A comparison of several approximations to the lead time demand distribution

Several distributions have been used for approximating the lead time demand distribution in inventory systems. We compare five distributions, the normal, the logistic, the lognormal, the gamma and the Weibull for obtaining the expected number of back orders, the reorder levels to have a given protection and the optimal order quantity, reorder levels in continuous review models of (Q, r) type. The normal and the logistic distributions are inadequate to represent the situations where the coefficient of variation (the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean) of the lead time demand distribution is large. The lognormal, the gamma and the Weibull distributions are versatile and adequate; however the lognormal seems to be a viable candidate because of its computational simplicity.

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