Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012. An indicator-based report

Jürgen Vogt | Panos Panagos | Emanuele Lugato | Andrej Ceglar | Andreas Marx | Geertrui Louwagie | Arwyn Jones | Juha Kiviluoma | Jaroslav Mysiak | Adriaan Perrels | Wouter Vanneuville | Markus Erhard | Mikael Hildén | Paul Watkiss | Andrea Bigano | Jørgen E. Olesen | Heikki Lehtonen | Katarzyna Biala | Jonathan E. Suk | Stéphane Isoard | Martin Schönhart | Pasquale Borrelli | Josef Settele | Gilles Chomat | Adrian Simmons | Lorenzo Galbiati | Stefan Fronzek | Sandor Szalai | Luc Feyen | André Jol | Oliver Schweiger | Jan C. Semenza | Vladimir Kendrovski | Jonathan Spinoni | Hans-Martin Füssel | Andrus Meiner | Karl Steininger | Birgit Georgi | A. Meiner | L. Feyen | J. Vogt | A. Simmons | A. Perrels | B. Kurnik | J. Kiviluoma | J. Olesen | P. Linden | J. Semenza | Franz Prettenthaler | K. Steininger | O. Schweiger | J. Barredo | J. Settele | E. Lugato | Arwyn Jones | P. Borrelli | Panos Panagos | J. Spinoni | S. Isoard | J. Mysiak | M. Schönhart | K. Biała | S. Fronzek | A. Marx | S. Castellari | P. Watkiss | M. Hilden | M. Erhard | H. Füssel | A. Jol | T. Christiansen | P. Kristensen | W. Vanneuville | G. Louwagie | B. Georgi | L. Galbiati | L. Eichler | B. Delbaere | M. Elmi | P. Roggero | A. Ceglar | D. Vaughan | S. Szalai | H. Lehtonen | R. Kipling | S. Niemeyer | T. Lung | V. Kendrovski | Johnny Reker | M. Leitner | Ben Delbaere | Kristine S. Madsen | Stefan Niemeyer | Tobias Lung | Marcus Reckermann | J. Reker | Sergio Castellari | A. Bigano | K. Madsen | Á. Aparicio | A. Bastrup-Birk | Frank Wugt-Larsen | G. Chomat | K. Čivić | Douglas Crawford–Brown | M. Jurek | Krista Kampus | W. Lexer | B. Meakins | E. Musco | M. Palmer | M. Reckermann | H. Zingstra | Peter Kristensen | Franz Prettenthaler | Markus Leitner | Angel Aparicio | Annemarie Bastrup-Birk | Blaz Kurnik | Frank Wugt-Larsen | José Barredo | Trine Christiansen | Kristijan Civic | Douglas Crawford–Brown | Lisa Eichler | Marianna Elmi | Matthias Jurek | Krista Kampus | Richard Kipling | Wolfgang Lexer | Bryony Meakins | Eleonora Musco | Matthew Palmer | Pier P. Roggero | David Vaughan | Henk Zingstra | Paul van der Linden | Other

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[2]  A. V. Delden,et al.  Severe Autumn storms in future Western Europe with a warmer Atlantic Ocean , 2015, Climate Dynamics.

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[4]  P. Harrison,et al.  Cross-sectoral impacts of climate change and socio-economic change for multiple, European land- and water-based sectors , 2015, Climatic Change.

[5]  P. Harrison,et al.  Modelling the effects of cross-sectoral water allocation schemes in Europe , 2015, Climatic Change.

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[8]  C. Wiklund,et al.  Climate change, phenology, and butterfly host plant utilization , 2015, AMBIO.

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[14]  Marie Launay,et al.  Climatic indicators for crop infection risk: Application to climate change impacts on five major foliar fungal diseases in Northern France , 2014 .

[15]  Sarah J. Gurr,et al.  The global spread of crop pests and pathogens , 2014 .

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[17]  Martha B. Dunbar,et al.  Magnitude of extreme heat waves in present climate and their projection in a warming world , 2014 .

[18]  Fahim N. Tonmoy,et al.  Assessment of vulnerability to climate change using indicators: a meta‐analysis of the literature , 2014 .

[19]  Panos Panagos,et al.  Wind erosion susceptibility of European soils , 2014 .

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[33]  Xavier Fettweis,et al.  Stable climate and surface mass balance in Svalbard over 1979–2013 despite the Arctic warming , 2014 .

[34]  Franz Prettenthaler,et al.  Does artificial snow production pay under future climate conditions? – A case study for a vulnerable ski area in Austria , 2014 .

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[38]  P. Huybrechts,et al.  Ice-dynamic projections of the Greenland ice sheet in response to atmospheric and oceanic warming , 2014 .

[39]  P. Harrison,et al.  Exploring climate change vulnerability across sectors and scenarios using indicators of impacts and coping capacity , 2014, Climatic Change.

[40]  R. Vautard,et al.  Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble , 2014 .

[41]  Reimund P. Rötter,et al.  Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change , 2014 .

[42]  H. Fowler,et al.  Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model , 2014 .

[43]  Annelise Tran,et al.  Environmental predictors of West Nile fever risk in Europe , 2014, International Journal of Health Geographics.

[44]  P. Bates,et al.  Advances in pan‐European flood hazard mapping , 2014 .

[45]  P. Harrison,et al.  Linkages between biodiversity attributes and ecosystem services: A systematic review , 2014 .

[46]  Ed Holt Disease outbreaks predicted in flood-ravaged Balkans , 2014, The Lancet.

[47]  Stephan Pfahl,et al.  Characterising the relationship between weather extremes in Europe and synoptic circulation features , 2014 .

[48]  Jaume Rosselló-Nadal,et al.  How to evaluate the effects of climate change on tourism , 2014 .

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[50]  Graham J. Pierce,et al.  Cetacean range and climate in the eastern North Atlantic: future predictions and implications for conservation , 2014, Global change biology.

[51]  A. Levermann,et al.  Ice plug prevents irreversible discharge from East Antarctica , 2014 .

[52]  B. Scheuchl,et al.  Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica, from 1992 to 2011 , 2014 .

[53]  E. D. Kjær,et al.  The role of exotic tree species in Nordic forestry , 2014 .

[54]  T. Wahl,et al.  North Sea Storminess from a Novel Storm Surge Record since AD 1843 , 2014 .

[55]  S. Kotlarski,et al.  21st century climate change in the European Alps--a review. , 2014, The Science of the total environment.

[56]  Wolfgang Nentwig,et al.  A Unified Classification of Alien Species Based on the Magnitude of their Environmental Impacts , 2014, PLoS biology.

[57]  Olivier Boucher,et al.  Adjustments in the Forcing-Feedback Framework for Understanding Climate Change , 2014 .

[58]  K. Bedka,et al.  A new physically based stochastic event catalog for hail in Europe , 2014, Natural Hazards.

[59]  Adam A. Scaife,et al.  Skillful long‐range prediction of European and North American winters , 2014 .

[60]  F. Giorgi,et al.  Changes in extremes and hydroclimatic regimes in the CREMA ensemble projections , 2014, Climatic Change.

[61]  Amit K. Srivastava,et al.  Climate Impacts in Europe - The JRC PESETA II Project , 2014 .

[62]  N. McDowell,et al.  Climate-biosphere interactions in a more extreme world. , 2014, The New phytologist.

[63]  M. Bevis,et al.  Sustained mass loss of the northeast Greenland ice sheet triggered by regional warming , 2014 .

[64]  J. Långmark,et al.  Large Outbreak of Cryptosporidium hominis Infection Transmitted through the Public Water Supply, Sweden , 2014, Emerging infectious diseases.

[65]  S. Castellari,et al.  Performance evaluation of high‐resolution regional climate simulations in the Alpine space and analysis of extreme events , 2014 .

[66]  William J. Sydeman,et al.  Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity , 2014, Nature.

[67]  Luigi Ponti,et al.  Fine-scale ecological and economic assessment of climate change on olive in the Mediterranean Basin reveals winners and losers , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[68]  D. Stammer,et al.  Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes , 2014, Climatic Change.

[69]  Timo Vihma,et al.  Effects of Arctic Sea Ice Decline on Weather and Climate: A Review , 2014, Surveys in Geophysics.

[70]  Eric Rignot,et al.  Sustained increase in ice discharge from the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica, from 1973 to 2013 , 2014, Geophysical Research Letters.

[71]  Bart Jourquin,et al.  Climate change impacts on transport on the Rhine and Danube: A multimodal approach , 2014 .

[72]  Thorsten Mühlhausen,et al.  Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Air Traffic in Extreme Weather Events , 2014 .

[73]  R. Vautard,et al.  The European climate under a 2 °C global warming , 2014 .

[74]  J. Rosselló,et al.  Recent trends in international tourist climate preferences: a revised picture for climatic change scenarios , 2014, Climatic Change.

[75]  A. Payne,et al.  Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability , 2014 .

[76]  Andrea Battisti,et al.  Invasion by the chestnut gall wasp in Italy causes significant yield loss in Castanea sativa nut production , 2014 .

[77]  Kees Roos,et al.  Economically Efficient Standards to Protect the Netherlands Against Flooding , 2014, Interfaces.

[78]  Jonathan E. Suk,et al.  Indicators for Tracking European Vulnerabilities to the Risks of Infectious Disease Transmission due to Climate Change , 2014, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.

[79]  Benjamin P. Horton,et al.  Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300 , 2014 .

[80]  Valentin Amrhein,et al.  Plants, Birds and Butterflies: Short-Term Responses of Species Communities to Climate Warming Vary by Taxon and with Altitude , 2014, PloS one.

[81]  X. Basagaña,et al.  Effects of Heat Waves on Mortality: Effect Modification and Confounding by Air Pollutants , 2014, Epidemiology.

[82]  Panos Panagos,et al.  A new baseline of organic carbon stock in European agricultural soils using a modelling approach , 2014, Global change biology.

[83]  Olga Didova,et al.  Empirical estimation of present-day Antarctic glacial isostatic adjustment and ice mass change , 2013, The Cryosphere.

[84]  GRID--Arendal Future Imperfect: Climate Change and Adaptation in the Carpathians , 2014 .

[85]  D. Jaroszweski,et al.  Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Rail Transport in Extreme Weather Events , 2014 .

[86]  Richard S. J. Tol,et al.  Key Economic Sectors and Services , 2014 .

[87]  N. Macgregor,et al.  Proceedings of the European Conference "Climate Change and Nature Conservation in Europe - an ecological, policy and economic perspective" , 2014 .

[88]  F. Schultmann,et al.  Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Road Transport in Extreme Weather Events , 2014 .

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[90]  Arctic Indigenous Peoples and the Challenge of Climate Change , 2014 .

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[92]  Scott J. Goetz,et al.  Terrestrial and Inland Water Systems , 2014 .

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[98]  Michael Obersteiner,et al.  Forest fires and adaptation options in Europe , 2014, Regional Environmental Change.

[99]  Keywan Riahi,et al.  A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions , 2014, Climatic Change.

[100]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles , 2014 .

[101]  B. Karlsson Extended season for northern butterflies , 2014, International Journal of Biometeorology.

[102]  Weak trends in ice phenology of Estonian large lakes despite significant warming trends , 2014, Hydrobiologia.

[103]  José Manuel Gutiérrez,et al.  Forest fire danger projections in the Mediterranean using ENSEMBLES regional climate change scenarios , 2014, Climatic Change.

[104]  Keywan Riahi,et al.  A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture , 2014, Climatic Change.

[105]  Qiuhong Tang,et al.  Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[106]  P. Kyle,et al.  Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[107]  Paul Watkiss,et al.  Climate change and river floods in the European Union: Socio-economic consequences and the costs and benefits of adaptation , 2013 .

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[112]  Jan Verbesselt,et al.  Trends in Spring Phenology of Western European Deciduous Forests , 2013, Remote Sensing.

[113]  D. Broom,et al.  Sustainable, efficient livestock production with high biodiversity and good welfare for animals , 2013, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[114]  W. Fitzhugh,et al.  Arctic sea-ice decline archived by multicentury annual-resolution record from crustose coralline algal proxy , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[115]  N. Zimmermann,et al.  Field Evidence of Colonisation by Holm Oak, at the Northern Margin of Its Distribution Range, during the Anthropocene Period , 2013, PloS one.

[116]  E. Fischer,et al.  Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high‐resolution atmosphere model , 2013 .

[117]  Potential impact of sea level rise on French islands worldwide , 2013 .

[118]  P. Kareiva,et al.  Climate change's impact on key ecosystem services and the human well‐being they support in the US , 2013 .

[119]  James E. M. Watson,et al.  Mapping vulnerability and conservation adaptation strategies under climate change , 2013 .

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[121]  M. D. Frías,et al.  Variability of extreme precipitation over Europe and its relationships with teleconnection patterns , 2013 .

[122]  Camilo Mora,et al.  The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability , 2013, Nature.

[123]  Benjamin A. Lopman,et al.  A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Global Seasonality of Norovirus , 2013, PloS one.

[124]  Lilibeth A. Acosta,et al.  A spatially explicit scenario-driven model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe , 2013 .

[125]  John A. Church,et al.  Towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-level rise , 2013 .

[126]  Benjamin F. Jones,et al.  What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature , 2013 .

[127]  Carrie V. Kappel,et al.  Global imprint of climate change on marine life , 2013 .

[128]  Louise Sandberg Sørensen,et al.  Scatter of mass changes estimates at basin scale for Greenland and Antarctica , 2013 .

[129]  D. Otranto,et al.  Effects of global changes on the climatic niche of the tick Ixodes ricinus inferred by species distribution modelling , 2013, Parasites & Vectors.

[130]  T. Stacke,et al.  Multimodel projections and uncertainties of irrigation water demand under climate change , 2013 .

[131]  P. Dowling,et al.  The impact of climate change on the European energy system , 2013 .

[132]  G. Nabuurs,et al.  First signs of carbon sink saturation in European forest biomass , 2013 .

[133]  John Abraham,et al.  A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change , 2013, Reviews of Geophysics.

[134]  L. Feyen,et al.  Ensemble projections of future streamflow droughts in Europe , 2013 .

[135]  David B. Stephenson,et al.  A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models , 2013 .

[136]  Christoph Waldmann,et al.  Investigating hypoxia in aquatic environments: diverse approaches to addressing a complex phenomenon , 2013 .

[137]  R. Ostfeld,et al.  Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: From Evidence to a Predictive Framework , 2013, Science.

[138]  J. Peñuelas,et al.  Disparity in elevational shifts of European trees in response to recent climate warming , 2013, Global change biology.

[139]  Jordi Sardans,et al.  Evidence of current impact of climate change on life: a walk from genes to the biosphere , 2013, Global change biology.

[140]  C. Duarte,et al.  Photosynthetic activity buffers ocean acidification in seagrass meadows , 2013 .

[141]  M. V. Vliet,et al.  Water constraints on European power supply under climate change: impacts on electricity prices , 2013 .

[142]  A. R. Ennos,et al.  A Comparison of the Shading Effectiveness of Five Different Street Tree Species in Manchester, UK , 2013, Arboriculture & Urban Forestry.

[143]  J. Triñanes,et al.  Emerging Vibrio risk at high latitudes in response to ocean warming , 2013 .

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[148]  N. Wrage,et al.  Future consequences and challenges for dairy cow production systems arising from climate change in Central Europe - a review. , 2013, Animal : an international journal of animal bioscience.

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[150]  Mercedes Pascual,et al.  Climate change and infectious diseases : Can we meet the needs for better prediction ? , 2013 .

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[164]  Christofer Åström,et al.  Heat-related respiratory hospital admissions in Europe in a changing climate: a health impact assessment , 2013, BMJ Open.

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[166]  E. Rohling,et al.  Relationship between sea level and climate forcing by CO2 on geological timescales , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[167]  Ole Magnus Theisen,et al.  Is climate change a driver of armed conflict? , 2013, Climatic Change.

[168]  D. Gerten,et al.  Climate impacts on global irrigation requirements under 19 GCMs, simulated with a vegetation and hydrology model , 2013 .

[169]  F. Schenk,et al.  Inconsistencies between Long-Term Trends in Storminess Derived from the 20CR Reanalysis and Observations , 2012, 1205.5295.

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[173]  Daniela JacobJuliane,et al.  EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research , 2013 .

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[175]  J. Rosselló,et al.  Mediterranean Tourism and Climate Change: Identifying Future Demand and Assessing Destinations’ Vulnerability , 2013 .

[176]  G. Meehl,et al.  Near-term climate change:projections and predictability , 2013 .

[177]  G. Hegerl,et al.  Climate Extremes: Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events , 2013 .

[178]  S. Hales,et al.  Heat-related mortality risk model for climate change impact projection , 2013, Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine.

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[181]  Evan Miles,et al.  Regional and global projections of twenty-first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate models , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[182]  S. Gualdi,et al.  THE CIRCE SIMULATIONS Regional Climate Change Projections with Realistic Representation of the Mediterranean Sea , 2013 .

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[185]  C. Tebaldi,et al.  Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility , 2013 .

[186]  Matthias Weitzel,et al.  Missing the target? A critical view on butterfly conservation efforts on calcareous grasslands in south-western Germany , 2012, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[187]  Sven Kotlarski,et al.  Alpine snow cover in a changing climate: a regional climate model perspective , 2013, Climate Dynamics.

[188]  S. Jevrejeva,et al.  New Data Systems and Products at the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level , 2013 .

[189]  H. Kujala,et al.  Does the protected area network preserve bird species of conservation concern in a rapidly changing climate? , 2013, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[190]  S. Randolph,et al.  Driving forces for changes in geographical distribution of Ixodes ricinus ticks in Europe , 2013, Parasites & Vectors.

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[192]  Martin Vermeer,et al.  Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming levels , 2012 .

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[194]  Eric Rignot,et al.  A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance , 2012, Science.

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[196]  H. Wieser,et al.  Does elevated atmospheric CO2 allow for sufficient wheat grain quality in the future , 2012 .

[197]  J. Vogt,et al.  Development of a Combined Drought Indicator to detect agricultural drought in Europe , 2012 .

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