Freeway Work-Zone Crash Analysis and Risk Identification Using Multiple and Conditional Logistic Regression

Work-zone safety continues to be a priority and a concern for the Federal Highway Association as well as most state departments of transportation. The main objective of this study is to uncover work-zone freeway crash characteristics to help develop countermeasures that limit work-zones' hazards. The Florida Crash Records Database for years 2002, 2003, and 2004 was utilized for this study. Conditional logistic regression along with stratified sampling and multiple logistic regression models were estimated to unveil work-zone freeway crash traits. According to the models' results, roadway geometry, weather condition, age, gender, lighting condition, residence code, and driving under the influence of alcohol and/or drugs are significant risk factors associated with work-zone crashes.

[1]  Richard W Lyles,et al.  Difficulties with quasi-induced exposure when speed varies systematically by vehicle type. , 2007, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[2]  Tae-Jun Ha,et al.  DETAILED STUDY OF ACCIDENT EXPERIENCE IN CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE ZONES , 1995 .

[3]  Kenneth R. Agent,et al.  HIGHWAY ACCIDENTS IN CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE WORK ZONES , 1990 .

[4]  N Stamatiadis,et al.  Trends in highway safety: effects of an aging population on accident propensity. , 1995, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[5]  Rahim F Benekohal,et al.  Truck drivers' concerns in work zones : travel characteristics and accident experiences , 1995 .

[6]  Nagui M. Rouphail,et al.  COMPARATIVE STUDY OF SHORT- AND LONG-TERM URBAN FREEWAY WORK ZONES , 1988 .

[7]  N J Garber,et al.  Crash characteristics at work zones. , 2001 .

[8]  Li-Yen Chang,et al.  Analysis of freeway accident frequencies: Negative binomial regression versus artificial neural network , 2005 .

[9]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Predicting Freeway Crashes from Loop Detector Data by Matched Case-Control Logistic Regression , 2004 .

[10]  N Stamatiadis,et al.  Quasi-induced exposure: methodology and insight. , 1997, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[11]  Nikiforos Stamatiadis,et al.  Impact of Passengers on Young Driver Safety , 1999 .

[12]  Day Ne,et al.  A GENERAL MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD DISCRIMINANT , 1967 .

[13]  J. Anderson Separate sample logistic discrimination , 1972 .

[14]  N J Garber,et al.  ACCIDENT CHARACTERISTICS AT CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE ZONES IN URBAN AREAS. FINAL REPORT , 1990 .

[15]  Jun Wang,et al.  Investigation of Highway Work Zone Crashes: What We Know and What We Don't Know , 1996 .

[16]  R C Peck,et al.  Estimating the exposure and fatal crash rates of suspended/revoked and unlicensed drivers in California. , 1997, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[17]  Fred L. Mannering,et al.  The relationship among highway geometrics, traffic-related elements and motor-vehicle accident frequencies , 1998 .

[18]  Mohamed Abdel-Aty,et al.  Characteristics of rear-end accidents at signalized intersections using multiple logistic regression model. , 2005, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[19]  K. Dixon,et al.  Analysis of Fatal Crashes in Georgia Work Zones , 2000 .

[20]  Nikiforos Stamatiadis,et al.  Evaluating the impact of passengers on the safety of older drivers. , 2003, Journal of safety research.

[21]  Z A Nemeth,et al.  FREEWAY WORK ZONE ACCIDENT CHARACTERISTICS , 1983 .

[22]  D. Collett,et al.  Modeling Binary Data. , 1993 .

[23]  David W. Hosmer,et al.  Applied Logistic Regression , 1991 .

[24]  Joseph L. Schofer,et al.  Enhanced Crash Reporting to Explore Workzone Crash Patterns , 2001 .

[25]  Nicholas J Garber,et al.  Distribution and Characteristics of Crashes at Different Work Zone Locations in Virginia , 2002 .