A Comparison of Verbal and Graphical Information Presentation in a Complex Information Integration Decision Task

Abstract : This report describes an experiment conducted to evaluate the relative merits of verbal as opposed to spatial-graphical display formats in presenting sequential information to subjects in a tactical decision making task. The task required subjects to integrate a series of information messages bearing on the likelihood that one of two hypotheses pertaining to tactical maneuvers was in effect. Each information source could vary in its diagnosticity and its reliability. These variables contribute independently to the total valence or information valence of the cue. Subjects integrated information in problems of either 6, 8, or 10 cues, presented at a slow or fast speed, in either a verbal (numerical) or spatial (graphical) format. After each problem, subjects made a choice of the most likely hypothesis accompanied by an analog judgment of their confidence in that choice. The results were examined from two perspective: (1) from the perspective of human engineering guidelines, the data indicated that subjects' decisions were more accurate using the spatial display. (2) The data for both displays were analyzed from the perspective of different models of probablistic information integration.

[1]  R. Dawes,et al.  Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .

[2]  R. Dawes Judgment under uncertainty: The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making , 1979 .

[3]  P. Slovic,et al.  Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation , 1976 .

[4]  M. Bar-Hillel The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. , 1980 .

[5]  Kent B Davis,et al.  Application of Adaptive Models to Information Selection in C3 Systems. , 1976 .

[6]  W. Edwards Behavioral decision theory. , 1961, Annual review of psychology.

[7]  Ronald L. Spooner,et al.  Utilization of Reliability Measurements in Bayesian Inference: Models and Human Performance , 1973 .

[8]  Lola L. Lopes,et al.  Toward a Procedural Theory of Judgment. , 1982 .

[9]  Arnold F. Kanarick,et al.  Multi-Source Information Acquisition with Optional Stopping , 1969 .

[10]  N. Anderson,et al.  Test of a multiplying model for estimated area of rectangles. , 1971, The American journal of psychology.

[11]  Lewis R. Goldberg,et al.  Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences. , 1970 .

[12]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[13]  R A Fleming The Processing of Conflicting Information in a Simulated Tactical Decision-Making Task1 , 1970, Human factors.

[14]  W. R. Garner,et al.  Integrality of stimulus dimensions in various types of information processing , 1970 .

[15]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .

[16]  W. R. Garner The Processing of Information and Structure , 1974 .