Selecting Attributes for Sport Forecasting using Formal Concept Analysis

In order to address complex systems, apply pattern recongnition on their evolution could play an key role to understand their dynamics. Global patterns are required to detect emergent concepts and trends, some of them with qualitative nature. Formal Concept Analysis (FCA) is a theory whose goal is to discover and to extract Knowledge from qualitative data. It provides tools for reasoning with implication basis (and association rules). Implications and association rules are usefull to reasoning on previously selected attributes, providing a formal foundation for logical reasoning. In this paper we analyse how to apply FCA reasoning to increase confidence in sports betting, by means of detecting temporal regularities from data. It is applied to build a Knowledge-Based system for confidence reasoning.

[1]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Fast and frugal forecasting , 2009 .

[2]  Vincent Duquenne,et al.  Familles minimales d'implications informatives résultant d'un tableau de données binaires , 1986 .

[3]  Susan P. Imberman,et al.  Using Booleanized Data To Discover Better Relationships Between Metrics , 1999, Int. CMG Conference.

[4]  W. W. Armstrong,et al.  Dependency Structures of Data Base Relationships , 1974, IFIP Congress.

[5]  José L. Balcázar,et al.  Transforming Outermost into Context-Sensitive Rewriting , 2010, Log. Methods Comput. Sci..

[6]  Raheel Ahmad,et al.  Expert Systems: Principles and Programming , 2006, Scalable Comput. Pract. Exp..

[7]  Patric Andersson,et al.  Forecasting the fast and frugal way: A study of performance and information-processing strategies of experts and non-experts when predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer , 2003 .

[8]  G Gigerenzer,et al.  Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality. , 1996, Psychological review.

[9]  Joaquín Borrego-Díaz,et al.  Reconciling Knowledge in Social Tagging Web Services , 2010, HAIS.

[10]  E. Brunswik.  Representative design and probabilistic theory in a functional psychology. , 1955, Psychological review.

[11]  Joaquín Borrego-Díaz,et al.  Confidence-Based Reasoning with Local Temporal Formal Contexts , 2011, IWANN.

[12]  José Antonio Alonso Jiménez,et al.  Extending Attribute Exploration by Means of Boolean Derivatives , 2008 .

[13]  Bernhard Ganter,et al.  Formal Concept Analysis: Mathematical Foundations , 1998 .

[14]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Models of ecological rationality: the recognition heuristic. , 2002, Psychological review.

[15]  Hyeonsang Eom,et al.  A compound framework for sports results prediction: A football case study , 2008, Knowl. Based Syst..