The method matters: a guide for indicator aggregation in ecological assessments

Abstract Ecological assessment requires the integration of many physical, chemical, and/or biological quality elements. The choice of the aggregation method of such partial assessments into an overall assessment can considerably affect the assessment outcome – an issue that has been controversially discussed within the scientific community for the last decade. Current practice often considers only two different aggregation methods, the weighted arithmetic mean (additive aggregation) and the one-out, all-out method (minimum aggregation). However, both have important drawbacks. Additive aggregation compensates a bad status of one quality element by a number of elements featuring good status. Minimum aggregation can lead to overly pessimistic assessment results, since only the quality element in the worst status is considered. Here, we introduce a toolbox containing current and new aggregation methods, demonstrate and discuss their properties with simple, didactical examples, and suggest in which situations best to use them. Then, we illustrate the consequences of selected aggregation schemes for ecological river assessment with the case study of the Swiss Modular Concept of stream assessment (SMC), which we apply to ten river reaches in the Monchaltdorfer Aa catchment in Switzerland. To be able to do so, we used multi-criteria decision analysis, i.e., multi-attribute value theory, to arrange the SMC quality elements into an objectives hierarchy, and to translate their individual assessments into value functions. Our case study revealed that choosing the most appropriate aggregation method particularly matters, if objectives with significantly different qualities are aggregated. We argue that redundant objectives (i.e., quality elements), often found at the lower levels of the objectives hierarchy, should best be aggregated additively allowing for compensation to increase the statistical significance of the results. Further, we suggest that complementary sub-objectives that often occur at higher levels may be optimally aggregated with a mixture of additive and minimum aggregation. Such a mixed method will allow some compensation, but nevertheless penalize for very bad states. Since here we compare commonly used aggregation methods with some which we believe have never been discussed in an assessment context before, our study concurrently informs ecological assessment in theory and in practice.

[1]  Roy Brouwer,et al.  Cost-Benefit analysis and water resources management , 2005 .

[2]  Chemisch-physikalische Erhebungen,et al.  Methoden zur Untersuchung und Beurteilung der Fliessgewässer , 2010 .

[3]  R. K. Johnson,et al.  Combination of multiple biological quality elements into waterbody assessment of surface waters , 2012, Hydrobiologia.

[4]  Leonard Sandin Testing the EC Water Framework Directive “one-out, all-out” rule — simulating different levels of assessment errors along a pollution gradient in Swedish streams , 2005 .

[5]  Mark E. Borsuk,et al.  Concepts of decision support for river rehabilitation , 2007, Environ. Model. Softw..

[6]  T. Moss The governance of land use in river basins: prospects for overcoming problems of institutional interplay with the EU Water Framework Directive , 2004 .

[7]  P. Liechti,et al.  Scientific base and modular concept for comprehensive assessment of streams in Switzerland , 2000 .

[8]  R. L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[9]  Shallow lakes, the water framework directive and life. What should it all be about? , 2007 .

[10]  M. Barbour,et al.  Rapid bioassessment protocols for use in streams and wadeable rivers: periphyton , 1999 .

[11]  Á. Borja,et al.  The European Water Framework Directive at the age of 10: a critical review of the achievements with recommendations for the future. , 2010, The Science of the total environment.

[12]  Benjamin F. Hobbs,et al.  Multicriteria Decision Analysis of Stream Restoration: Potential and Examples , 2009 .

[13]  Peter Reichert,et al.  How to make river assessments comparable: A demonstration for hydromorphology , 2013 .

[14]  Peter Reichert,et al.  Incorporation of uncertainty in decision support to improve water quality , 2012 .

[15]  R. Naiman,et al.  Freshwater biodiversity: importance, threats, status and conservation challenges , 2006, Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society.

[16]  W van de Bund,et al.  Towards good ecological status of surface waters in Europe--interpretation and harmonisation of the concept. , 2004, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[17]  Marten Scheffer,et al.  The determination of ecological status in shallow lakes - a tested system (ECOFRAME) for implementation of the European Water Framework Directive , 2003 .

[18]  R Core Team,et al.  R: A language and environment for statistical computing. , 2014 .

[19]  Bernd Klauer,et al.  Multicriteria Analysis under Uncertainty with IANUS—Method and Empirical Results , 2006 .

[20]  Ralph L. Keeney,et al.  Feature Article - Decision Analysis: An Overview , 1982, Oper. Res..

[21]  N. Hanley,et al.  Cost–Benefit Analysis and the Environment , 1993 .

[22]  Eva Abal,et al.  Integration of science and monitoring of river ecosystem health to guide investments in catchment protection and rehabilitation , 2010 .

[23]  Adel Guitouni,et al.  Tentative guidelines to help choosing an appropriate MCDA method , 1998, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[24]  Ralph L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with multiple objectives: preferences and value tradeoffs , 1976 .

[25]  F. H. Dawson,et al.  Quality assessment using River Habitat Survey data , 1998 .

[26]  P. McIntyre,et al.  Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity , 2010, Nature.

[27]  Peter Reichert,et al.  Constructing, evaluating and visualizing value and utility functions for decision support , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[28]  Franz Eisenführ,et al.  Rational Decision Making , 2010 .

[29]  J. Geist,et al.  Seasonal and spatial bank habitat use by fish in highly altered rivers – a comparison of four different restoration measures , 2010 .