Analyses of combined mortality data on workers at the Hanford Site, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and Rocky Flats Nuclear Weapons Plant.

An important objective of studies of workers exposed occupationally to chronic low doses of ionizing radiation is to provide a direct assessment of health risks resulting from this exposure. This objective is most effectively accomplished by conducting combined analyses that allow evaluation of the totality of evidence from all study populations. In this paper, combined analyses of mortality in workers at the Hanford Site, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and Rocky Flats Nuclear Weapons Plant are presented. These combined analyses provide no evidence of a correlation between radiation exposure and mortality from all cancer or from leukemia. Of 11 other specific types of cancer analyzed, multiple myeloma was the only cancer found to exhibit a statistically significant correlation with radiation exposure. Estimates of the excess risk of all cancer and of leukemia, based on the combined data, were negative. Upper confidence limits based on the combined data were lower than for any single population, and were similar to estimates obtained from recent analyses of A-bomb survivor data. These results strengthen support for the conclusion that estimates obtained through extrapolation from high-dose data do not seriously underestimate risks of low-dose exposure, but leave open the possibility that extrapolation may overestimate risks.

[1]  V. Beral,et al.  Mortality of employees of the Atomic Weapons Establishment, 1951-82. , 1988, BMJ.

[2]  N Breslow,et al.  Estimators of the Mantel-Haenszel variance consistent in both sparse data and large-strata limiting models. , 1986, Biometrics.

[3]  G. R. Petersen,et al.  Mortality of workers at the Hanford site: 1945-1981. , 1989, Health physics.

[4]  R J Waxweiler,et al.  Mortality among plutonium and other radiation workers at a plutonium weapons facility. , 1987, American journal of epidemiology.

[5]  P G Smith,et al.  Mortality of workers at the Sellafield plant of British Nuclear Fuels. , 1986, British medical journal.

[6]  S. Darby,et al.  A parallel analysis of cancer mortality among atomic bomb survivors and patients with ankylosing spondylitis given X-ray therapy. , 1985, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[7]  R. Monson,et al.  Analysis of relative survival and proportional mortality. , 1974, Computers and biomedical research, an international journal.

[8]  H Checkoway,et al.  Radiation, work experience, and cause specific mortality among workers at an energy research laboratory. , 1985, British journal of industrial medicine.

[9]  E. Gilbert,et al.  An analysis of the mortality of workers in a nuclear facility. , 1979, Radiation research.

[10]  W. Haenszel,et al.  Statistical aspects of the analysis of data from retrospective studies of disease. , 1959, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[11]  G. Tietjen,et al.  Brain tumors at a nuclear facility. , 1984, Journal of occupational medicine. : official publication of the Industrial Medical Association.

[12]  E. Gilbert Issues in analysing the effects of occupational exposure to low levels of radiation. , 1989, Statistics in medicine.

[13]  D L Preston,et al.  Studies of the mortality of A-bomb survivors. 8. Cancer mortality, 1950-1982. , 1987, Radiation research.