The Political Consequences of Center-Led Redistribution in Brazilian Federalism: The Fall of Subnational Party Machines

The article aims to identify the factors behind a series of center-left electoral victories in the 2002 and 2006 state elections, which indicate the decay of state political machines in Brazil’s poorest regions. It is argued that vertical competition between the federal and state governments in the provision of public policies works as a constraint on state bosses’ strategies of political control. The withering of state political machines may be understood as an indirect consequence of the national political shifts represented by the rise of Brazil’s most important left-wing organization—the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores)—to the presidency in 2002 and 2006. Social and economic policies implemented by the federal government under PT rule undermined subnational patron-client networks by improving the life conditions of the poorest sections of the electorate. The article explores the interlinking of national and subnational electoral dynamics by developing statistical models for state- and municipal-level data.