Review on Predicting Students’ Graduation Time Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Nowadays, the application of data mining is widely prevalent in the education system. The ability of data mining to obtain meaningful information from meaningless data makes it very useful to predict students’ achievement, university’s performance, and many more. According to the Department of Statistics Malaysia, the numbers of student who do not manage to graduate on time rise dramatically every year. This challenging scenario worries many parties, especially university management teams. They have to timely devise strategies in order to enhance the students’ academic achievement and discover the main factors contributing to the timely graduation of undergraduate students. This paper discussed the factors utilized by other researchers from previous studies to predict students’ graduation time and to study the impact of different types of factors with different prediction methods. Taken together, findings of this research confirmed the usefulness of Neural Network and Support Vector Machine as the most competitive classifiers compared with Naïve Bayes and Decision Tree. Furthermore, our findings also indicate that the academic assessment was a prominent factor when predicting students’ graduation time.

[1]  Md. Rabiul Islam,et al.  Predict Student's Academic Performance and Evaluate the Impact of Different Attributes on the Performance Using Data Mining Techniques , 2017, 2017 2nd International Conference on Electrical & Electronic Engineering (ICEEE).

[2]  Gregory L. Heileman,et al.  Prediction of graduation delay based on student performance , 2017, 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN).

[3]  Syed Abbas Ali,et al.  Analyzing undergraduate students' performance using educational data mining , 2017, Comput. Educ..

[4]  Darielson Araujo de Souza,et al.  Using neural networks to predict the future performance of students , 2015, 2015 International Symposium on Computers in Education (SIIE).

[5]  P. M. Ameer,et al.  An enhanced deterministic K-Means clustering algorithm for cancer subtype prediction from gene expression data , 2017, Comput. Biol. Medicine.

[6]  Alejandro Peña Ayala,et al.  Educational data mining: A survey and a data mining-based analysis of recent works , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[7]  Zhao Kang,et al.  Robust Graph Learning for Semi-Supervised Classification , 2018, 2018 10th International Conference on Intelligent Human-Machine Systems and Cybernetics (IHMSC).

[8]  Sofianita Mutalib,et al.  Mining textual terms for stock market prediction analysis using financial news , 2017 .

[9]  Paulo J. V. Garcia,et al.  Early segmentation of students according to their academic performance: A predictive modelling approach , 2018, Decis. Support Syst..

[10]  T. Velmurugan,et al.  A Comparative Analysis on the Evaluation of Classification Algorithms in the Prediction of Students Performance , 2015 .

[11]  M. Mayilvaganan,et al.  Comparison of classification techniques for predicting the performance of students academic environment , 2014, 2014 International Conference on Communication and Network Technologies.

[12]  Seyed Sajjadi,et al.  Finding bottlenecks: Predicting student attrition with unsupervised classifier , 2017, 2017 Intelligent Systems Conference (IntelliSys).

[13]  Norhaslinda Kamaruddin,et al.  Assessment Analytic Theoretical Framework Based on Learners’ Continuous Learning Improvement , 2018, Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.

[14]  Vera L. Miguéis,et al.  Educational data mining: A literature review , 2018, 2018 13th Iberian Conference on Information Systems and Technologies (CISTI).

[15]  Ayundyah Kesumawati,et al.  Predicting patterns of student graduation rates using Naïve bayes classifier and support vector machine , 2018 .

[16]  Mohd Naz'ri Mahrin,et al.  A survey on data mining techniques in recommender systems , 2019, Soft Comput..

[17]  Ching-Hsien Hsu,et al.  Machine Learning Based Big Data Processing Framework for Cancer Diagnosis Using Hidden Markov Model and GM Clustering , 2017, Wireless Personal Communications.

[18]  Anchal Garg,et al.  Predicting academic performance of student using classification techniques , 2017, 2017 4th IEEE Uttar Pradesh Section International Conference on Electrical, Computer and Electronics (UPCON).

[19]  M. Szablicki,et al.  Agent model of multi-agent system for area power system protection , 2015, 2015 Modern Electric Power Systems (MEPS).

[20]  Sachin Ahuja,et al.  Academic Performance Prediction Using Data Mining Techniques: Identification of Influential Factors Effecting the Academic Performance in Undergrad Professional Course , 2018, Harmony Search and Nature Inspired Optimization Algorithms.

[21]  Sotiris B. Kotsiantis,et al.  Self-Trained LMT for Semisupervised Learning , 2015, Comput. Intell. Neurosci..

[22]  Wahidah Husain,et al.  A Review on Predicting Student's Performance Using Data Mining Techniques , 2015 .

[23]  Pavel Berkhin,et al.  A Survey of Clustering Data Mining Techniques , 2006, Grouping Multidimensional Data.

[24]  R. Stephenson A and V , 1962, The British journal of ophthalmology.

[25]  Siti Shaliza Mohd Khairi,et al.  A comparative study on data mining techniques for rainfall prediction in Subang , 2018 .

[26]  W. Marsden I and J , 2012 .

[27]  Celia Graterol,et al.  A multifaceted data mining approach to understanding what factors lead college students to persist and graduate , 2017, 2017 Computing Conference.

[28]  Panayiotis E. Pintelas,et al.  An Auto-Adjustable Semi-Supervised Self-Training Algorithm , 2018, Algorithms.

[29]  K. P. Shaleena,et al.  Data mining techniques for predicting student performance , 2015, 2015 IEEE International Conference on Engineering and Technology (ICETECH).

[30]  J. William Ahwood,et al.  CLASSIFICATION , 1931, Foundations of Familiar Language.

[31]  Raheela Asif,et al.  Predicting Student Academic Performance at Degree Level: A Case Study , 2014 .

[32]  Fadhilah Ahmad,et al.  The Prediction of Students' Academic Performance Using Classification Data Mining Techniques , 2015 .

[33]  Bitrus Glawala Amuda,et al.  Marital Status and Age as Predictors of Academic Performance of Students of Colleges of Education in the Nort- Eastern Nigeria , 2016 .

[34]  Wan Kamal Mujani,et al.  Historical Development of Public Institutions of Higher Learning in Malaysia , 2014 .

[35]  Vinayak Hegde,et al.  Prediction of students performance using Educational Data Mining , 2016, 2016 International Conference on Data Mining and Advanced Computing (SAPIENCE).

[36]  Zhurong Zhou,et al.  Student pass rates prediction using optimized support vector machine and decision tree , 2018, 2018 IEEE 8th Annual Computing and Communication Workshop and Conference (CCWC).

[37]  Faridah Sh Ismail,et al.  Adaptive mechanism for GA-NN to enhance prediction model , 2015, IMCOM.

[38]  Dorina Kabakchieva,et al.  Student Performance Prediction by Using Data Mining Classification Algorithms , 2012 .

[39]  Pedro H. M. Braga,et al.  A Semi-Supervised Self-Organizing Map for Clustering and Classification , 2018, 2018 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN).

[40]  Siti Meriam Zahari,et al.  Predicting the “graduate on time (GOT)” of PhD students using binary logistics regression model , 2016 .

[41]  R. Murray‐Harvey Learning styles and approaches to learning: distinguishing between concepts and instruments , 1994 .

[42]  Mahmoud Abu Ghosh,et al.  Predicting Student Performance Using Artificial Neural Network: in the Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology , 2015 .

[43]  G. G. Stokes "J." , 1890, The New Yale Book of Quotations.

[44]  Nenny Ruthfalydia Rosli,et al.  Clustering the imbalanced datasets using modified Kohonen self-organizing map (KSOM) , 2017, 2017 Computing Conference.

[45]  Anbarasan MINING WITH NEURAL NETWORKS TO PREDICT STUDENTS ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENTS , 2016 .

[46]  Jing Luan,et al.  Data Mining and Its Applications in Higher Education , 2002 .

[47]  P. Saraswathi,et al.  Predicting the Performance of Disability Students Using Assistive Tools with the Role of ICT in Mining Approach , 2019 .

[48]  Sunday Olusanya Olatunji,et al.  Student performance prediction using Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbor , 2017, 2017 IEEE 30th Canadian Conference on Electrical and Computer Engineering (CCECE).

[49]  S K Pushpa,et al.  Class result prediction using machine learning , 2017, 2017 International Conference On Smart Technologies For Smart Nation (SmartTechCon).

[50]  Nawaf N. Hamadneh,et al.  Prediction of thermal conductivities of polyacrylonitrile electrospun nanocomposite fibers using artificial neural network and prey predator algorithm , 2019, Journal of King Saud University - Science.