论文信息 - Futures research and social decision making: Alternative futures as a case study

Futures research and social decision making: Alternative futures as a case study

Abstract This article clarifies some basic features of futures research in order to make explicit the relation between futures research and social development in general as well as political planning and decision making in particular. Three paradigms for futures research are described and, as an example of an emancipatory futures research project, ‘Alternative futures’ will be introduced.

Mika Mannermaa | M. Mannermaa

[1] Fritjof Capra,et al. The Turning Point: A New Vision of Reality. , 1982 .

[2] Herman Kahn,et al. The Year 2000 , 1988, AAOHN journal : official journal of the American Association of Occupational Health Nurses.

[3] R. Amara. New directions for futures research —setting the stage , 1984 .

[4] U. Svedin,et al. Methods in Futures Studies , 1982 .

[5] Wendell Bell,et al. The Third Wave. , 1982 .

[6] Gerhart Bruckmann,et al. Groping in the dark; the first decade of global modelling. , 1982 .

[7] R. S. Isenson,et al. Technological Forecasting in Perspective , 1966 .

[8] J. Richardson. The state of futures research-personal reflections , 1984 .

[9] Graciela Chichilnisky,et al. Catastrophe or new society? : a Latin American world model , 1976 .

[10] Hazel Henderson,et al. The politics of the solar age: Alternatives to economics , 1981 .

[11] Bertrand de Jouvenel,et al. The Art of Conjecture. , 1968 .

[12] O. K. Flechtheim. History and futurology , 1967 .

[13] Edward Cornish,et al. The Study of the Future: An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow's World , 1978 .

[14] H. Linstone. Futures research report card—quantity: A; quality: C; and impact: F , 1984 .

[15] Peter H. Wagschal. What Futures Shall We Study , 1982 .