Rationalization in Signaling Games: Theory and Applications

Focusing on signaling games, I illustrate the relevance of the rationalizability approach for the analysis multistage games with incomplete information. I define a class of iterative solution procedures, featuring a notion of "forward induction": the Receiver tries to explain the Sender's message in a way which is consistent with the Sender's strategic sophistication and certain given restrictions on beliefs. The approach is applied to some numerical examples and economic models. In a standard model with verifiable messages a full disclosure result is obtained. In a model of job market signaling the best separating equilibrium emerges as the unique rationalizable outcome only when the high and low types are sufficiently different. Otherwise, rationalizability only puts bounds on the education choices of different types.

[1]  Jeffrey C. Ely,et al.  Hierarchies of Belief and Interim Rationalizability , 2004 .

[2]  Elchanan Ben-Porath,et al.  Rationality, Nash Equilibrium and Backwards Induction in Perfect-Information Games , 1997 .

[3]  J. Harsanyi Games with Incomplete Information Played by “Bayesian” Players Part II. Bayesian Equilibrium Points , 1968 .

[4]  Eddie Dekel,et al.  Rationalizable outcomes of large private-value first-price discrete auctions , 2003, Games Econ. Behav..

[5]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Reputation and imperfect information , 1982 .

[6]  Marciano M. Siniscalchi,et al.  Hierarchies of Conditional Beliefs and Interactive Epistemology in Dynamic Games , 1999 .

[7]  S. Zamir,et al.  Formulation of Bayesian analysis for games with incomplete information , 1985 .

[8]  Faruk Gul A Comment on Aumann's Bayesian View , 1998 .

[9]  R. Aumann Common priors: A reply to Gul , 1998 .

[10]  Matthew Rabin,et al.  Incorporating Behavioral Assumptions into Game Theory , 1992 .

[11]  Joel Watson Alternating-Offer Bargaining with Two-Sided Incomplete Information , 1998 .

[12]  Pierpaolo Battigalli,et al.  Rationalizable bidding in first-price auctions , 2003, Games Econ. Behav..

[13]  John C. Harsanyi,et al.  Games with Incomplete Information , 1994 .

[14]  Pierpaolo Battigalli,et al.  Strong Belief and Forward Induction Reasoning , 2002, J. Econ. Theory.

[15]  Pierpaolo Battigalli A note on rationalizability and reputation with two long-run players , 2001 .

[16]  General Rationalizability and Its Robustness for Strategic Form Games with Incomplete Information , 2004 .

[17]  Eddie Dekel,et al.  Rationalizable Outcomes of Large Independent Private-Value First-Price Discrete Auctions , 2000 .

[18]  Oliver Hart,et al.  Disclosure Laws and Takeover Bids , 1980 .

[19]  Stephen Morris,et al.  Robust Implementation: The Role of Large Type Spaces , 2005 .

[20]  Pierpaolo Battigalli,et al.  Rationalizability in infinite, dynamic games with incomplete information , 2003 .

[21]  Adam Brandenburger,et al.  Rationalizability and Correlated Equilibria , 1987 .

[22]  Pierpaolo Battigalli,et al.  On 'Reputation' Refinements with Heterogeneous Beliefs , 1997 .

[23]  Sanford J. Grossman The Informational Role of Warranties and Private Disclosure about Product Quality , 1981, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[24]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Signaling Games and Stable Equilibria , 1987 .

[25]  Lars Stole,et al.  Fixed-equilibrium rationalizability in signaling games , 1990 .

[26]  David Pearce Rationalizable Strategic Behavior and the Problem of Perfection , 1984 .

[27]  Andrew Postlewaite,et al.  Strategic Information Revelation , 1990 .

[28]  Yossi Feinberg,et al.  Characterizing Common Priors in the Form of Posteriors , 2000, J. Econ. Theory.

[29]  Giacomo Bonanno,et al.  How to make sense of the common prior assumption under incomplete information , 1999, Int. J. Game Theory.

[30]  Pierpaolo Battigalli,et al.  Rationalization and Incomplete Information , 2003 .

[31]  In-Koo Cho Monotonicity and Rationalizability in Large Uniform Price and Double Auctions , 2004 .

[32]  D. Bergemann,et al.  Robust Mechanism Design , 2003 .

[33]  Joel Watson,et al.  A ‘Reputation’ Refinement without Equilibrium , 1993 .

[34]  In-Koo Cho Stationarity, Rationalizability and Bargaining , 1994 .

[35]  Philip J. Reny,et al.  A general solution to King Solomon's dilemma , 1999 .

[36]  Joel Watson,et al.  Reputation in Repeated Games with No Discounting , 1996 .

[37]  S. Morris The Common Prior Assumption in Economic Theory , 1995, Economics and Philosophy.