The Importance of Disagreeing: Contrarians and Extremism in the Coda Model

In this paper, we study the effects of introducing contrarians in a model of Opinion Dynamics where the agents have internal continuous opinions, but exchange information only about a binary choice that is a function of their continuous opinion, the CODA model. We observe that the hung election scenario that arises when contrarians are introduced in discrete opinion models still happens. However, it is weaker and it should not be expected in every election. Finally, we also show that the introduction of contrarians make the tendency towards extremism of the original model weaker, indicating that the existence of agents that prefer to disagree might be an important aspect and help society to diminish extremist opinions.

[1]  L. Peliti,et al.  Opinion dynamics in a three-choice system , 2005, cond-mat/0504254.

[2]  G. Weisbuch,et al.  Persuasion dynamics , 2004, cond-mat/0410200.

[3]  R. Huckfeldt,et al.  Political Disagreement: The Survival of Diverse Opinions within Communication Networks , 2004 .

[4]  Andre C. R. Martins,et al.  CONTINUOUS OPINIONS AND DISCRETE ACTIONS IN OPINION DYNAMICS PROBLEMS , 2007, 0711.1199.

[5]  Guillaume Deffuant,et al.  Comparing Extremism Propagation Patterns in Continuous Opinion Models , 2006, J. Artif. Soc. Soc. Simul..

[6]  Dietrich Stauffer AIP Conference Proceedings on the Monte Carlo method in the physical sciences, to be edited by J.E. Gubernatis. How to convince others ? Monte Carlo simulations of the Sznajd model , 2003 .

[7]  S. Galam,et al.  Sociophysics: A new approach of sociological collective behaviour. I. mean‐behaviour description of a strike , 1982, 2211.07041.

[8]  Karl E. Kürten DYNAMICAL PHASE TRANSITIONS IN OPINION NETWORKS: COEXISTENCE OF OPPORTUNISTS AND CONTRARIANS , 2008 .

[9]  Europhysics Letters PREPRINT , 2002 .

[10]  Li-Xin Zhong,et al.  Effects of contrarians in the minority game. , 2005, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[11]  Johannes J. Schneider The Influence Of Contrarians And Opportunists On The Stability Of A Democracy In The Sznajd Model , 2004 .

[12]  S. Galam POLITICAL PARADOXES OF MAJORITY RULE VOTING AND HIERARCHICAL SYSTEMS , 1991 .

[13]  Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron,et al.  Opinion evolution in closed community , 2000, cond-mat/0101130.

[14]  S. Galam,et al.  Chaotic, staggered, and polarized dynamics in opinion forming: The contrarian effect. , 2006, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[15]  D. Saad Europhysics Letters , 1997 .

[16]  B. Swart,et al.  Quantitative Finance , 2006, Metals and Energy Finance.

[17]  Andre C. R. Martins,et al.  Bayesian updating rules in continuous opinion dynamics models , 2008, 0807.4972.

[18]  S. Galam,et al.  The role of inflexible minorities in the breaking of democratic opinion dynamics , 2007, physics/0703021.

[19]  Jan Lorenz,et al.  Continuous Opinion Dynamics under Bounded Confidence: A Survey , 2007, 0707.1762.

[20]  S. Fortunato,et al.  Statistical physics of social dynamics , 2007, 0710.3256.

[21]  Andre C. R. Martins,et al.  A Bayesian Framework for Opinion Updates , 2008, ArXiv.

[22]  S. Galam Contrarian deterministic effects on opinion dynamics: “the hung elections scenario” , 2003, cond-mat/0307404.

[23]  Guillaume Deffuant,et al.  How can extremism prevail? A study based on the relative agreement interaction model , 2002, J. Artif. Soc. Soc. Simul..

[24]  Nestor Caticha,et al.  Opinion dynamics of learning agents: does seeking consensus lead to disagreement? , 2008, 0811.2099.

[25]  廣松 毅 International Journal of General Systems : 抄録雑誌の概要 , 1987 .

[26]  Rainer Hegselmann,et al.  Opinion dynamics and bounded confidence: models, analysis and simulation , 2002, J. Artif. Soc. Soc. Simul..

[27]  S. Galam,et al.  Towards a theory of collective phenomena: Consensus and attitude changes in groups , 1991 .

[28]  James Edward Gubernatis,et al.  The Monte Carlo Method in the Physical Sciences: Celebrating the 50th Anniversary of the Metropolis Algorithm , 2003 .

[29]  S. Galam Social paradoxes of majority rule voting and renormalization group , 1990 .

[30]  Guillaume Deffuant,et al.  Mixing beliefs among interacting agents , 2000, Adv. Complex Syst..

[31]  André C R Martins,et al.  Mobility and social network effects on extremist opinions. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[32]  D Sornette,et al.  Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos , 2001 .