Technological discontinuities and the challenge for incumbent firms: Destruction, disruption or creative accumulation?

The creative destruction of existing industries as a consequence of discontinuous technological change is a central theme in the literature on industrial innovation and technological development. Established competence-based and market-based explanations of this phenomenon argue that incumbents are seriously challenged only by ‘competence-destroying’ or ‘disruptive’ innovations, which make their existing knowledge base or business models obsolete and leave them vulnerable to attacks from new entrants. This paper challenges these arguments. With detailed empirical analyses of the automotive and gas turbine industries, we demonstrate that these explanations overestimate the ability of new entrants to destroy and disrupt established industries and underestimate the capacity of incumbents to perceive the potential of new technologies and integrate them with existing capabilities. Moreover, we show how intense competition in the wake of technological discontinuities, driven entirely by incumbents, may instead result in late industry shakeouts. We develop and extend the notion of ‘creative accumulation’ as a way of conceptualizing the innovating capacity of the incumbents that appear to master such turbulence. Specifically, we argue that creative accumulation requires firms to handle a triple challenge of simultaneously (a) fine-tuning and evolving existing technologies at a rapid pace, (b) acquiring and developing new technologies and resources and (c) integrating novel and existing knowledge into superior products and solutions.

[1]  Daniel A. Levinthal,et al.  ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY: A NEW PERSPECTIVE ON LEARNING AND INNOVATION , 1990 .

[2]  Franco Malerba,et al.  Schumpeterian patterns of innovation are technology-specific , 1996 .

[3]  Cheryl T. Druehl,et al.  When Is a Disruptive Innovation Disruptive , 2008 .

[4]  K. Pavitt Sectoral Patterns of Technical Change : Towards a Taxonomy and a Theory : Research Policy , 1984 .

[5]  J. Schumpeter The Creative Response in Economic History , 1947, The Journal of Economic History.

[6]  Wendy K. Smith,et al.  A Structural Approach to Assessing Innovation: Construct Development of Innovation Locus, Type, and Characteristics , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[7]  Ron Adner When Are Technologies Disruptive: A Demand-Based View of the Emergence of Competition , 2002 .

[8]  Christopher L. Tucci,et al.  Incumbent Entry into New Market Niches: The Role of Experience and Managerial Choice in the Creation of Dynamic Capabilities , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[9]  N. Rosenberg Factors affecting the diffusion of technology , 1972 .

[10]  Wendy K. Smith,et al.  Organizational designs and innovation streams , 2010 .

[11]  M. Jacobides,et al.  Benefiting from Innovation: Value Creation, Value Appropriation and the Role of Industry Architectures , 2006 .

[12]  Haifeng Liu,et al.  The development of low-carbon vehicles in China , 2011 .

[13]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Seeing What's Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change , 2005 .

[14]  C. Christensen,et al.  Making friends with disruptive technology: ‐ an interview with Clayton M. Christensen , 2001 .

[15]  Fredrik Tell,et al.  Technological capabilities and late shakeouts: industrial dynamics in the advanced gas turbine industry, 1987–2002 , 2008 .

[16]  Nathanael Greene,et al.  Small and Clean Is Beautiful: Exploring the Emissions of Distributed Generation and Pollution Prevention Policies , 2000 .

[17]  Luigi Orsenigo,et al.  The persistence of innovative activities: A cross-countries and cross-sectors comparative analysis , 2001 .

[18]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Foundations for Growth: How to Identify and Build Disruptive New Businesses , 2002 .

[19]  D. Teece Profiting from technological innovation: Implications for integration, collaboration, licensing and public policy , 1993 .

[20]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Explaining the attacker's advantage: Technological paradigms, organizational dynamics, and the value network , 1995 .

[21]  C. Kimble,et al.  Business Model Innovation and the Development of the Electric Vehicle Industry in China , 2012 .

[22]  Akira Takeishi,et al.  Special Issue: Knowledge, Knowing, and Organizations: Knowledge Partitioning in the Interfirm Division of Labor: The Case of Automotive Product Development , 2002, Organ. Sci..

[23]  S. Klepper Entry, Exit, Growth, and Innovation over the Product Life Cycle , 1996 .

[24]  Clayton M. Christensen The Ongoing Process of Building a Theory of Disruption , 2006 .

[25]  R. V. Wyk Innovation: The attacker's advantage : Richard N. Foster 316 pages, £14.95 (London, Macmillan, 1986) , 1987 .

[26]  M. Tushman,et al.  Technological Discontinuities and Organizational Environments , 1986 .

[27]  J. Birkinshaw,et al.  Organizational Ambidexterity: Antecedents, Outcomes, and Moderators , 2008 .

[28]  Franck Aggeri,et al.  Managing learning in the automotive industry – the innovation race for electric vehicles , 2009 .

[29]  M. Hobday Semiconductors: Creative destruction or US industrial decline? , 1990 .

[30]  Martin Kumar Patel,et al.  On the electrification of road transport - Learning rates and price forecasts for hybrid-electric and battery-electric vehicles , 2012 .

[31]  Thomas Magnusson,et al.  Commercializing Cleaner New Technologies: The Case of Microturbine Generators , 2003, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[32]  Don E. Kash,et al.  Path Dependence in the Innovation of Complex Technologies , 2002, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[33]  Carrie R. Leana,et al.  Individual Responses to Job Loss: Perceptions, Reactions, and Coping Behaviors , 1988 .

[34]  Jason Seawright,et al.  Case Selection Techniques in Case Study Research , 2008 .

[35]  Jeffrey L. Funk,et al.  The co-evolution of technology and methods of standard setting: the case of the mobile phone industry , 2009 .

[36]  J. Gerring,et al.  Case Selection for Case‐Study Analysis: Qualitative and Quantitative Techniques , 2008 .

[37]  Frank W. Geels,et al.  The hygienic transition from cesspools to sewer systems (1840-1930): the dynamics of regime transformation , 2006 .

[38]  Paul Nightingale,et al.  The myth of the biotech revolution: An assessment of technological, clinical and organisational change , 2007 .

[39]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Disruptive Technologies: Catching the Wave , 1995 .

[40]  Stuart L. Hart,et al.  Innovation, Creative Destruction and Sustainability , 2005 .

[41]  Clayton M. Christensen The Innovator's Dilemma: The Revolutionary Book That Will Change the Way You Do Business , 2011 .

[42]  Sjoerd Bakker,et al.  The car industry and the blow-out of the hydrogen hype , 2010 .

[43]  M. Tushman,et al.  Technological Discontinuities and Dominant Designs: A Cyclical Model of Technological Change , 1990 .

[44]  O. Granstrand,et al.  Multi-Technology Corporations: Why They Have “Distributed” Rather Than “Distinctive Core” Competencies , 1997 .

[45]  Alberto Di Minin,et al.  The Persistence of Home Bias for Important R&D in Wireless Telecom and Automobiles , 2009 .

[46]  S. Ansari,et al.  Incumbent Performance in the Face of a Radical Innovation: Towards a Framework for Incumbent Challenger Dynamics , 2012 .

[47]  B. A. Gilbert Creative Destruction: Identifying its Geographic Origins , 2011 .

[48]  Don E. Kash,et al.  Emerging patterns of complex technological innovation , 2002 .

[49]  Constance E. Helfat,et al.  The birth of capabilities: market entry and the importance of pre-history , 2002 .

[50]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Technological Discontinuties, Organizational Capabilities, and Strategic Commitments , 1994, Industrial and Corporate Change.

[51]  Thomas Magnusson,et al.  From CoPS to mass production? Capabilities and innovation in power generation equipment manufacturing , 2005 .

[52]  Koen Frenken,et al.  Toward a Systematic Framework for Research on Dominant Designs, Technological Innovations, and Industrial Change , 2005 .

[53]  Michael Shnayerson,et al.  The Car That Could: The Inside Story of GM's Revolutionary Electric Vehicle , 1996 .

[54]  Markus C. Becker,et al.  Organizing new product development: knowledge hollowing-out and knowledge integration. The FIAT Auto case , 2003 .

[55]  V. Govindarajan,et al.  Disruptiveness of innovations: measurement and an assessment of reliability and validity , 2006 .

[56]  Jeffrey T. Macher,et al.  ORGANISATIONAL RESPONSES TO DISCONTINUOUS INNOVATION: A CASE STUDY APPROACH , 2004 .

[57]  F. Malerba,et al.  Technological Regimes and Schumpeterian Patterns of Innovation , 2000 .

[58]  Anil Nair,et al.  Delayed creative destruction and the coexistence of technologies , 2003 .

[59]  Thomas Magnusson,et al.  Creative Accumulation: Integrating New and Established Technologies in Periods of Discontinuous Change , 2011 .

[60]  D. Leonard-Barton CORE CAPABILITIES AND CORE RIGIDITIES: A PARADOX IN MANAGING NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT , 1992 .

[61]  이찬영 Two Billion Cars , 2011 .

[62]  James M. Utterback,et al.  Innovation, Competition, and Industry Structure , 1993 .

[63]  M. Tushman,et al.  The ambidextrous organization. , 2004, Harvard business review.

[64]  Douglas J. Smith Distributed generation coming into focus , 2002 .

[65]  Kees Maat,et al.  The competitive environment of electric vehicles: An analysis of prototype and production models , 2012 .

[66]  Kim B. Clark,et al.  Architectural Innovation: The Reconfiguration of Existing Product Technologies and the Failure of , 1990 .

[67]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  CUSTOMER POWER, STRATEGIC INVESTMENT, AND THE FAILURE OF LEADING FIRMS , 1996 .

[68]  J. Funk Complexity, Critical Mass and Industry Formation: A Comparison of Selected Industries , 2010 .

[69]  E. Garnsey,et al.  Commercializing Generic Technology: The Case of Advanced Materials Ventures , 2005 .

[70]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  The Great Disruption , 2001 .

[71]  D. Schendel,et al.  Strategic responses to technological threats , 1976 .

[72]  Alan Pilkington,et al.  Expecting the Unexpected: Disruptive Technology Change Processes and the Electric Vehicle , 2004, Int. J. Innov. Technol. Manag..

[73]  K. Clark,et al.  Innovation: Mapping the winds of creative destruction☆ , 1993 .

[74]  K. Pavitt,et al.  Knowledge Specialization, Organizational Coupling, and the Boundaries of the Firm: Why Do Firms Know More than They Make? , 2001 .