Optimization of postponement process for a two stage modular manufacturer

Purpose Firms have increasingly been using postponement as one of the supply chain strategies to respond to rapid changes in customers’ demands. The purpose of this study is to identify the optimum level of postponement in the context of two-stage modular manufacturing setting, given the information about trade-off between level of postponement and associated cost is known. Design/methodology/approach A critical ratio for the manufacturer to determine whether postponement process is to be continued or not is identified. An algebraic formula for the critical ratio is obtained using which managers can identify the optimal level of postponement using differential calculus. Findings The authors have analytically arrived at the solution which gives the manager the optimum level of postponement. Here, they identify the optimum level of postponement in the context of manufacturing, given the trade-off between level of postponement and associated cost. They calculate the expected total profit with different demand scenarios. The parametric analysis in this study shows that if price of the product decreases, then optimal amount of postponement also decreases. Research limitations/implications It is important for a manager to identify the optimum level of postponement. In practice, managers usually take this decision on the basis of their judgment and trivial analysis of trade-off between costs and benefits of postponement. Originality/value In this study, the authors find an optimum amount of postponement for a firm to find an optimal balance between the cost and the benefit garnered by the postponement process.

[1]  Jing Qian,et al.  Inventory and package postponement strategy , 2011 .

[2]  Kamran Moinzadeh,et al.  An improved ordering policy for continuous review inventory systems with arbitrary inter-demand time distributions , 2001 .

[3]  Charles S. Tippetts Postponable Purchasing of Durable Consumers' Goods and the Business Cycle , 1939 .

[4]  Shib Sankar Sana,et al.  Optimal replenishment order for uncertain demand in three layer supply chain , 2012 .

[5]  Mohamed Mohamed Naim,et al.  Evaluation of postponement in the soluble coffee supply chain , 2011 .

[6]  N. D. Burns,et al.  Implications of postponement for the supply chain , 2003 .

[7]  Donald J. Bowersox,et al.  Logistical Management: The Integrated Supply Chain Process , 1974 .

[8]  L. P. Bucklin Postponement, Speculation and the Structure of Distribution Channels , 1965 .

[9]  Wroe Alderson,et al.  Marketing efficiency and the principle of Postponement , 2006 .

[10]  Anand Nair,et al.  Linking manufacturing postponement, centralized distribution and value chain flexibility with performance , 2005 .

[11]  Gregory W. Greenwell,et al.  Modeling Uncertain Forecast Accuracy in Supply Chains with Postponement , 2009 .

[12]  Matteo Giacomo Maria Kalchschmidt,et al.  Product and process modularity: improving flexibility and reducing supplier failure risk , 2013 .

[13]  M. Cooper,et al.  Supply Chain Postponement and Speculation Strategies: How to choose the right strategy , 1998 .

[14]  Douglas M. Lambert,et al.  Interorganizational Time-Based Postponement in the Supply Chain , 2007 .

[15]  D. P. van Donk,et al.  Coping with product variety in the food processing industry: the effect of form postponement , 2014 .

[16]  M. Fisher What is the Right Supply Chain for Your Product , 1997 .

[17]  Linda Hendry,et al.  Supply-chain uncertainty: a review and theoretical foundation for future research , 2012 .

[18]  Ram Narasimhan,et al.  Postponement strategy for international transfer of products in a global supply chain: A system dynamics examination , 2012 .

[19]  Sean P. Willems,et al.  Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains , 2000, Manuf. Serv. Oper. Manag..

[20]  Alessandro Brun,et al.  Evaluation of product customization strategies through modularization and postponement , 2009 .

[21]  R. V. Hoek,et al.  Postponed manufacturing: a case study in the food supply chain , 1997 .

[22]  Konstantin Kogan,et al.  Multi-stage newsboy problem: A dynamic model , 2003, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  H.L. Lee,et al.  Aligning Supply Chain Strategies with Product Uncertainties , 2002, IEEE Engineering Management Review.

[24]  Bhanu S. Ragu-Nathan,et al.  The impact of supply chain management practices on competitive advantage and organizational performance , 2006 .

[25]  Liwen Liu,et al.  Supply chain coordination with manufacturer's limited reserve capacity: An extended newsboy problem , 2008 .

[26]  N. D. Burns,et al.  Postponement: a review and an integrated framework , 2004 .

[27]  Zhang Min,et al.  Postponement strategy from a supply chain perspective: cases from China , 2007 .

[28]  M. Hariga A stochastic inventory model with lead time and lot size interaction , 1999 .

[29]  M. Holweg,et al.  Successful Build-to-Order Strategies Start With the Customer , 2001 .

[30]  Chris J. Backhouse,et al.  Management of uncertainty through postponement , 2004 .

[31]  M. Khouja Optimizing inventory decisions in a multi-stage multi-customer supply chain , 2003 .

[32]  B. Tabrizi,et al.  Defining next-generation products: an inside look. , 1997, Harvard business review.

[33]  Awi Federgruen,et al.  Design for Postponement: A Comprehensive Characterization of Its Benefits Under Unknown Demand Distributions , 2001, Oper. Res..

[34]  Artur Swierczek,et al.  The selected determinants of manufacturing postponement within supply chain context: An international study , 2011 .

[35]  Chia-Shin Chung,et al.  A newsboy problem with reactive production , 2001, Comput. Oper. Res..

[36]  Stuart J. Barnes,et al.  Supplier flexibility and postponement implementation: An empirical analysis , 2016 .

[37]  S. Saghiri,et al.  Supplier relationship impacts on postponement strategies , 2014 .

[38]  Dinesh Seth,et al.  Application and evaluation of packaging postponement strategy to boost supply chain responsiveness: a case study , 2015 .

[39]  Jian Chen,et al.  Postponed product differentiation with demand information update , 2013 .

[40]  Jan B. Heide,et al.  Performance implications of buyer-supplier relationships in industrial markets: A transaction cost explanation , 1995 .

[41]  W. Zinn,et al.  PLANNING PHYSICAL DISTRIBUTION WITH THE PRINCIPLE OF POSTPONEMENT , 1988 .