Regime, phase and paradigm shifts: making community ecology the basic science for fisheries

Modern fishery science, which began in 1957 with Beverton and Holt, is ca. 50 years old. At its inception, fishery science was limited by a nineteenth century mechanistic worldview and by computational technology; thus, the relatively simple equations of population ecology became the fundamental ecological science underlying fisheries. The time has come for this to change and for community ecology to become the fundamental ecological science underlying fisheries. This point will be illustrated with two examples. First, when viewed from a community perspective, excess production must be considered in the context of biomass left for predators. We argue that this is a better measure of the effects of fisheries than spawning biomass per recruit. Second, we shall analyse a simple, but still multi–species, model for fishery management that considers the alternatives of harvest regulations, inshore marine protected areas and offshore marine protected areas. Population or community perspectives lead to very different predictions about the efficacy of reserves.

[1]  D. Simberloff A succession of paradigms in ecology: Essentialism to materialism and probabilism , 2004, Synthese.

[2]  R. Hilborn,et al.  The Ecological Detective: Confronting Models with Data , 1997 .

[3]  Ray Hilborn,et al.  Compensatory density dependence in fish populations: importance, controversy, understanding and prognosis , 2001 .

[4]  Carl J. Walters,et al.  Adaptive Management of Renewable Resources , 1986 .

[5]  K. Bjorndal,et al.  Historical Overfishing and the Recent Collapse of Coastal Ecosystems , 2001, Science.

[6]  S. Carpenter,et al.  Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems , 2001, Nature.

[7]  Stephan B. Munch,et al.  Sustaining Fisheries Yields Over Evolutionary Time Scales , 2002, Science.

[8]  J. Vavřinec Resilience of Green Sea Urchin (Strongylocentrotus droebachiensis) Populations Following Fishing Mortality: Marine Protected Areas, Alternate Stable States, and Larval Ecology , 2003 .

[9]  D. Pauly,et al.  Primary production required to sustain global fisheries , 1995, Nature.

[10]  Mangel No‐take areas for sustainability of harvested species and a conservation invariant for marine reserves , 1998 .

[11]  T. Kuhn,et al.  The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. , 1964 .

[12]  Botsford,et al.  Dependence of sustainability on the configuration of marine reserves and larval dispersal distance , 2001 .

[13]  F. Moberg,et al.  Mobile Link Organisms and Ecosystem Functioning: Implications for Ecosystem Resilience and Management , 2003, Ecosystems.

[14]  R. Boutilier,et al.  Effects of habitat on settlement, growth, and postsettlement survival of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) , 1995 .

[15]  Paul E. Smith,et al.  Year-Class Strength and Survival of O-Group Clupeoids , 1985 .

[16]  John H. Lawton,et al.  The Ecological Consequences of Shared Natural Enemies , 1994 .

[17]  G. Polis,et al.  TOWARD AN INTEGRATION OF LANDSCAPE AND FOOD WEB ECOLOGY : The Dynamics of Spatially Subsidized Food Webs , 2005 .

[18]  Michael J. Fogarty,et al.  LARGE-SCALE DISTURBANCE AND THE STRUCTURE OF MARINE SYSTEMS: FISHERY IMPACTS ON GEORGES BANK , 1998 .

[19]  R. Beverton,et al.  On the dynamics of exploited fish populations , 1993, Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries.

[20]  P. Levin,et al.  Density‐dependent mortality in Pacific salmon: the ghost of impacts past? , 2003 .

[21]  C. Walters,et al.  Quantitative Fisheries Stock Assessment , 1992, Springer US.

[22]  Alice A. Shelly,et al.  Restored Top Carnivores as Detriments to the Performance of Marine Protected Areas Intended for Fishery Sustainability: a Case Study with Red Abalones and Sea Otters , 2003 .

[23]  Steven D. Gaines,et al.  PLUGGING A HOLE IN THE OCEAN: THE EMERGING SCIENCE OF MARINE RESERVES1 , 2003 .

[24]  Chris J. Harvey,et al.  Ecologically sustainable yield: Marine conversation must look beyond sustainable yield of individual species , 2003 .

[25]  P. Levin,et al.  Geographic differences in recruitment and population structure of a temperate reef fish , 1997 .

[26]  J. Connell,et al.  Mechanisms of Succession in Natural Communities and Their Role in Community Stability and Organization , 1977, The American Naturalist.

[27]  Steinar Engen,et al.  The Spatial Scale of Population Fluctuations and Quasi‐Extinction Risk , 2002, The American Naturalist.

[28]  J. Collie,et al.  Biological reference points for fish stocks in a multispecies context , 2001 .

[29]  J. Castilla,et al.  The management of fisheries and marine ecosystems , 1997 .

[30]  D. Pauly,et al.  Fishing down marine food webs , 1998, Science.

[31]  Johanna J. Heymans,et al.  Hundred‐year decline of North Atlantic predatory fishes , 2003 .

[32]  J. Ogden,et al.  Priority Effects in the Recruitment of Juvenile Coral Reef Fishes , 1983 .

[33]  T. Hughes Catastrophes, Phase Shifts, and Large-Scale Degradation of a Caribbean Coral Reef , 1994, Science.

[34]  J. Hutchings Collapse and recovery of marine fishes , 2000, Nature.

[35]  Marc Mangel,et al.  Principles for the conservation of wild living resources , 1997 .

[36]  J. Wallace,et al.  A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production , 1997 .

[37]  J. Goering,et al.  Recycling of elements transported upstream by runs of Pacific Salmon. I: δ15N and δ13C evidence in Sashin Creek, southeastern Alaska , 1990 .

[38]  P. Levin,et al.  Preserving Salmon Biodiversity , 2001 .

[39]  Jeremy S. Collie,et al.  Are multispecies models an improvement on single-species models for measuring fishing impacts on marine ecosystems? , 2000 .

[40]  Marc Mangel,et al.  Irreducible uncertainties, sustainable fisheries and marine reserves , 2000 .

[41]  D. Pauly,et al.  Primary production required to sustain global fisheries , 1995, Nature.

[42]  Tim D. Smith,et al.  Principles for the conservation of wild living resources , 1996 .

[43]  J. Hudson,et al.  Influence of salmon spawner densities on stream productivity in Southeast Alaska , 1999 .

[44]  J. Hutchings Influence of population decline, fishing, and spawner variability on the recovery of marine fishes , 2001 .

[45]  R. Lande,et al.  DEMOGRAPHIC AND EVOLUTIONARY RESPONSES TO SELECTIVE HARVESTING IN POPULATIONS WITH DISCRETE GENERATIONS , 2001 .

[46]  B. Worm,et al.  Rapid worldwide depletion of predatory fish communities , 2003, Nature.

[47]  Robert S. Steneck,et al.  Kelp forest ecosystems: biodiversity, stability, resilience and future , 2002, Environmental Conservation.

[48]  Anthony D. M. Smith,et al.  Implementing effective fisheries-management systems – management strategy evaluation and the Australian partnership approach , 1999 .

[49]  Steven A. Murawski,et al.  Definitions of overfishing from an ecosystem perspective , 2000 .

[50]  N. Dulvy,et al.  Fishery Stability, Local Extinctions, and Shifts in Community Structure in Skates , 2000 .

[51]  Francisco P. Chavez,et al.  From Anchovies to Sardines and Back: Multidecadal Change in the Pacific Ocean , 2003, Science.

[52]  P. Sale Maintenance of High Diversity in Coral Reef Fish Communities , 1977, The American Naturalist.

[53]  F. David,et al.  On the Dynamics of Exploited Fish Populations , 1959, Fish & Fisheries Series.

[54]  J. Lichatowich,et al.  An Estimation of Historic and Current Levels of Salmon Production in the Northeast Pacific Ecosystem: Evidence of a Nutrient Deficit in the Freshwater Systems of the Pacific Northwest , 2000 .

[55]  Jeremy S. Collie,et al.  Estimating predation mortality in the Georges Bank fish community , 2001 .

[56]  Alan Hastings,et al.  The effects of dispersal patterns on marine reserves: does the tail wag the dog? , 2002, Theoretical population biology.

[57]  E. L. Brannon,et al.  Ocean Ecology of North Pacific Salmonids , 1993 .

[58]  M. Mangel From Egg surveys to Ecosystem Models: Biological Assumptions in Fisheries Management , 1988 .

[59]  Jake C. Rice,et al.  Evaluating fishery impacts using metrics of community structure , 2000 .

[60]  R. Lande,et al.  Harvesting Strategies for Fluctuating Populations Based on Uncertain Population Estimates , 1997 .

[61]  C. Walters,et al.  Quantitative fisheries stock assessment: Choice, dynamics and uncertainty , 2004, Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries.

[62]  Carl J. Walters,et al.  Cultivation/depensation effects on juvenile survival and recruitment: implications for the theory of fishing , 2001 .

[63]  Felicia C. Coleman,et al.  Essential fish habitat and marine reserves : An introduction to the second mote symposium in fisheries ecology , 2000 .

[64]  J. F. Caddy,et al.  Limit reference points, traffic lights, and holistic approaches to fisheries management with minimal stock assessment input , 2002 .

[65]  Daniel Simberloff,et al.  A succession of paradigms in ecology: Essentialism to materialism and probabilism , 1980 .

[66]  F. Wagner Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources: Another Perspective , 1996 .

[67]  Marc Mangel,et al.  On the fraction of habitat allocated to marine reserves , 2000 .

[68]  Hugh P. Possingham,et al.  Competing harvesting strategies in a simulated population under uncertainty , 2001 .

[69]  P. Bisson,et al.  Response of juvenile coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) and steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) to the addition of salmon carcasses to two streams in southwestern Washington, U.S.A , 1998 .

[70]  C. Fowler,et al.  Limits to natural variation: implications for systemic management , 2002 .

[71]  Mark A. McPeek,et al.  Predation, Competition, and Prey Communities: A Review of Field Experiments , 1985 .

[72]  T. Pitcher,et al.  Towards sustainability in world fisheries , 2002, Nature.

[73]  C. Chapman,et al.  SEED DISPERSAL AND POTENTIAL FOREST SUCCESSION IN ABANDONED AGRICULTURE IN TROPICAL AFRICA , 1999 .

[74]  Peter Kareiva,et al.  THE PACIFIC SALMON WARS: What Science Brings to the Challenge of Recovering Species , 2002 .

[75]  P. Sale Coexistence of coral reef fishes — a lottery for living space , 1978, Environmental Biology of Fishes.

[76]  Chris E. Jordan,et al.  A LARGE-SCALE, MULTISPECIES STATUS ASSESSMENT: ANADROMOUS SALMONIDS IN THE COLUMBIA RIVER BASIN , 2003 .