to First Enter the Public Bond Market: The Role of Firm Reputation, Funding Choices, & Bank Relationships , 2004 .

[49]  Atif R. Mian Distance Constraints: The Limits of Foreign Lending in Poor Economies , 2004 .

[50]  L. Goldberg Financial Sector FDI and Host Countries: New and Old Lessons , 2004 .

[51]  Jan Boone,et al.  A New Way to Measure Competition , 2004 .

[52]  Franklin Allen,et al.  Financial Intermediaries and Markets , 2003 .

[53]  Franklin Allen,et al.  Competition and Financial Stability , 2003 .

[54]  F. Rodríguez Bank Regulation and Risk-Taking Incentives: An International Comparison of Bank Risk , 2003 .

[55]  A. Pozzolo,et al.  Where Do Banks Expand Abroad? An Empirical Analysis , 2005 .

[56]  Carmelo Salleo,et al.  Consolidation and Efficiency in the Financial Sector: A Review of the International Evidence , 2003 .

[57]  K. Stiroh,et al.  Diversification in Banking: Is Noninterest Income the Answer? , 2002 .

[58]  C. Matutes,et al.  Market power and banking failures , 2002 .

[59]  Erlend W. Nier,et al.  Market Discipline, Disclosure and Moral Hazard in Banking , 2002 .

[60]  S. Ongena,et al.  Distance, Lending Relationships and Competition , 2002 .

[61]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  To What Extent Will the Banking Industry Be Globalized? A Study of Bank Nationality and Reach in 20 European Nations , 2002 .

[62]  Robert Marquez,et al.  Competition and Strategic Information Acquisition in Credit Markets , 2002 .

[63]  Anthony Saunders,et al.  The Effects of Cross-Border Bank Mergers on Bank Risk and Value , 2002 .

[64]  Jeffrey M. Woodbridge Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data , 2002 .

[65]  R. Gropp,et al.  Bank Concentration and Retail Interest Rates , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[66]  Franklin Allen,et al.  What do financial intermediaries do , 2001 .

[67]  Gianni De Nicolò Size, Charter Value and Risk in Banking: An International Perspective , 2000 .

[68]  Allen N. Berger The \\"big picture\\" of bank diversification , 2000 .

[69]  R. V. Vennet Bank Relationship and Firm Profitability , 2000 .

[70]  K. Roland,et al.  Product Mix and Earnings Volatility at Commercial Banks: Evidence from a Degree of Leverage Model , 2001 .

[71]  C. Plott DIVISION OF THE HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES , 2006 .

[72]  Andrew Winton,et al.  Don't Put All Your Eggs in One Basket? Diversification and Specialization in Lending , 1999 .

[73]  D. Romer,et al.  Does Trade Cause Growth , 1999 .

[74]  S. Ongena,et al.  Bank Relationships and Firm Profitability , 1999 .

[75]  Gary D. Ferrier,et al.  Consistency Conditions for Regulatory Analysis of Financial Institutions: A Comparison of Frontier Efficiency Methods , 1998 .

[76]  Simon H. Kwan,et al.  Bank Risk, Capitalization, and Operating Efficiency , 1997 .

[77]  R. Brealey,et al.  The determination of foreign banking location , 1996 .

[78]  Kose John,et al.  A Theory of Bank Regulation and Management Compensation , 1995 .

[79]  Allen N. Berger The Relationship between Capital and Earnings in Banking. , 1995 .

[80]  Gary D. Ferrier,et al.  Economies of diversification in the banking industry: A frontier approach , 1993 .

[81]  Paul W. Wilson,et al.  Explaining Bank Failures: Deposit Insurance, Regulation, and Efficiency , 1993 .

[82]  Kose John,et al.  Risk-shifting incentives of depository institutions: A new perspective on federal deposit insurance reform , 1991 .

[83]  D. Rivers,et al.  Limited Information Estimators and Exogeneity Tests for Simultaneous Probit Models , 1988 .

[84]  M. C. Keeley,et al.  Deposit insurance, risk, and market power in banking , 1988 .

[85]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  Competitive viability in banking: Scale, scope, and product mix economies , 1987 .

[86]  P. Schmidt,et al.  Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics. , 1984 .

[87]  C. Ball,et al.  The Decision to Establish a Foreign Bank Branch or Subsidiary: An Application of Binary Classification Procedures , 1982, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.