The Supply and Demand for Eurosystem Deposits the First 18 Months

This paper describes the demand and supply factors affecting the amounts of deposits held by banks with the Eurosystem in the first 18 months of Stage Three of EMU and differences to the years before. The paper starts from the methodology adopted in a recent study by James Hamilton on 'The supply and demand for Federal Reserve deposits'. While the treatment of the autonomous liquidity factors is in principle similar, the modelling of open market operations and of the recourse to standing facilities diverge. These differences stem from different institutional settings, but also from somewhat different views on the accurate model. In a second part, the paper turns to prices by providing a simple econometric model capturing a large part of the variability of the difference between the EONIA rate (the price for daily funds) and the rate charged for the main refinancing operations JEL Classification: E52, E58

[1]  Adrian Pagan,et al.  Econometric Issues in the Analysis of Regressions with Generated Regressors. , 1984 .

[2]  James D. Hamilton The Supply and Demand for Federal Reserve Deposits , 1997 .

[3]  Young-Sook Lee The Federal funds market and the overnight Eurodollar market , 2003 .

[4]  P. Geraats,et al.  Why Adopt Transparency? The Publication of Central Bank Forecasts , 2000, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[5]  O. de Bandt,et al.  Convergence of Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area , 2000, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[6]  James D. Hamilton The Daily Market for Federal Funds , 1996, Journal of Political Economy.

[7]  Benoit Mojon,et al.  Financial Structure and the Interest Rate Channel of ECB Monetary Policy , 2000, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  Rafael Repullo,et al.  A Model of the Open Market Operations of the European Central Bank , 2000 .

[9]  James D. Hamilton Measuring the liquidity effect , 1996 .

[10]  Peter E. Kennedy A Guide to Econometrics , 1979 .

[11]  Ricardo Mestre,et al.  An Area Wide Model (Awm) for the Euro Area , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[12]  Gabriel Pérez-Quirós,et al.  The Daily Market for Funds in Europe: Has Something Changed with the Emu? , 2000, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  J. MacKinnon,et al.  Estimation and inference in econometrics , 1994 .

[14]  Diego Rodriguez-Palenzuela,et al.  Sources of Economic Renewal: From the Traditional Firm to the Knowledge Firm , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[15]  G. Bertola,et al.  Banks' Reserve Management, Transaction Costs, and the Timing of Federal Reserve Intervention , 2000, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[16]  Francis X. Diebold,et al.  Elements of Forecasting , 1997 .

[17]  Kenneth S. Rogoff,et al.  Blessing or curse? Foreign and underground demand for euro notes , 1998 .