Continuous Influence Maximization: What Discounts Should We Offer to Social Network Users?

Imagine we are introducing a new product through a social network, where we know for each user in the network the purchase probability curve with respect to discount. Then, what discount should we offer to those social network users so that the adoption of the product is maximized in expectation under a predefined budget? Although influence maximization has been extensively explored, surprisingly, this appealing practical problem still cannot be answered by the existing influence maximization methods. In this paper, we tackle the problem systematically. We formulate the general continuous influence maximization problem, investigate the essential properties, and develop a general coordinate descent algorithm as well as the engineering techniques for practical implementation. Our investigation does not assume any specific influence model and thus is general and principled. At the same time, using the most popularly adopted independent influence model as a concrete example, we demonstrate that more efficient methods are feasible under specific influence models. Our extensive empirical study on four benchmark real world networks with synthesized purchase probability curves clearly illustrates that continuous influence maximization can improve influence spread significantly with very moderate extra running time comparing to the classical influence maximization methods.

[1]  Cheng Long,et al.  Minimizing Seed Set for Viral Marketing , 2011, 2011 IEEE 11th International Conference on Data Mining.

[2]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  Information and Influence Propagation in Social Networks , 2013, Synthesis Lectures on Data Management.

[3]  Christian Borgs,et al.  Maximizing Social Influence in Nearly Optimal Time , 2012, SODA.

[4]  Eli Upfal,et al.  Probability and Computing: Randomized Algorithms and Probabilistic Analysis , 2005 .

[5]  Le Song,et al.  Scalable Influence Estimation in Continuous-Time Diffusion Networks , 2013, NIPS.

[6]  Wei Chen,et al.  Scalable influence maximization for prevalent viral marketing in large-scale social networks , 2010, KDD.

[7]  Andreas Krause,et al.  Cost-effective outbreak detection in networks , 2007, KDD '07.

[8]  Yifei Yuan,et al.  Scalable Influence Maximization in Social Networks under the Linear Threshold Model , 2010, 2010 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining.

[9]  Mike Brennan,et al.  Constructing Demand Curves from Purchase Probability Data: An Application of the Juster Scale , 1995 .

[10]  Wei Chen,et al.  Efficient influence maximization in social networks , 2009, KDD.

[11]  Robert William Jones,et al.  The business of advertising , 1974 .

[12]  Matthew Richardson,et al.  Mining the network value of customers , 2001, KDD '01.

[13]  Reynold Cheng,et al.  Online Influence Maximization , 2015, KDD.

[14]  Yaron Singer,et al.  How to win friends and influence people, truthfully: influence maximization mechanisms for social networks , 2012, WSDM '12.

[15]  Xiaokui Xiao,et al.  Influence maximization: near-optimal time complexity meets practical efficiency , 2014, SIGMOD Conference.

[16]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  SIMPATH: An Efficient Algorithm for Influence Maximization under the Linear Threshold Model , 2011, 2011 IEEE 11th International Conference on Data Mining.

[17]  Euiho Suh,et al.  A prediction model for the purchase probability of anonymous customers to support real time web marketing: a case study , 2004, Expert Syst. Appl..

[18]  Elchanan Mossel,et al.  Submodularity of Influence in Social Networks: From Local to Global , 2010, SIAM J. Comput..

[19]  Le Song,et al.  Shaping Social Activity by Incentivizing Users , 2014, NIPS.

[20]  Yue Wang,et al.  Influence maximization with limit cost in social network , 2013, Science China Information Sciences.

[21]  Yoon Ho Cho,et al.  Mining changes in customer buying behavior for collaborative recommendations , 2005, Expert Syst. Appl..

[22]  Éva Tardos,et al.  Maximizing the Spread of Influence through a Social Network , 2015, Theory Comput..

[23]  Nick Koudas,et al.  Information cascade at group scale , 2013, KDD.

[24]  Rong Zheng,et al.  On Budgeted Influence Maximization in Social Networks , 2012, IEEE Journal on Selected Areas in Communications.

[25]  Xiaokui Xiao,et al.  Influence Maximization in Near-Linear Time: A Martingale Approach , 2015, SIGMOD Conference.