Economic-based design of engineering systems with degrading components using probabilistic loss of quality

The allocation of means and tolerances to provide quality, functional reliability and performance reliability in engineering systems is a challenging problem. Traditional measures to help select the best means and tolerances include mean time to failure and its variance; however, they have some shortcomings. In this paper, a monetary measure based on present worth is invoked as a more inclusive metric. We consider the sum of the production cost and the expected loss of quality cost over a planned horizon at the customer’s discount rates. Key to the approach is a probabilistic loss of quality cost that incorporates the cumulative distribution function that arises from time-variant distributions of system performance measures due to degrading components. The proposed design approach investigates both degradation and uncertainty in component. Moreover, it tries to obviate problems of current Taguchi’s loss function-based design approaches. Case studies show the practicality and promise of the approach.

[1]  Gordon J. Savage,et al.  Set theoretic formulation of performance reliability of multiple response time‐variant systems due to degradations in system components , 2007, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[2]  W. Nelson Statistical Methods for Reliability Data , 1998 .

[3]  A.C. Brombacher,et al.  A method for reliability optimization through degradation analysis and robust design , 2003, Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, 2003..

[4]  L. F. Hauglund,et al.  Least Cost Tolerance Allocation for Mechanical Assemblies with Automated Process Selection , 1990 .

[5]  Gordon J. Savage,et al.  Interrelating Quality and Reliability in Engineering Systems , 2002 .

[6]  Man-Hee Park,et al.  Optimal tolerance allocation with loss functions , 2000 .

[7]  Robert Spence,et al.  Tolerance Design of Electronic Circuits , 1997 .

[8]  M. Rosenblatt Remarks on a Multivariate Transformation , 1952 .

[9]  Chao-Yu Chou,et al.  Bivariate tolerance design for lock wheels by considering quality loss , 2000 .

[10]  David B. Pratt,et al.  PRESENT WORTH OF EXTERNAL QUALITY LOSSES FOR SYMMETRIC NOMINAL-IS-BETTER QUALITY CHARACTERISTICS , 1996 .

[11]  Wei Xue,et al.  Optimal Design of Roller One Way Clutch for Starter Drives , 2004 .

[12]  William J. Kolarik,et al.  Multivariate performance reliability prediction in real-time , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[13]  G.C. Soukup,et al.  Cause and analysis of stator and rotor failures in 3-phase squirrel cage induction motors , 1991, Conference Record of 1991 Annual Pulp and Paper Industry Technical Conference.

[14]  Kailash C. Kapur,et al.  Issues in modeling system reliability from customer's perspective , 1998, SMC'98 Conference Proceedings. 1998 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (Cat. No.98CH36218).

[15]  Jeffrey Alun Jones A toolkit for parametric drift modelling of electronic components , 1999 .

[16]  Fred Moses,et al.  Cost and safety optimization of structural design specifications , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[17]  Gordon J. Savage,et al.  Integrated robust design using probability of conformance metrics , 2002 .

[18]  Damir Juric,et al.  High order level contour reconstruction method , 2007 .

[19]  Dongsoo Jung,et al.  Enhancement of pool boiling heat transfer coefficients using carbon nanotubes , 2007 .

[20]  M. A. Styblinski Formulation of the drift reliability optimization problem , 1991 .