Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Using BCEA

Theoretically, as mentioned in Sect. 1.3, the maximisation of the expected utility is all that is required to determine the best course of action in the face of uncertainty and given current evidence [1, 2, 3].

[1]  R. Tibshirani,et al.  Generalized additive models for medical research , 1986, Statistical methods in medical research.

[2]  D. Spiegelhalter,et al.  Disease Mapping With WinBUGS and MLwiN, Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health Care Evaluation , 2004 .

[3]  Zafar Zafari,et al.  Need for speed: an efficient algorithm for calculation of single-parameter expected value of partial perfect information. , 2013, Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research.

[4]  George E. P. Box,et al.  Empirical Model‐Building and Response Surfaces , 1988 .

[5]  Gianluca Baio,et al.  Estimating the expected value of partial perfect information in health economic evaluations using integrated nested Laplace approximation , 2015, Statistics in medicine.

[6]  H. Rue,et al.  An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach , 2011 .

[7]  Gianluca Baio,et al.  Probabilistic sensitivity analysis in health economics , 2015, Statistical methods in medical research.

[8]  Jeremy E. Oakley,et al.  Estimating Multiparameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information from a Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Sample , 2013, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[9]  Jonathan Karnon,et al.  Model Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty: a Report of the Ispor-smdm Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force-6 Background to the Task Forcemodel-parameter-estimation-and- Uncertainty-analysis.asp). a Summary of These Articles Was Pre- Sented at a Plenary Session at the Ispor 16th Annual Intern , 2022 .

[10]  Mark Strong,et al.  An Efficient Method for Computing Single-Parameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information , 2013, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[11]  K Claxton,et al.  The irrelevance of inference: a decision-making approach to the stochastic evaluation of health care technologies. , 1999, Journal of health economics.

[12]  M J Al,et al.  Costs, effects and C/E-ratios alongside a clinical trial. , 1994, Health economics.