A decision support model for improving a multi-family housing complex based on CO2 emission from gas energy consumption

Abstract Improvement of residential environments has recently been promoted by the Korean government as part of its energy-saving measures. The objective of this research is to develop a decision support model for selecting the multi-family housing complex with the potential to be effective in saving energy. In this research, 362 cases of multi-family housings located in Seoul were selected to collect characteristics and data on gas energy consumption from 2009 to 2010. The following were carried out: (i) using the Decision Tree, a group of multi-family housings was established based on gas energy consumption; (ii) using case-based reasoning, a number of similar multi-family housings were retrieved from the same group of multi-family housings; and (iii) using a combination of genetic algorithms, artificial neural network, and multiple regression analysis, prediction accuracy was improved. The results of this research can be useful in the following: (i) preliminary research for continuously managing the gas energy consumption of multi-family housings; (ii) basic research for predicting gas energy consumption based on the characteristics of multi-family housings; and (iii) practical research for selecting an optimum multi-family housing complex (with the potential to be effective in saving gas energy), which can make the application of an energy-saving program more effective as a decision support model.

[1]  Christine W. Chan,et al.  A statistical analysis of the carbon dioxide capture process , 2009 .

[2]  Moncef Krarti,et al.  A simplified method to estimate energy savings of artificial lighting use from daylighting , 2005 .

[3]  Benjamin C. M. Fung,et al.  A decision tree method for building energy demand modeling , 2010 .

[4]  Sevgi Zeynep Dogan,et al.  Determining Attribute Weights in a CBR Model for Early Cost Prediction of Structural Systems , 2006 .

[5]  João Gomes,et al.  Estimating local greenhouse gas emissions—A case study on a Portuguese municipality , 2008 .

[6]  Z. Vale,et al.  An electric energy consumer characterization framework based on data mining techniques , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[7]  Wei-Yin Loh,et al.  Classification and regression trees , 2011, WIREs Data Mining Knowl. Discov..

[8]  Y. Shimoda,et al.  Residential end-use energy simulation at city scale , 2004 .

[9]  John Psarras,et al.  Assessing energy-saving measures in buildings through an intelligent decision support model , 2009 .

[10]  Dominic Maratukulam,et al.  ANNSTLF-a neural-network-based electric load forecasting system , 1997, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[11]  Michiya Suzuki,et al.  The estimation of energy consumption and CO2 emission due to housing construction in Japan , 1995 .

[12]  Sevastianos Mirasgedis,et al.  European residential buildings and empirical assessment of the Hellenic building stock, energy consumption, emissions and potential energy savings , 2007 .

[13]  Kelvin K. W. Yau,et al.  Predicting electricity energy consumption: A comparison of regression analysis, decision tree and neural networks , 2007 .

[14]  Alireza Khotanzad,et al.  Combination of artificial neural-network forecasters for prediction of natural gas consumption , 2000, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks Learn. Syst..

[15]  Soteris A. Kalogirou,et al.  Artificial neural networks for the prediction of the energy consumption of a passive solar building , 2000 .

[16]  Alberto Hernandez Neto,et al.  Comparison between detailed model simulation and artificial neural network for forecasting building energy consumption , 2008 .

[17]  S. F. Ghaderi,et al.  Integration of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithm to Predict Electrical Energy consumption , 2006, IECON 2006 - 32nd Annual Conference on IEEE Industrial Electronics.

[18]  Abdullatif Ben-Nakhi,et al.  Cooling load prediction for buildings using general regression neural networks , 2004 .

[19]  Chang-Taek Hyun,et al.  A Study on the Development of a Cost Model Based on the Owner's Decision Making at the Early Stages of a Construction Project , 2010 .

[20]  Wolfgang Müller,et al.  Applying decision tree methodology for rules extraction under cognitive constraints , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[21]  Harun Kemal Ozturk,et al.  Modeling and prediction of Turkey’s electricity consumption using Artificial Neural Networks , 2009 .

[22]  V. Jain,et al.  Modelling of electrical energy consumption in Delhi , 1999 .

[23]  Martin Pehnt,et al.  Life cycle assessment of carbon dioxide capture and storage from lignite power plants , 2009 .

[24]  Alan S. Fung,et al.  Modelling of residential energy consumption at the national level , 2003 .

[25]  Chang-Taek Hyun,et al.  A CBR-based hybrid model for predicting a construction duration and cost based on project characteristics in multi-family housing projects , 2010 .

[26]  Gwo-Ching Liao A new method for short term electric load forecasting , 2004, The 2004 IEEE Asia-Pacific Conference on Circuits and Systems, 2004. Proceedings..

[27]  Gwendolyn Brandon,et al.  REDUCING HOUSEHOLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION: A QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE FIELD STUDY , 1999 .

[28]  ChoongWan Koo,et al.  The development of a construction cost prediction model with improved prediction capacity using the advanced CBR approach , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[29]  Spiro N. Pollalis,et al.  Estimation model and benchmarks for heating energy consumption of schools and sport facilities in Germany , 2012 .

[30]  J. Nizami,et al.  A regression model for electric-energy-consumption forecasting in Eastern Saudi Arabia , 1994 .

[31]  Jong-Jin Kim,et al.  ANN-based thermal control models for residential buildings , 2010 .