A comprehensive review of fuzzy multi criteria decision making methodologies for energy policy making

Abstract Energy policy making is one of the most significant issues for countries and it can be evaluated by using multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods. The energy decision and policy-making problems include selecting among energy alternatives, evaluating energy supply technologies, determining energy policy and energy planning. There is a wide range of studies about energy decision-making problems in the literature and different types of energy alternatives are considered in these studies. The MCDM methods are used as effective tools in order to solve energy decision-making problems since they evaluate alternatives with different perspectives in terms of several conflicting criteria. In this context, the fuzzy set theory (FST) that expresses uncertainties in human opinions, can be successfully used together with the MCDM methods to get more sensitive, concrete and realistic results. This paper aims to present a comprehensive review and bring together existing literature and the most recent advances to lead researchers about the methodologies and applications of fuzzy MCDM in the energy field. For this aim, a large number of papers that use fuzzy MCDM methods to solve energy policy and decision making problems have been analyzed with respect to some characteristics such as types of fuzzy sets, year, journal, fuzzy MCDM method, country and document type. The results of this study indicate that fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), as an individual tool or by integrating with another MCDM method, is the most applied MCDM method and type-1 fuzzy sets are the most preferred type of fuzzy sets. Additionally, Turkey and China are countries which have the highest number of publications related to fuzzy MCDM methods in energy-related problems.

[1]  Nils Brunsson My own book review : The Irrational Organization , 2014 .

[2]  Riyanarto Sarno,et al.  Optimization Solar Farm site selection using Multi-Criteria Decision Making Fuzzy AHP and PROMETHEE: case study in Bali , 2016, 2016 International Conference on Information & Communication Technology and Systems (ICTS).

[3]  Bilal Akash,et al.  Fuzzy sets programming to perform evaluation of solar systems in Jordan , 2001 .

[4]  Fausto Cavallaro,et al.  Sustainability Assessment of Solar Technologies Based on Linguistic Information , 2013 .

[5]  Aysun Sagbas,et al.  Use of multicriteria decision analysis to assess alternative wind power plants , 2014 .

[6]  Bilge Bilgen,et al.  An integrated fuzzy QFD and TOPSIS methodology for choosing the ideal gas fuel at WWTPs , 2017 .

[7]  Hsing Hung Chen,et al.  Organizational forms for knowledge management in photovoltaic solar energy industry , 2010, Knowl. Based Syst..

[8]  Giorgio Locatelli,et al.  A framework for the selection of the right nuclear power plant , 2012 .

[9]  Arash Sadeghi,et al.  Evaluation of Renewable Energy Sources for Generating Electricity in Province of Yazd: A Fuzzy Mcdm Approach , 2012 .

[10]  Mostafa Zandieh,et al.  A multi criteria decision making framework for sustainability assessment of bioenergy production technologies with hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets: The case of Iran , 2017 .

[11]  Jong Wook Kim,et al.  Prioritizing the weights of hydrogen energy technologies in the sector of the hydrogen economy by using a fuzzy AHP approach , 2011 .

[12]  Ching-Lai Hwang,et al.  Fuzzy Multiple Attribute Decision Making - Methods and Applications , 1992, Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems.

[13]  İhsan Kaya,et al.  Evaluation of outsourcing alternatives under fuzzy environment for waste management , 2012 .

[14]  Ümran Şengül,et al.  Fuzzy TOPSIS method for ranking renewable energy supply systems in Turkey , 2015 .

[15]  İhsan Kaya,et al.  Prioritization of renewable energy alternatives by using an integrated fuzzy MCDM model: A real case application for Turkey , 2017 .

[16]  Richard Bellman,et al.  Decision-making in fuzzy environment , 2012 .

[17]  Lazim Abdullah,et al.  Sustainable energy planning decision using the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process: choosing energy technology in Malaysia , 2016 .

[18]  Juan Miguel Sánchez-Lozano,et al.  Evaluation of photovoltaic cells in a multi-criteria decision making process , 2012, Ann. Oper. Res..

[19]  Ihsan Kaya,et al.  A Multi-Period Decision Making Procedure Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets for Selection Among Third-Party Logistics Providers , 2015, J. Multiple Valued Log. Soft Comput..

[20]  S. Iniyan,et al.  Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review , 2015 .

[21]  Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas,et al.  Using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making approaches for evaluating energy saving technologies and solutions in five star hotels: a new hierarchical framework , 2016 .

[22]  Ling Zhang,et al.  Evaluating clean energy alternatives for Jiangsu, China: An improved multi-criteria decision making method , 2015 .

[23]  Alev Taskin Gumus,et al.  A Combined Fuzzy-AHP and Fuzzy-GRA Methodology for Hydrogen Energy Storage Method Selection in Turkey , 2013 .

[24]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multicriteria decision making in energy planning using a modified fuzzy TOPSIS methodology , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[25]  Haris Doukas,et al.  Analysis of policy scenarios for achieving renewable energy sources targets: A fuzzy TOPSIS approach , 2017 .

[26]  Girish Kumar Singh,et al.  Solar power generation by PV (photovoltaic) technology: A review , 2013 .

[27]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Assessment of Green Energy Alternatives Using Fuzzy ANP , 2013 .

[28]  Fatih Emre Boran,et al.  A Fuzzy Multi Criteria Decision Making to Evaluate Energy Policy Based on an Information Axiom: A Case Study in Turkey , 2012 .

[29]  Jiangjiang Wang,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model for trigeneration system , 2008 .

[30]  Beatrice Lazzerini,et al.  Efficient energy dispatching in smart microgrids using an integration of fuzzy AHP and TOPSIS assisted by linear programming , 2013, EUSFLAT Conf..

[31]  Zeshui Xu,et al.  The new extension of TOPSIS method for multiple criteria decision making with hesitant Pythagorean fuzzy sets , 2017, Appl. Soft Comput..

[32]  Hayri Baraçli,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria decision making methodology based upon the interval type-2 fuzzy sets for evaluating renewable energy alternatives in Turkey , 2015 .

[33]  M. Goumas,et al.  An extension of the PROMETHEE method for decision making in fuzzy environment: Ranking of alternative energy exploitation projects , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[34]  Sanjay Kumar,et al.  Interval-valued intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy Choquet integral based TOPSIS method for multi-criteria group decision making , 2016, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[35]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Selection among Renewable Energy Alternatives Using Fuzzy Axiomatic Design: The Case of Turkey , 2010, J. Univers. Comput. Sci..

[36]  Yung-Chi Shen,et al.  An assessment of exploiting renewable energy sources with concerns of policy and technology , 2010 .

[37]  Ahmet Can Kutlu,et al.  A Fuzzy Multi-Criteria SWOT Analysis: An Application to Nuclear Power Plant Site Selection , 2011, Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst..

[38]  S. Meysam Mousavi,et al.  Soft computing based on hierarchical evaluation approach and criteria interdependencies for energy decision-making problems: A case study , 2017 .

[39]  Dalia Streimikiene,et al.  Fuzzy decision support methodology for sustainable energy crop selection , 2013 .

[40]  Núria Agell,et al.  Decision making under uncertainty using a qualitative TOPSIS method for selecting sustainable energy alternatives , 2016, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology.

[41]  Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann,et al.  Fuzzy Set Theory - and Its Applications , 1985 .

[42]  Jin-Soo Kim,et al.  Analysis of the assessment factors for renewable energy dissemination program evaluation using fuzzy AHP , 2010 .

[43]  Wen Lea Pearn,et al.  A wind turbine evaluation model under a multi-criteria decision making environment , 2012 .

[44]  Selcuk Cebi,et al.  A fuzzy information axiom based method to determine the optimal location for a biomass power plant: A case study in Aegean Region of Turkey , 2016 .

[45]  Shafiqur Rehman,et al.  Fuzzy Logic Based Multi-Criteria Wind Turbine Selection Strategy—A Case Study of Qassim, Saudi Arabia , 2016 .

[46]  Jingzheng Ren,et al.  Measuring the sustainability of marine fuels: A fuzzy group multi-criteria decision making approach , 2017 .

[47]  Lei Wang,et al.  Environmental performance evaluation of Beijing's energy use planning , 2011 .

[48]  Shahrooz Bamdad,et al.  Evaluation of power plants to prioritise the investment projects using fuzzy PROMETHEE method , 2018 .

[49]  W. Pearn,et al.  An Integrated Multi-Criteria Decision Making Model for Evaluating Wind Farm Performance , 2011 .

[50]  Krassimir T. Atanassov,et al.  Intuitionistic fuzzy sets , 1986 .

[51]  Gento Mogi,et al.  A fuzzy analytic hierarchy process approach for assessing national competitiveness in the hydrogen technology sector , 2008 .

[52]  İhsan Kaya,et al.  An integrated multi-criteria decision-making methodology based on type-2 fuzzy sets for selection among energy alternatives in Turkey , 2015 .

[53]  D. Moher,et al.  Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA Statement , 2009, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[54]  Omer Tatari,et al.  Intuitionistic fuzzy multi-criteria decision making framework based on life cycle environmental, economic and social impacts: The case of U.S. wind energy , 2016 .

[55]  Shuai Geng,et al.  Decision framework of photovoltaic module selection under interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy environment , 2015 .

[56]  Gülçin Büyüközkan,et al.  Evaluation of Renewable Energy Resources in Turkey using an integrated MCDM approach with linguistic interval fuzzy preference relations , 2017 .

[57]  Haobo Zhang,et al.  Study of decision framework of wind farm project plan selection under intuitionistic fuzzy set and fuzzy measure environment , 2014 .

[58]  C. Kahraman,et al.  Evaluation of renewable energy alternatives using MACBETH and fuzzy AHP multicriteria methods: the case of Turkey , 2013 .

[59]  Ihsan Kaya,et al.  The process incapability index under fuzziness with an application for decision making , 2014, Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst..

[60]  İhsan Kaya,et al.  Investment project evaluation by a decision making methodology based on type-2 fuzzy sets , 2015, Appl. Soft Comput..

[61]  Ismail Erol,et al.  Fuzzy MCDM framework for locating a nuclear power plant in Turkey , 2014 .

[62]  T. Ross Fuzzy Logic with Engineering Applications , 1994 .

[63]  Reza Hafezi,et al.  A new hybrid decision framework for prioritizing funding allocation to Iran's energy sector , 2017 .

[64]  Serhat Burmaoglu,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria decision making approach to assess building energy performance , 2014 .

[65]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Investment analyses using fuzzy probability concept , 2010 .

[66]  Youyin Jing,et al.  Applying LCA and fuzzy AHP to evaluate building energy conservation , 2011 .

[67]  Abdolvahhab Fetanat,et al.  A novel hybrid MCDM approach for offshore wind farm site selection: A case study of Iran , 2015 .

[68]  Ravi Shankar,et al.  An STEEP-fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS framework for evaluation and selection of thermal power plant location: A case study from India , 2012 .

[69]  Emre Cevikcan,et al.  Evaluation of CAM Systems by Using Fuzzy Information Axiom Approach , 2013, J. Multiple Valued Log. Soft Comput..

[70]  Melike Erdogan,et al.  A combined fuzzy approach to determine the best region for a nuclear power plant in Turkey , 2016, Appl. Soft Comput..

[71]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy Sets , 1996, Inf. Control..

[72]  Anita Susilawati,et al.  Selection among renewable energy alternatives based on a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process in Indonesia , 2014 .

[73]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with interval type-2 fuzzy sets , 2014, Knowl. Based Syst..

[74]  Hazem Elzarka,et al.  A vague set fuzzy multi-attribute group decision-making model for selecting onsite renewable energy technologies for institutional owners of constructed facilities , 2017 .

[75]  Emre Cevikcan,et al.  A Hybrid Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Model For Real Estate Investments , 2011, J. Multiple Valued Log. Soft Comput..

[76]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multicriteria renewable energy planning using an integrated fuzzy VIKOR & AHP methodology: The case of Istanbul , 2010 .

[77]  Huiru Zhao,et al.  Optimal site selection of electric vehicle charging station by using fuzzy TOPSIS based on sustainability perspective , 2015 .

[78]  Hu-Chen Liu,et al.  Hesitant fuzzy integrated MCDM approach for quality function deployment: a case study in electric vehicle , 2017, Int. J. Prod. Res..

[79]  Jean-Louis Scartezzini,et al.  An integrated approach to design site specific distributed electrical hubs combining optimization, multi-criterion assessment and decision making , 2017 .

[80]  Kurtuluş Boran,et al.  An evaluation of power plants in Turkey: Fuzzy TOPSIS method , 2017 .

[81]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  A fuzzy multicriteria methodology for selection among energy alternatives , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[82]  Jian-qiang Wang,et al.  Cloud decision model for selecting sustainable energy crop based on linguistic intuitionistic information , 2017, Int. J. Syst. Sci..

[83]  Guangyin Xu,et al.  Polygeneration system and sustainability: Multi-attribute decision-support framework for comprehensive assessment under uncertainties , 2017 .

[84]  Gülçin Büyüközkan,et al.  A new GDM based AHP framework with linguistic interval fuzzy preference relations for renewable energy planning , 2014, J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst..

[85]  Jamal O. Jaber,et al.  Evaluation of conventional and renewable energy sources for space heating in the household sector , 2008 .

[86]  Filip Johnsson,et al.  Assessment of biomass energy sources and technologies: The case of Central America , 2016 .

[87]  Tugrul U. Daim,et al.  Evaluation of energy storage technologies for integration with renewable electricity: Quantifying expert opinions , 2012 .

[88]  Min Gao,et al.  Decision framework of solar thermal power plant site selection based on linguistic Choquet operator , 2014 .

[89]  Metin Dağdeviren,et al.  A MCDM MODEL FOR ENERGY POLICY EVALUATION , 2012 .

[90]  Jianping Yuan,et al.  Study of decision framework of offshore wind power station site selection based on ELECTRE-III under intuitionistic fuzzy environment: A case of China , 2016 .

[91]  Serhat Burmaoglu,et al.  A hybrid SWOT-FANP model for energy policy making in Turkey , 2016 .

[92]  Selcuk Cebi,et al.  A comparative analysis for multiattribute selection among renewable energy alternatives using fuzzy axiomatic design and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process , 2009 .

[93]  Seong Kon Lee,et al.  Econometric analysis of the R&D performance in the national hydrogen energy technology development for measuring relative efficiency: The fuzzy AHP/DEA integrated model approach , 2010 .

[94]  Beyzanur Cayir Ervural,et al.  An ANP and fuzzy TOPSIS-based SWOT analysis for Turkey's energy planning , 2018 .

[95]  Arunodaya Raj Mishra,et al.  Intuitionistic fuzzy divergence measure-based multi-criteria decision-making method , 2017, Neural Computing and Applications.

[96]  Hüseyin Basligil,et al.  A Hybrid Multicriteria Decision Making Methodology Based on Type-2 Fuzzy Sets For Selection Among Energy Storage Alternatives , 2015, Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst..

[97]  Amy H. I. Lee,et al.  A model to analyze strategic products for photovoltaic silicon thin-film solar cell power industry , 2011 .

[98]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning-III , 1975, Inf. Sci..

[99]  Mehmet Kabak,et al.  A Model Proposal for Locating Wind Turbines , 2016 .

[100]  Ünal Kurt,et al.  The fuzzy TOPSIS and generalized Choquet fuzzy integral algorithm for nuclear power plant site selection – a case study from Turkey , 2014 .

[101]  Sepideh Karimi,et al.  Optimization solar site selection by fuzzy logic model and weighted linear combination method in arid and semi-arid region: A case study Isfahan-IRAN , 2017 .

[102]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Fuzzy Multicriteria Decision-Making: A Literature Review , 2015, Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst..

[103]  Cinzia Colapinto,et al.  A fuzzy goal programming model to analyze energy, environmental and sustainability goals of the United Arab Emirates , 2015, Annals of Operations Research.

[104]  Osman Turan,et al.  An application of fuzzy-AHP to ship operational energy efficiency measures , 2016 .

[105]  Jiangjiang Wang,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model for CCHP systems driven by different energy sources. , 2012 .

[106]  Gento Mogi,et al.  A fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP)/data envelopment analysis (DEA) hybrid model for efficiently allocating energy R&D resources: In the case of energy technologies against high oil prices , 2013 .

[107]  T. R. Anil,et al.  Alternative Energy Options for India—A Multi-criteria Decision Analysis to Rank Energy Alternatives using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Logic with an Emphasis to Distributed Generation , 2017 .

[108]  Gordon H. Huang,et al.  Multicriteria decision making under uncertainty: An advanced ordered weighted averaging operator for planning electric power systems , 2012, Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell..

[109]  Geerten van de Kaa,et al.  Photovoltaic technology selection: A fuzzy MCDM approach , 2014 .

[110]  Melike Erdogan,et al.  Selection of the best outsourcing firm for WEEE under hesitant fuzzy environment , 2018, J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst..

[111]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multi-expert wind energy technology selection using interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets , 2015 .

[112]  Gento Mogi,et al.  Decision support for prioritizing energy technologies against high oil prices: A fuzzy analytic hierarchy process approach , 2009 .