Reaction to ‘An approach to perform expert elicitation for engineering design risk analysis: methodology and experimental results’
暂无分享,去创建一个
John Quigley | Roger M. Cooke | Taposhri Ganguly | Alessandra Babuscia | Kar-Ming Cheung | Kevin J. Wilson | R. Cooke | J. Quigley | K. Wilson | K. Cheung | A. Babuscia | T. Ganguly
[1] John Quigley,et al. Building prior distributions to support Bayesian reliability growth modelling using expert judgement , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[2] Peter A. Morris,et al. Decision Analysis Expert Use , 1974 .
[3] Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al. Exceptional Paper---Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis , 1975 .
[4] Roger M. Cooke,et al. TU Delft expert judgment data base , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[5] M. W. Merkhofer,et al. Quantifying judgmental uncertainty: Methodology, experiences, and insights , 1987, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.
[6] Stephen C. Hora,et al. Probability Judgments for Continuous Quantities: Linear Combinations and Calibration , 2004, Manag. Sci..
[7] Nicholas Frank Pidgeon,et al. The conjunction fallacy: The case for the existence of competing heuristic strategies , 1997 .
[8] William F. Wright,et al. Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment , 1989 .
[9] Robert A. Jacobs,et al. Methods For Combining Experts' Probability Assessments , 1995, Neural Computation.
[10] B. Fischhoff,et al. Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 , 1982 .
[11] A. Tversky,et al. On the Reconciliation of Probability Assessments , 1979 .
[12] A. O'Hagan,et al. Statistical Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions , 2005 .
[13] Roger M. Cooke,et al. On the performance of social network and likelihood-based expert weighting schemes , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[14] C. Murray,et al. Enhancing the Validity and Cross-Cultural Comparability of Measurement in Survey Research , 2003, American Political Science Review.
[15] Alessandra Babuscia,et al. Statistical Risk Estimation for Communication System Design , 2013, IEEE Systems Journal.
[16] Anthony O'Hagan,et al. Eliciting expert beliefs in substantial practical applications , 1998 .
[17] J. Koehler. The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges , 1996, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.
[18] Dennis V. Lindley,et al. Reconciliation of Probability Distributions , 1983, Oper. Res..
[19] M. J. Kallen,et al. EXPERT AGGREGATION WITH DEPENDENCE , 2002 .
[20] Joseph H. Yuen,et al. Deep Space Telecommunications Systems Engineering , 2013 .
[21] A. Tversky,et al. BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.
[22] Harold I. Jacobson. THE MAXIMUM VARIANCE OF RESTRICTED UNIMODAL DISTRIBUTIONS , 1969 .
[23] John Quigley,et al. Expert judgement combination using moment methods , 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..
[24] A. Tversky,et al. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .
[25] Robert L. Winkler,et al. Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis , 1999 .
[26] Franco Flandoli,et al. Comparison of a new expert elicitation model with the Classical Model, equal weights and single experts, using a cross-validation technique , 2011, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..