Scotland׳s hydropower: Current capacity, future potential and the possible impacts of climate change

To promote the transition towards a low carbon economy, the Scottish Government has adopted ambitious energy-related targets, including generating all electricity from renewable sources by 2020. To achieve this, continued investment will be required across a range of sustainable technologies.

[1]  Bengt Carlsson,et al.  Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods – a case study on the Lule River basin , 2007 .

[2]  G. Harrison.  Climate Change in Scotland： Impact on Mini-Hydro , 2005 .

[3]  Tasneem Abbasi,et al.  Small hydro and the environmental implications of its extensive utilization , 2011 .

[4]  Andreas Bauder,et al.  Projections of future water resources and their uncertainty in a glacierized catchment in the Swiss Alps and the subsequent effects on hydropower production during the 21st century , 2012 .

[5]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  A multimodel ensemble approach to assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River Basin , 2006 .

[6]  Robert J. Moore,et al.  Development of a high resolution grid-based river flow model for use with regional climate model output , 2007 .

[7]  Bettina Schaefli,et al.  Climate change and hydropower production in the Swiss Alps: quantification of potential impacts and related modelling uncertainties , 2007 .

[8]  V. Bell,et al.  A grid-based distributed flood forecasting model for use with weather radar data: Part 2. Case studies , 1998 .

[9]  Gareth Paul Harrison,et al.  An assessment of the impact of climate change on hydroelectric power , 2001 .

[10]  Matthew D. Collins,et al.  UK Climate Projections Science Report: Climate Change Projections , 2009 .

[11]  Bernd Spänhoff,et al.  Current status and future prospects of hydropower in Saxony (Germany) compared to trends in Germany, the European Union and the World , 2014 .

[12]  P. H. Gleick,et al.  Colorado river basin and climatic change. The sensitivity of streamflow and water supply to variations in temperature and precipitation , 1993 .

[13]  D. Lettenmaier,et al.  The Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology and Water Resources of the Colorado River Basin , 2004 .

[14]  A. R. Wallace,et al.  Climate change impacts on financial risk in hydropower projects , 2003 .

[15]  P. Warren,et al.  The impacts of ‘run‐of‐river’ hydropower on the physical and ecological condition of rivers , 2015 .

[16]  A. Jakeman,et al.  Computation of the instantaneous unit hydrograph and identifiable component flows with application to two small upland catchments , 1990 .

[17]  M. Rivington,et al.  Influence of climate change on agricultural land-use potential: adapting and updating the land capability system for Scotland , 2008 .

[18]  Piotr Michalak,et al.  Directions in development of hydropower in the world, in Europe and Poland in the period 1995–2011 , 2013 .

[19]  D. Yates.  WatBal: an integrated water balance model for climate impact assessment of river basin runoff , 1996 .

[20]  Andrew Barkwith,et al.  Future Flows Hydrology: an ensemble of daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for use for climate change impact assessment across Great Britain , 2013 .

[21]  Bill Slee,et al.  Discourses of Power: The Development of Small-Scale Hydropower in North East Scotland , 2011 .

[22]  M. Díez-Mediavilla,et al.  Small hydropower plants in Spain: A case study , 2011 .

[23]  Peter H. Gleick,et al.  Regional hydrologic consequences of increases in atmospheric CO2 and other trace gases , 1987 .

[24]  B. Bates,et al.  Climate Change and Water: Technical Paper VI , 2008 .

[25]  Bernhard Lehner,et al.  The impact of global change on the hydropower potential of Europe: a model-based analysis , 2005 .

[26]  Leonard A. Smith,et al.  Laplace’s Demon and the Adventures of His Apprentices , 2014, Philosophy of Science.

[27]  P. Döll,et al.  Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability , 2003 .

[28]  Paolo Perona,et al.  Optimal Water Allocation for an Alpine Hydropower System Under Changing Scenarios , 2006 .

[29]  V. Bell,et al.  A grid-based distributed flood forecasting model for use with weather radar data: Part 1. Formulation , 1998 .

[30]  Robert L. Wilby,et al.  Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK , 2006 .

[31]  Petras Punys,et al.  Review of small hydropower in the new Member States and Candidate Countries in the context of the enlarged European Union , 2007 .

[32]  G. Harrison,et al.  Susceptibility of the Batoka Gorge hydroelectric scheme to climate change , 2002 .

[33]  Francisco G. Montoya,et al.  Renewable energy production in Spain: A review , 2014 .

[34]  B. Schaefli.  Projecting hydropower production under future climates: a guide for decision‐makers and modelers to interpret and design climate change impact assessments , 2015 .

[35]  Mehmet Melikoglu,et al.  Hydropower in Turkey: Analysis in the view of Vision 2023 , 2013 .

[36]  Jose Antonio Grande,et al.  Effect of acid mine drainage on dissolved rare earth elements geochemistry along a fluvial–estuarine system: the Tinto-Odiel Estuary (S.W. Spain) , 2012 .

[37]  P. Jones,et al.  UK Climate Projections Briefing Report , 2010 .

[38]  T. Huntington.  Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: Review and synthesis , 2006 .

[39]  C. Harpham,et al.  A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies , 2007, Environ. Model. Softw..

[40]  Rolf Weingartner,et al.  Variations in Discharge Volumes for Hydropower Generation in Switzerland , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[41]  Knut Alfredsen,et al.  The impacts of climate change on a Norwegian high-head hydropower system , 2013 .

[42]  Sándor Szabó,et al.  Could Europe have more mini hydro sites? A suitability analysis based on continentally harmonized geographical and hydrological data , 2014 .

[43]  G. Harrison,et al.  Sensitivity of hydropower performance to climate change , 2006 .