New Zealand economic growth - endogenous or exogenous?

Economic growth has, once again, taken centre-stage in macroeconomics. Attempting to discriminate empirically between exogenous and endogenous engines of growth has become an important element of this resurgence and this paper adds to the debate. In this paper we present two contributions to the literature on economic growth. Firstly, a standard two-sector model of growth is extended to consider m-types of capital, where one of these can be human capital. The second contribution relates to the empirical application based upon New Zealand annual data 1955-1998. The results presented here lead to no support for exogenous growth models as an explanation of the growth process in New Zealand. However, the evidence is not overwhelming and further work is required both in terms of data used and types of tests employed.

[1]  W. Crowder,et al.  Balanced growth and public capital: an empirical analysis , 1997 .

[2]  S. Durlauf,et al.  Interpreting Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis , 1994 .

[3]  P. Romer Endogenous Technological Change , 1989, Journal of Political Economy.

[4]  Hiro Y. Toda,et al.  Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes , 1995 .

[5]  D. Thorns,et al.  Understanding Aotearoa/New Zealand : historical statistics , 1997 .

[6]  B. Cheng,et al.  Human capital and economic growth in Japan: an application of time series analysis , 1997 .

[7]  W. Baumol Entrepreneurship: Productive, Unproductive, and Destructive , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  S. Lau,et al.  Observational equivalence and a stochastic cointegration test of the neoclassical and Romer's increasing returns models , 1997 .

[9]  James G. MacKinnon,et al.  Critical Values for Cointegration Tests , 1990 .

[10]  Robert Summers,et al.  A NEW SET OF INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS OF REAL PRODUCT AND PRICE LEVELS ESTIMATES FOR 130 COUNTRIES, 1950–1985 , 1988 .

[11]  Government Consumption and Growth , 1997 .

[12]  Sau-Him Paul Lau,et al.  PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: TIME-SERIES PROPERTIES AND EVIDENCE. IN: TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE , 1997 .

[13]  Charles I. Jones,et al.  Time Series Tests of Endogenous Growth Models , 1995 .

[14]  Larry E. Jones,et al.  A Convex Model of Equilibrium Growth: Theory and Policy Implications , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[15]  R. Solow A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth , 1956 .

[16]  G. Grossman,et al.  Innovation and growth in the global economy , 1993 .

[17]  Jonathan R.W. Temple,et al.  Robustness Tests of the Augmented Solow Model , 1998 .

[18]  Magnus Blomstrom,et al.  Is Fixed Investment the Key to Economic Growth? , 1993 .

[19]  Kitack Lee,et al.  Growth and Convergence in a Multicountry Empirical Stochastic Solow Model , 1997 .

[20]  Jonathan R.W. Temple,et al.  The New Growth Evidence , 1999 .