The Impact of Supervision on Bank Performance

We introduce a novel instrument to identify exogenous variation in the intensity of supervision across U.S. bank holding companies based on the size rank of a bank within its Federal Reserve district. We demonstrate that supervisors record more hours at the largest banks in a district, even after controlling for size and other characteristics. Using a matched sample approach, we find that these “top” banks are less volatile, hold less risky loan portfolios, and engage in more conservative reserving practices, but do not have lower earnings or slower asset growth. Given that these firms are subject to similar rules, our results support the notion that supervision has a distinct role as a complement to regulation.

[1]  Jason Wu,et al.  The Effects of Supervision on Bank Performance: Evidence from Discontinuous Examination Frequencies , 2014 .

[2]  R. Radner The organization of decentralized information processing , 1993 .

[3]  J. Boyd,et al.  Bank holding company mergers with nonbank financial firms: Effects on the risk of failure , 1993 .

[4]  S. J. Lee,et al.  Estimating Changes in Supervisory Standards and Their Economic Effects , 2012 .

[5]  Georgios Chortareas,et al.  Bank supervision, regulation, and efficiency: evidence from the European Union , 2012 .

[6]  R. Townsend,et al.  The Economics of Bank Supervision , 2016 .

[7]  G. A. Miller THE PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW THE MAGICAL NUMBER SEVEN, PLUS OR MINUS TWO: SOME LIMITS ON OUR CAPACITY FOR PROCESSING INFORMATION 1 , 1956 .

[8]  D. G. Morrison,et al.  Financial Ratios , Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy , 2016 .

[9]  D. Rubin,et al.  The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects , 1983 .

[10]  Asaf Manela,et al.  Hub-and-Spoke Regulation and Bank Leverage , 2017, Review of Finance.

[11]  Eric S. Rosengren,et al.  Bank regulation and the credit crunch , 1995 .

[12]  J. Vickery,et al.  Do Big Banks Have Lower Operating Costs? , 2014 .

[13]  J. de Haan,et al.  Banking Risk and Regulation: Does One Size Fit All? , 2011 .

[14]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  Banks with Something to Lose: The Disciplinary Role of Franchise Value , 1996 .

[15]  Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham,et al.  Parsing the Content of Bank Supervision , 2016 .

[16]  G. A. Miller The magical number seven plus or minus two: some limits on our capacity for processing information. , 1956, Psychological review.

[17]  W. Marsh,et al.  Assessing Targeted Macroprudential Financial Regulation: The Case of the 2006 Commercial Real Estate Guidance for Banks , 2016 .

[18]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  The Finance-Growth Nexus: Evidence from Bank Branch Deregulation , 1996 .

[19]  Frederic S. Mishkin Prudential Supervision: Why is it Important and What are the Issues? , 2000 .

[20]  The Effects of Liquidity Regulation on Bank Demand in Monetary Policy Operations , 2016 .

[21]  Panagiotis K. Staikouras,et al.  Supervisory Effectiveness and Bank Risk , 2011 .

[22]  Frederic S. Mishkin,et al.  Prudential Supervision: What Works and What Doesn't , 2001 .

[23]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  The Information Content of Bank Examinations , 1994 .

[24]  M. Flannery,et al.  Comparing Market and Supervisory Assessments of Bank Performance: Who Knows What When? , 1998 .

[25]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  Bank Integration and State Business Cycles , 2002 .

[26]  P. Bolton,et al.  The firm as a communication network , 1994 .

[27]  Rebel A. Cole,et al.  A CAMEL Rating's Shelf Life , 1995 .

[28]  Asaf Manela,et al.  Funding and Incentives of Regulators: Evidence from Banking , 2017 .

[29]  Silvia Pezzini,et al.  The Impact of Capital Requirements on Bank Lending , 2014 .

[30]  R. Prager,et al.  Supervisor Ratings and the Contraction of Bank Lending to Small Businesses , 2012 .

[31]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  A theory of hierarchies based on limited managerial attention , 1991 .

[32]  Jeroen Klomp,et al.  Banking Risk and Regulation: Does One Size Fit All? , 2011 .

[33]  Sumit Agarwal,et al.  Inconsistent Regulators: Evidence from Banking , 2012 .

[34]  Susan E. Moyer Capital adequacy ratio regulations and accounting choices in commercial banks , 1990 .

[35]  Did U.S. Bank Supervisors Get Tougher During the Credit Crunch? Did They Get Easier During the Banking Boom? Did It Matter to Bank Lending? , 2000 .

[36]  D. Tarullo Next Steps in the Evolution of Stress Testing: a speech at the Yale University School of Management Leaders Forum, New Haven, Connecticut, September 26, 2016 , 2016 .

[37]  Edward I. Altman,et al.  FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND THE PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY , 1968 .

[38]  Beverly Hirtle,et al.  Supervisory Information and the Frequency of Bank Examinations , 1999 .

[39]  Jose A. Lopez,et al.  Do supervisory rating standards change over time , 2009 .

[40]  Carlos D. Ramírez,et al.  The impact of bank supervision on loan growth , 2008 .

[41]  Chen Lin,et al.  Do Bank Regulation, Supervision and Monitoring Enhance or Impede Bank Efficiency? , 2010 .

[42]  Matthew C. Plosser,et al.  Supervising Large, Complex Financial Institutions: What Do Supervisors Do? , 2015 .

[43]  E. Fama,et al.  The Cross‐Section of Expected Stock Returns , 1992 .

[44]  Luis Garicano Hierarchies and the Organization of Knowledge in Production , 2000, Journal of Political Economy.

[45]  X. Gabaix,et al.  Why Has CEO Pay Increased so Much? , 2006 .

[46]  D. Scharfstein,et al.  The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking , 2016 .

[47]  C. James,et al.  Returns to Acquirers and Competition in the Acquisition Market: The Case of Banking , 1987, Journal of Political Economy.

[48]  Timothy H. Hannan,et al.  Bank Insolvency Risk and the Market for Large Certificates of Deposit , 1988 .

[49]  T. Cargill CAMEL ratings and the CD market , 1989 .