Design, development, and application of LANDIS-II, a spatial landscape simulation model with flexible temporal and spatial resolution

We introduce LANDIS-II, a landscape model designed to simulate forest succession and disturbances. LANDIS-II builds upon and preserves the functionality of previous LANDIS forest landscape simulation models. LANDIS-II is distinguished by the inclusion of variable time steps for different ecological processes; our use of a rigorous development and testing process used by software engineers; and an emphasis on collaborative features including a flexible, open architecture. We detail the variable time step logic and provide an overview of the system architecture. Finally, we demonstrate model behavior and sensitivity to variable time steps through application to a large boreal forest landscape. We simulated pre-industrial forest fire regimes in order to establish base-line conditions for future management. Differing model time steps substantially altered our estimates of pre-industrial forest conditions. Where disturbance frequency is relatively high or successional processes long, the variable time steps may be a critical element for successful forest landscape modeling.

[1]  R. Neilson,et al.  Forest Processes and Global Environmental Change: Predicting the Effects of Individual and Multiple Stressors , 2001 .

[2]  D. Roberts Landscape vegetation modelling with vital attributes and fuzzy systems theory , 1996 .

[3]  E. Johnson,et al.  Fire and Vegetation Dynamics: Studies from the North American Boreal Forest. , 1993 .

[4]  Ajith H. Perera,et al.  Ecology of a managed terrestrial landscape : patterns and processes of forest landscapes in Ontario , 2000 .

[5]  Julio L. Betancourt,et al.  APPLIED HISTORICAL ECOLOGY: USING THE PAST TO MANAGE FOR THE FUTURE , 1999 .

[6]  H. Mooney,et al.  Functional roles of biodiversity: a global perspective , 1996 .

[7]  Hong S. He,et al.  Exploring component-based approaches in forest landscape modeling , 2002, Environ. Model. Softw..

[8]  James S. Clark,et al.  Plant migration and climate change , 1997 .

[9]  Robert M. Scheller,et al.  LANDIS-II Base Fire Extension (v1.1) User's Guide , 2006 .

[10]  P. Reich,et al.  Interactive effects of nitrogen deposition, tropospheric ozone, elevated CO2 and land use history on the carbon dynamics of northern hardwood forests , 2002 .

[11]  Hong S. He,et al.  SPATIALLY EXPLICIT AND STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF FOREST- LANDSCAPE FIRE DISTURBANCE AND SUCCESSION , 1999 .

[12]  Lars Håkanson,et al.  A model to calculate heavy metal load to lakes dominated by urban runoff and diffuse inflow , 2001 .

[13]  Hong S. He,et al.  Linking an ecosystem model and a landscape model to study forest species response to climate warming , 1999 .

[14]  Robert J. Scholes,et al.  Observations and modeling of biomass and soil organic matter dynamics for the grassland biome worldwide , 1993 .

[15]  Frederick J. Swanson,et al.  OVERVIEW OF THE USE OF NATURAL VARIABILITY CONCEPTS IN MANAGING ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS , 1999 .

[16]  Richard A. Kerr,et al.  Storm-in-a-Box Forecasting , 2004, Science.

[17]  R. Neilson A Model for Predicting Continental‐Scale Vegetation Distribution and Water Balance , 1995 .

[18]  S. Pacala,et al.  Forest models defined by field measurements: I. The design of a northeastern forest simulator , 1993 .

[19]  D. Mladenoff,et al.  A spatially interactive simulation of climate change, harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA , 2005 .

[20]  Chao Li,et al.  Reconstruction of natural fire regimes through ecological modelling , 2000 .

[21]  Yves Bergeron,et al.  Predicting the composition of Canadian southern boreal forest in different fire cycles , 1993 .

[22]  Andrew Fall,et al.  A domain-specific language for models of landscape dynamics , 2001 .

[23]  William K. Lauenroth,et al.  Models in Ecosystem Science , 2003, Models in Ecosystem Science.

[24]  Robert M. Scheller,et al.  Age-Only Succession Extension for LANDIS-II User's Guide (v1.0) , 2005 .

[25]  T. Spies,et al.  HISTORICAL RANGE OF VARIABILITY IN LANDSCAPE STRUCTURE: A SIMULATION STUDY IN OREGON, USA , 2005 .

[26]  D. Mladenoff,et al.  Design, behavior and application of LANDIS, an object-oriented model of forest landscape disturbance and succession. , 1999 .

[27]  D. Mladenoff LANDIS and forest landscape models , 2004 .

[28]  S. Ollinger,et al.  Modeling nitrogen saturation in forest ecosystems in response to land use and atmospheric deposition , 1997 .

[29]  M. Fortin,et al.  Spatially explicit simulation of long-term boreal forest landscape dynamics: incorporating quantitative stand attributes , 2004 .

[30]  Jimy Dudhia,et al.  The Weather Research and Forecast Model: software architecture and performance [presentation] , 2005 .

[31]  M. Turner,et al.  LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY : The Effect of Pattern on Process 1 , 2002 .

[32]  David J. Mladenoff,et al.  Simulating the Effects of Fire Reintroduction Versus Continued Fire Absence on Forest Composition and Landscape Structure in the Boundary Waters Canoe Area, Northern Minnesota, USA , 2005, Ecosystems.

[33]  A. Perera,et al.  Emulating natural forest landscape disturbances: concepts and applications. , 2008 .

[34]  David S. Platt,et al.  Introducing Microsoft® .NET , 2001 .

[35]  Kenneth L. Driese,et al.  The Propagation of Ecological Influences through Heterogeneous Environmental Space , 2001 .

[36]  Thomas Maxwell,et al.  A language for modular spatio-temporal simulation , 1997 .

[37]  D. Roberts,et al.  Simulating landscape vegetation dynamics of Bryce Canyon National Park with the vital attributes/fuzzy systems model VAFS/LANDSIM. , 1999 .

[38]  H. Bugmann,et al.  Improving the formulation of tree growth and succession in a spatially explicit landscape model , 2004 .

[39]  Hong S. He,et al.  Fuel load reductions and fire risk in central hardwood forests of the united states: a spatial simulation study , 2004 .

[40]  D. Mladenoff,et al.  A forest growth and biomass module for a landscape simulation model, LANDIS: design, validation, and application , 2004 .

[41]  Hong S. He,et al.  Spatial simulation of forest succession and timber harvesting using LANDIS. , 2000 .

[42]  David J. Mladenoff,et al.  Issues and Perspectives in Landscape Ecology: The promise of landscape modeling: successes, failures, and evolution , 2005 .

[43]  R. Paine,et al.  Compounded Perturbations Yield Ecological Surprises , 1998, Ecosystems.

[44]  Michael F. Goodchild,et al.  Gis and Environmental Modeling: Progress and Research Issues , 1996 .

[45]  Lee E. Frelich,et al.  Forest Dynamics and Disturbance Regimes: Studies from Temperate Evergreen-Deciduous Forests , 2002 .

[46]  Ajith H. Perera,et al.  Chapter 4. Characterizing Natural Forest Disturbance Regimes Concepts and Approaches , 2008 .