Neural network model for discharge and water-level prediction for Ramganga River catchment of Ganga Basin, India

ABSTRACT Discharges and water levels are essential components of river hydrodynamics. In unreachable terrains and ungauged locations, it is quite difficult to measure these parameters due to rugged topography. In the present study an artificial neural network model has been developed for the Ramganga River catchment of the Ganga Basin. The modelled network is trained, validated and tested using daily water flow and level data pertaining to 4 years (2010–2013). The network has been optimized using an enumeration technique and a network topology of 4-10-2 with a learning rate set at 0.06, which was found optimum for predicting discharge and water-level values for the considered river. The mean square error values obtained for discharge and water level for the tested data were found to be 0.046 and 0.012, respectively. Thus, monsoon flow patterns can be estimated with an accuracy of about 93.42%. Editor M.C. Acreman; Associate editor E. Gargouri

[1]  A. N. Strahler DYNAMIC BASIS OF GEOMORPHOLOGY , 1952 .

[2]  Çagdas Hakan Aladag,et al.  A new linear & nonlinear artificial neural network model for time series forecasting , 2013, Decis. Support Syst..

[3]  Guoqiang Peter Zhang,et al.  Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model , 2003, Neurocomputing.

[4]  Tienfuan Kerh,et al.  Monitoring event-based suspended sediment concentration by artificial neural network models , 2008 .

[5]  D. Knight,et al.  Stage-Discharge Assessment in Compound Meandering Channels , 1999 .

[6]  I. Singh GEOLOGICAL EVOLUTION OF GANGA PLAIN : AN OVERVIEW , 1996 .

[7]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  River Flow Modeling Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2004 .

[8]  P. Ackers Flow formulae for straight two-stage channels , 1993 .

[9]  Piotr Wolski,et al.  Long-term variations of annual flows of the Okavango and Zambezi Rivers , 2006 .

[10]  Christian W. Dawson,et al.  An artificial neural network approach to rainfall-runoff modelling , 1998 .

[11]  S. Liang,et al.  Prediction models for tidal level including strong meteorologic effects using a neural network , 2008 .

[12]  Z. Kundzewicz,et al.  Searching for change in hydrological data , 2004 .

[13]  Momcilo Markus,et al.  PRECIPITATION-RUNOFF MODELING USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND CONCEPTUAL MODELS , 2000 .

[14]  P. C. Nayak,et al.  A neuro-fuzzy computing technique for modeling hydrological time series , 2004 .

[15]  P. Ackers HYDRAULIC DESIGN OF TWO-STAGE CHANNELS. (WINNER OF 1993 COOPERS HILL WAR MEMORIAL PRIZE). , 1992 .

[16]  P Ackers,et al.  HYDRAULIC DESIGN OF TWO-STAGE CHANNELS , 1992 .

[17]  R. Abrahart,et al.  Comparing neural network and autoregressive moving average techniques for the provision of continuous river flow forecasts in two contrasting catchments , 2000 .

[18]  Dong Li,et al.  eRAID: Conserving Energy in Conventional Disk-Based RAID System , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Computers.

[19]  V. Singh,et al.  Drought Forecasting Using a Hybrid Stochastic and Neural Network Model , 2007 .

[20]  Çagdas Hakan Aladag,et al.  Fuzzy time series forecasting with a novel hybrid approach combining fuzzy c-means and neural networks , 2013, Expert Syst. Appl..

[21]  S. Jain,et al.  Radial Basis Function Neural Network for Modeling Rating Curves , 2003 .

[22]  Amir F. Atiya,et al.  A comparison between neural-network forecasting techniques-case study: river flow forecasting , 1999, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[23]  Prabhat,et al.  Artificial Neural Network , 2018, Encyclopedia of GIS.

[24]  Paulin Coulibaly,et al.  Groundwater level forecasting using artificial neural networks , 2005 .

[25]  Li-Chiu Chang,et al.  Assessing the effort of meteorological variables for evaporation estimation by self-organizing map neural network , 2010 .

[26]  Rajat Gupta,et al.  Landslide hazard zoning using the GIS approach—A case study from the Ramganga catchment, Himalayas , 1990 .

[27]  Angus R. Simpson,et al.  LEAK DETECTION IN PIPELINES USING THE DAMPING OF FLUID TRANSIENTS , 2002 .

[28]  John O'Sullivan,et al.  Overbank flow depth prediction in alluvial compound channels , 2006 .

[29]  Tsong-Lin Lee Back-propagation neural network for long-term tidal predictions , 2004 .

[30]  U. C. Kothyari,et al.  Artificial neural networks for daily rainfall—runoff modelling , 2002 .

[31]  A. Soldati,et al.  River flood forecasting with a neural network model , 1999 .

[32]  H. Raman,et al.  Multivariate modelling of water resources time series using artificial neural networks , 1995 .

[33]  N. Null Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. I: Preliminary Concepts , 2000 .

[34]  Donald W. Knight,et al.  Resistance studies of overbank flow in rivers with sediment using the flood channel , 2001 .

[35]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Suspended sediment estimation using neuro-fuzzy and neural network approaches/Estimation des matières en suspension par des approches neurofloues et à base de réseau de neurones , 2005 .

[36]  An Efficient Prediction Model for Water Discharge in Schoharie Creek, NY , 2014 .

[37]  Axel Bronstert,et al.  River flooding in Germany: Influenced by climate change? , 1995 .

[38]  H. Kerem Cigizoglu Forecasting of Meteorologic Data by Artificial Neural Networks , 2003 .

[39]  Vito Ferro,et al.  Flow Velocity Measurements in Vegetated Channels , 2002 .

[40]  Martin F. Lambert,et al.  ESTIMATING THE DISCHARGE CAPACITY IN STRAIGHT COMPOUND CHANNELS. , 1998 .

[41]  K. Babaeyan-Koopaei,et al.  Two-Dimensional Solution for Straight and Meandering Overbank Flows , 2000 .

[42]  Roland K. Price,et al.  Data-driven modelling in the context of sediment transport , 2005 .

[43]  The response of straight mobile bed channels to inbank and overbank flows , 1999 .

[44]  P. R. Wormleaton,et al.  Discharge Assessment in Compound Channel Flow , 1982 .

[45]  Improving sediment discharge prediction for overbank flows , 2005 .

[46]  Christian W. Dawson,et al.  Evaluation of artificial neural network techniques for flow forecasting in the River Yangtze , China 619 , 2002 .

[47]  K. Valdiya Geology of Kumaun Lesser Himalaya , 1980 .

[48]  Xiaodong Li,et al.  Time series forecasting by evolving artificial neural networks with genetic algorithms, differential evolution and estimation of distribution algorithm , 2011, Neural Computing and Applications.

[49]  Donald W. Knight,et al.  RESISTANCE COEFFICIENTS FOR INBANK AND OVERBANK FLOW. , 1999 .

[50]  A. W. Jayawardena,et al.  Runoff Forecasting Using RBF Networks with OLS Algorithm , 1998 .

[51]  O. Jaafar,et al.  Study of water level-discharge relationship using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in Sungai Gumum, Tasik Chini Pahang Malaysia , 2010 .

[52]  P. Torfs,et al.  Prediction of Discharge in a Tidal RIver Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2014 .

[53]  K. P. Sudheer,et al.  A neuro-fuzzy computing technique for modeling hydrological time series , 2004 .

[54]  Paul A. Carling,et al.  Velocity and turbulence measurements for two overbank flow events in River Severn , 2002 .

[55]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Methods to improve the neural network performance in suspended sediment estimation , 2006 .

[56]  Xixi Lu,et al.  Suspended sediment flux modeling with artificial neural network: An example of the Longchuanjiang River in the Upper Yangtze Catchment, China , 2007 .

[57]  Berndt Müller,et al.  Neural networks: an introduction , 1990 .

[58]  null null,et al.  Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. II: Hydrologic Applications , 2000 .

[59]  Vahid Nourani,et al.  Daily suspended sediment concentration simulation using ANN and neuro-fuzzy models. , 2009, The Science of the total environment.

[60]  D. Knight,et al.  Boundary Shear in Symmetrical Compound Channels , 1984 .

[61]  D. Knight,et al.  Flood Plain and Main Channel Flow Interaction , 1983 .

[62]  J. Rupke Stratigraphic and structural evolution of the Kumaon Lesser Himalaya , 1974 .

[63]  M. K. Arora,et al.  An artificial neural network approach for landslide hazard zonation in the Bhagirathi (Ganga) Valley, Himalayas , 2004 .

[64]  R Govindaraju,et al.  ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS IN HYDROLOGY: II, HYDROLOGIC APPLICATIONS , 2000 .

[65]  Adhikari Alok Prediction of Discharge with Elman and Cascade Neural Networks , 2013 .

[66]  R. Gu,et al.  Modeling Flow and Sediment Transport in a River System Using an Artificial Neural Network , 2003, Environmental management.